Mexico - Liga MXEstadio Nemesio DíezData current as of September 20, 2026

Toluca vs Santos Laguna: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Toluca vs Santos Laguna: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Toluca plays Santos Laguna in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 21, 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez.

Recent form

Toluca has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Santos Laguna has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Toluca scores 2.25 goals per game and allows 0.75. Santos Laguna scores 0.75 and allows 1.63. Games in this league average 2.80 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's games and 38% of Santos Laguna's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 50%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.40 per game. Toluca takes 17.1 shots per game, while Santos Laguna takes 13.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Toluca leads at halftime in 63% of its games and scores 1.13 goals per game after halftime. Santos Laguna leads at halftime in 0% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Santos Laguna, it is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga MX games average 2.80 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

TolucaSantos Laguna
2.25Goals scored / game0.75
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.75Goals allowed / game1.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
61%Average possession50%
TolucaSantos Laguna
5.63Shots on target / game3.63
TolucaSantos Laguna

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.13Shots per game13.25
TolucaSantos Laguna
5.63Shots on target3.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
13.1%Shot conversion5.7%
TolucaSantos Laguna
61%Possession50%
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.81xG for1.4
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.17xG against1.82
TolucaSantos Laguna

Shooting quality

Toluca: DominantSantos Laguna: Balanced
TolucaSantos Laguna
Accuracy (shots on target)33%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toluca is 225% better for: last-5 form.

2.6 pts / game - Toluca · 0.8 pts / game - Santos Laguna

Toluca
DWWWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
75% W13% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-1
2.38 pts / game · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-1
Last 5 at home
3-0-1
LWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Santos Laguna
LLDLW
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-4
Last 5 away
0-0-4
LLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 200% better for: goals scored per game.

2.25 goals / game - Toluca · 0.75 goals / game - Santos Laguna

Toluca is 117% better for: goals allowed per game.

0.75 goals / game - Toluca · 1.63 goals / game - Santos Laguna

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Santos Laguna keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 games).

Santos Laguna scoring profile: more difficult

Santos Laguna scores in 38% of games (3 of 8 games), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

18Goals scored (season)6
TolucaSantos Laguna
6Goals conceded (season)13
TolucaSantos Laguna
3Average goals per game2.38
TolucaSantos Laguna
12Goals scored (last 5)4
TolucaSantos Laguna
3Goals conceded (last 5)6
TolucaSantos Laguna

How often they score at least...

88%1 goal38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
63%2 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%3 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%4 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal88%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%2 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%3 goals38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%4 goals0%
TolucaSantos Laguna

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
0%BTTS in both halves13%
TolucaSantos Laguna
50%Scored in both halves25%
TolucaSantos Laguna

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
TolucaSantos Laguna
40%BTTS - last 540%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
TolucaSantos Laguna

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
TolucaSantos Laguna
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.25 pts / game - Toluca · 0.75 pts / game - Santos Laguna

Toluca - half-time state
63% leading38% draw0% trailing
Santos Laguna - half-time state
0% leading75% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.25Points per game (1st half)0.75
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.13Goals scored (1st half)0.25
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.13Goals conceded (1st half)0.63
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.25Average goals (1st half)0.88
TolucaSantos Laguna
88%Clean sheet before half-time63%
TolucaSantos Laguna
38%No goal before half-time75%
TolucaSantos Laguna

After half-time (2nd half)

2.13Points per game (2nd half)0.88
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
TolucaSantos Laguna
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)1
TolucaSantos Laguna
1.75Average goals (2nd half)1.5
TolucaSantos Laguna
63%Clean sheet after half-time25%
TolucaSantos Laguna
25%No goal after half-time63%
TolucaSantos Laguna

Toluca - second-half results

63% W25% D13% L
18
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding119%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.5

Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Santos Laguna - second-half results

25% W13% D63% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.75
PPG before half-time
Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Toluca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.20
Goals scored / game1.01.4
Goals allowed / game0.00.6
Average goals per game1.02.0
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+5+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Santos Laguna - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.21.0
Average goals per game0.41.6
1 goal20%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
3
2
46-60
4
1
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Santos Laguna
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
4
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+86%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
33%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
150%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

Santos Laguna

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.46
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
58%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

TolucaLigaSantos Laguna
Average goals per game 3.002.80 2.38
Both teams scored 50%55% 38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%51% 50%
Clean sheets 50%26% 13%
Goal before half-time 63%65% 38%
Goal after half-time 88%84% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / game
1.30
Away goals / game
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defensive advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Toluca's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses against Santos Laguna. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

Deportivo Toluca FC
3 : 1
Club Santos Laguna
Club Santos Laguna
2 : 4
Deportivo Toluca FC

FAQ

When do Toluca and Santos Laguna play?

Toluca face Santos Laguna on September 21, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Santos Laguna?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2, Santos Laguna won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

Toluca score 2.25 goals per game on average and Santos Laguna 0.75. The Liga MX average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Toluca's matches and 38% of Santos Laguna's.

What form are Toluca and Santos Laguna in?

Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Santos Laguna 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Santos Laguna?

The statistical background for Toluca vs Santos Laguna — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.