Toluca vs Tijuana: match statistics
Toluca displays significantly better form and home stats, with an impressive record of 64% wins at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.57 goals per home match while conceding just 1.21, giving them a +19 goal difference. Tijuana, on the other hand, has poor away results – only 18% wins, a staggering 55% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11. The visitors also feature a high percentage of away matches without scoring (27%) and poor offensive efficiency (1.27 goals on average). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Toluca remains undefeated in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), while Tijuana has not won any of its last 5 away matches. All key indicators, including xG (2.05 vs 1.15), possession (58% vs 44%), and shot accuracy, point to a decisive advantage for Toluca.
Toluca vs Tijuana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toluca played against Tijuana in Liga MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Toluca has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Tijuana has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Toluca scores 1.96 goals per game and allows 0.93. Tijuana scores 1.60 and allows 1.32. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Toluca's games and 48% of Tijuana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 54% and 52%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.81 to 1.30 per game. Toluca takes 17.5 shots per game, while Tijuana takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Toluca leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 1.04 goals per game after halftime. Tijuana leads at halftime in 36% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (15 goals). For Tijuana, it is minutes 46-60 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga MX games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Toluca displays significantly better form and home stats, with an impressive record of 64% wins at home and only 7% losses. The hosts score an average of 2.57 goals per home match while conceding just 1.21, giving them a +19 goal difference. Tijuana, on the other hand, has poor away results – only 18% wins, a staggering 55% losses, and a negative goal difference of -11. The visitors also feature a high percentage of away matches without scoring (27%) and poor offensive efficiency (1.27 goals on average). The recent form of both teams also favors the hosts – Toluca remains undefeated in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), while Tijuana has not won any of its last 5 away matches. All key indicators, including xG (2.05 vs 1.15), possession (58% vs 44%), and shot accuracy, point to a decisive advantage for Toluca.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toluca | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Toluca is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Toluca · 1.4 pts / game - Tijuana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.96 goals / game - Toluca · 1.6 goals / game - Tijuana
Toluca is 42% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.93 goals / game - Toluca · 1.32 goals / game - Tijuana
Toluca scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 meczów).
Tijuana scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 meczów), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toluca
Over / Under - Tijuana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.64 pts / game - Toluca · 1.56 pts / game - Tijuana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Tijuana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toluca
Tijuana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Toluca | Liga | Tijuana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.89 | 2.94 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 54% | 57% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 54% | 54% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 25% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Toluca's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tijuana. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Toluca vs Tijuana?
The Liga MX match finished Toluca 1:0 Tijuana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Tijuana?
Toluca score 1.96 goals per game on average and Tijuana 1.60. The Liga MX average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Toluca's matches and 48% of Tijuana's.
What form are Toluca and Tijuana in?
Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Tijuana 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Tijuana?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.