Mexico - Liga MXEstadio Nemesio DíezData current as of October 18, 2026

Toluca vs Tijuana: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Toluca vs Tijuana: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Toluca plays Tijuana in Liga MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for October 22, 2026. Venue: Estadio Nemesio Díez.

Recent form

Toluca has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Tijuana has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Toluca scores 2.27 goals per game and allows 1.36. Tijuana scores 1.36 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 64% of Toluca's games and 55% of Tijuana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 73% and 45%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Toluca has the higher season xG average, 1.89 to 1.39 per game. Toluca takes 17.8 shots per game, while Tijuana takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Toluca leads at halftime in 55% of its games and scores 1.18 goals per game after halftime. Tijuana leads at halftime in 36% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

Toluca's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (6 goals). For Tijuana, it is minutes 31-45+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga MX games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.40)
(4.90)
(6.70)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

2.27Goals scored / game1.36
TolucaTijuana
1.36Goals allowed / game1.27
TolucaTijuana
59%Average possession45%
TolucaTijuana
6.27Shots on target / game4.18
TolucaTijuana

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

17.82Shots per game13.36
TolucaTijuana
6.27Shots on target4.18
TolucaTijuana
12.8%Shot conversion10.2%
TolucaTijuana
59%Possession45%
TolucaTijuana
1.89xG for1.39
TolucaTijuana
1.45xG against1.55
TolucaTijuana

Shooting quality

Toluca: DominantTijuana: Balanced
TolucaTijuana
Accuracy (shots on target)35%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toluca is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Toluca · 0.6 pts / game - Tijuana

Toluca
WWLDL
Season result split
55% W18% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-3
1.82 pts / game · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWWWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Tijuana
LDLDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
36% W36% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-3-1
Last 5 away
0-3-1
DLDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.61Opponent xG: 1.77BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toluca is 67% better for: goals scored per game.

2.27 goals / game - Toluca · 1.36 goals / game - Tijuana

Tijuana is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.36 goals / game - Toluca · 1.27 goals / game - Tijuana

Toluca scoring profile: very strong

Toluca scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 games), while Tijuana keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).

Tijuana scoring profile: strong

Tijuana scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 games), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 games).

25Goals scored (season)15
TolucaTijuana
15Goals conceded (season)14
TolucaTijuana
3.64Average goals per game2.64
TolucaTijuana
13Goals scored (last 5)5
TolucaTijuana
11Goals conceded (last 5)7
TolucaTijuana

How often they score at least...

91%1 goal73%
TolucaTijuana
73%2 goals55%
TolucaTijuana
36%3 goals9%
TolucaTijuana
18%4 goals0%
TolucaTijuana

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal64%
TolucaTijuana
45%2 goals27%
TolucaTijuana
27%3 goals18%
TolucaTijuana
0%4 goals9%
TolucaTijuana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time18%
TolucaTijuana
9%BTTS in both halves0%
TolucaTijuana
45%Scored in both halves18%
TolucaTijuana

BTTS and goal count

64%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
TolucaTijuana
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
TolucaTijuana
80%BTTS - last 560%
TolucaTijuana

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time64%
TolucaTijuana
55%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
TolucaTijuana
36%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
TolucaTijuana

2nd half

91%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
TolucaTijuana
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
TolucaTijuana
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
TolucaTijuana

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toluca is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.91 pts / game - Toluca · 1.55 pts / game - Tijuana

Toluca - half-time state
55% leading27% draw18% trailing
Tijuana - half-time state
36% leading45% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.91Points per game (1st half)1.55
TolucaTijuana
1.09Goals scored (1st half)0.64
TolucaTijuana
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.55
TolucaTijuana
1.64Average goals (1st half)1.18
TolucaTijuana
64%Clean sheet before half-time64%
TolucaTijuana
36%No goal before half-time55%
TolucaTijuana

After half-time (2nd half)

1.91Points per game (2nd half)1.45
TolucaTijuana
1.18Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
TolucaTijuana
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
TolucaTijuana
2Average goals (2nd half)1.45
TolucaTijuana
45%Clean sheet after half-time55%
TolucaTijuana
27%No goal after half-time55%
TolucaTijuana

Toluca - second-half results

55% W27% D18% L
21
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 55% of games and wins 55%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Tijuana - second-half results

36% W36% D27% L
17
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Toluca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.60
Goals scored / game1.21.4
Goals allowed / game1.01.2
Average goals per game2.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals60%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6
Tijuana - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.40
Goals scored / game1.00.0
Goals allowed / game0.41.0
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Toluca
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
5
0
16-30
5
4
31-45
6
3
46-60
4
1
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Tijuana
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
2
2
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.13
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.8 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-84%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Toluca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.44
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.47
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
146%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.42
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Tijuana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).

Teams vs league

TolucaLigaTijuana
Average goals per game▲ 3.642.95▼ 2.64
Both teams scored▲ 64%59%▼ 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 73%52%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▲ 36%23%▲ 36%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%69%▼ 64%
Goal after half-time▲ 91%84%▼ 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.56
Home goals / game
1.39
Away goals / game
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Toluca's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Tijuana. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Deportivo Toluca FC
1 : 0
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente
Club Tijuana Xoloitzcuintles de Caliente
0 : 0
Deportivo Toluca FC

FAQ

When do Toluca and Tijuana play?

Toluca face Tijuana on October 22, 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Nemesio Díez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toluca and Tijuana?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Toluca won 1, Tijuana won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toluca vs Tijuana?

Toluca score 2.27 goals per game on average and Tijuana 1.36. The Liga MX average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Toluca's matches and 55% of Tijuana's.

What form are Toluca and Tijuana in?

Over the last 5 games Toluca have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tijuana 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toluca vs Tijuana?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.