Torino vs AC Milan: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Torino play AC Milan in Serie A (Italy). The match date is 8 December 2025 at 20:45. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

Torino: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AC Milan: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Torino scores 1.16 and concedes 1.66 goals per match. AC Milan scores 1.39 and concedes 0.92. League average: 2.43 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Torino 50%, AC Milan 47%. Over 2.5: Torino 63%, AC Milan 45%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

AC Milan has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.29. Torino: 11.8 shots per match, AC Milan: 13.2.

Match halves

Torino: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.71. AC Milan: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.87.

Goals by minute

Torino: 76-90+ (12 goals). AC Milan: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

36Possession (%)64
TorinoAC Milan
8Shots17
TorinoAC Milan
4Shots on target6
TorinoAC Milan
1xG1.9
TorinoAC Milan
2Corners4
TorinoAC Milan
29Dangerous attacks56
TorinoAC Milan
16Fouls7
TorinoAC Milan
2Cards1
TorinoAC Milan

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.16Goals scored / match1.39
TorinoAC Milan
1.66Goals conceded / match0.92
TorinoAC Milan
44%Average possession52%
TorinoAC Milan
3.97Shots on target / match4.37
TorinoAC Milan

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.82Shots per match13.24
TorinoAC Milan
3.97Shots on target4.37
TorinoAC Milan
9.8%Shot conversion10.5%
TorinoAC Milan
44%Possession52%
TorinoAC Milan
1.29xG for1.49
TorinoAC Milan
1.52xG against1.3
TorinoAC Milan

Shooting quality

Torino: BalancedAC Milan: Balanced
TorinoAC Milan
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Torino is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Torino · 0.8 pts / match - AC Milan

Torino
DLWLD
Season result split
32% W24% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
12-9-17
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -19
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-4-7
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
WWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
AC Milan
DLLWL
Season result split
53% W26% R21% P
Season (W-D-L)
20-10-8
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

AC Milan is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.16 goals / match - Torino · 1.39 goals / match - AC Milan

AC Milan is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.66 goals / match - Torino · 0.92 goals / match - AC Milan

Torino scoring profile: strong

Torino scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while AC Milan keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

AC Milan scoring profile: very strong

AC Milan scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Torino keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

44Goals scored (season)53
TorinoAC Milan
63Goals conceded (season)35
TorinoAC Milan
2.82Average goals in match2.32
TorinoAC Milan
7Goals scored (last 5)5
TorinoAC Milan
9Goals conceded (last 5)8
TorinoAC Milan

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
TorinoAC Milan
34%2 goals42%
TorinoAC Milan
8%3 goals16%
TorinoAC Milan
3%4 goals0%
TorinoAC Milan

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal61%
TorinoAC Milan
58%2 goals26%
TorinoAC Milan
21%3 goals5%
TorinoAC Milan
8%4 goals0%
TorinoAC Milan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time21%
TorinoAC Milan
5%BTTS in both halves5%
TorinoAC Milan
18%Scored in both halves24%
TorinoAC Milan

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
TorinoAC Milan
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
TorinoAC Milan
80%BTTS - last 560%
TorinoAC Milan

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
TorinoAC Milan
37%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
TorinoAC Milan
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
TorinoAC Milan

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
TorinoAC Milan
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
TorinoAC Milan
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
TorinoAC Milan

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

AC Milan is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.97 pts / match - Torino · 1.34 pts / match - AC Milan

Torino - half-time state
18% leading42% draw39% trailing
AC Milan - half-time state
26% leading55% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.97Points per match (1st half)1.34
TorinoAC Milan
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.53
TorinoAC Milan
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
TorinoAC Milan
1.26Average goals (1st half)0.97
TorinoAC Milan
42%Clean sheet before half-time63%
TorinoAC Milan
61%No goal before half-time55%
TorinoAC Milan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.34Points per match (2nd half)1.71
TorinoAC Milan
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
TorinoAC Milan
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
TorinoAC Milan
1.55Average goals (2nd half)1.34
TorinoAC Milan
50%Clean sheet after half-time55%
TorinoAC Milan
50%No goal after half-time39%
TorinoAC Milan

Torino - second-half results

34% W32% R34% P
37
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
51
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.97
PPG before half-time
Lead holding178%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

AC Milan - second-half results

47% W29% R24% P
51
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
65
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding204%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Torino - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.00
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.8
Average goals in match1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
AC Milan - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.40
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Torino
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
7
13
16-30
6
13
31-45
8
12
46-60
7
12
61-75
12
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

AC Milan
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
3
7
16-30
12
5
31-45
13
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.56
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+95%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Torino

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
144%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

AC Milan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
121%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
72%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.04
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

TorinoLigaAC Milan
Average goals in match 2.822.43 2.32
Both teams scored 50%45% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 63%46% 45%
Clean sheets 32%32% 39%
Goal before half-time 74%66% 61%
Goal after half-time 74%77% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.43
Average goals per match
45%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.28
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
66%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Torino 0 - 0 - 1 AC Milan. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Torino vs AC Milan?

The Serie A match finished Torino 2:3 AC Milan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Torino vs AC Milan?

Torino score 1.16 goals per game on average and AC Milan 1.39. The Serie A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Torino's matches and 47% of AC Milan's.

What form are Torino and AC Milan in?

Over the last 5 games Torino have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AC Milan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Torino vs AC Milan?

The statistical background for Torino vs AC Milan — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.