United States - MLS Next ProData current as of September 03, 2026

Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Toronto II plays FC Cincinnati II in MLS Next Pro (United States). The game is scheduled for September 4, 2026.

Recent form

Toronto II has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. FC Cincinnati II has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Toronto II scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 1.96. FC Cincinnati II scores 1.16 and allows 2.28. Games in this league average 3.33 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 63% of Toronto II's games and 56% of FC Cincinnati II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 75% and 72%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 67% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

FC Cincinnati II has the higher season xG average, 1.34 to 1.27 per game. Toronto II takes 10.3 shots per game, while FC Cincinnati II takes 10.6.

First-half and second-half trends

Toronto II leads at halftime in 38% of its games and scores 0.79 goals per game after halftime. FC Cincinnati II leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.76 after halftime.

When the teams score

Toronto II's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (9 goals). For FC Cincinnati II, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

MLS Next Pro games average 3.33 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 67% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.67Goals scored / game1.16
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.96Goals allowed / game2.28
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
48%Average possession43%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
4.33Shots on target / game3.92
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.25Shots per game10.6
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
4.33Shots on target3.92
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
16.3%Shot conversion10.9%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
48%Possession43%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.27xG for1.34
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.7xG against1.84
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

Shooting quality

Toronto II: Efficient finishingFC Cincinnati II: Balanced
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
Accuracy (shots on target)42%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.390.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Toronto II is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / game - Toronto II · 0.6 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II

Toronto II
LWDLW
Season result split
38% W17% R46% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-11
1.29 pts / game · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLWDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
FC Cincinnati II
LLLWL
Season result split
20% W8% R72% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-18
0.68 pts / game · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-11
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.94BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Toronto II is 44% better for: goals scored per game.

1.67 goals / game - Toronto II · 1.16 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II

Toronto II is 16% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.96 goals / game - Toronto II · 2.28 goals / game - FC Cincinnati II

Toronto II scoring profile: very strong

Toronto II scores in 79% of games (19 of 24 meczów), while FC Cincinnati II keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).

FC Cincinnati II scoring profile: very strong

FC Cincinnati II scores in 68% of games (17 of 25 meczów), while Toronto II keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).

40Goals scored (season)29
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
47Goals conceded (season)57
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
3.63Average goals per game3.44
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
11Goals conceded (last 5)14
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they score at least...

79%1 goal68%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
58%2 goals32%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
17%3 goals8%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
8%4 goals4%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal88%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
54%2 goals68%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
33%3 goals40%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
17%4 goals16%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

56%
FC Cincinnati II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.14 of 25 meczów
62%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time24%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
17%BTTS in both halves4%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
29%Scored in both halves8%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
80%BTTS - last 580%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time84%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

2nd half

79%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time52%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Toronto II is 121% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / game - Toronto II · 0.68 pts / game - FC Cincinnati II

Toronto II - half-time state
38% leading38% draw25% trailing
FC Cincinnati II - half-time state
12% leading32% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per game (1st half)0.68
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
0.88Goals scored (1st half)0.4
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)1.24
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.64
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
58%Clean sheet before half-time24%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
42%No goal before half-time68%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per game (2nd half)1
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.76
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
1.42Goals conceded (2nd half)1.04
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
2.21Average goals (2nd half)1.8
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
29%Clean sheet after half-time32%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II
50%No goal after half-time56%
Toronto IIFC Cincinnati II

Toronto II - second-half results

17% W38% R46% P
36
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+8
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.9

Allows 0.9 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

FC Cincinnati II - second-half results

24% W28% R48% P
17
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-21
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.68
PPG before half-time
Lead holding167%

Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Toronto II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.601.00
Goals scored / game1.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.01.2
Average goals per game2.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal0%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 7
FC Cincinnati II - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.80
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game1.21.6
Average goals per game1.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-3-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Toronto II
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
9
5
16-30
7
6
31-45
4
10
46-60
6
8
61-75
9
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

FC Cincinnati II
ScoredConceded
3
9
0-15
4
13
16-30
3
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
6
9
61-75
8
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
54%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Toronto II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

FC Cincinnati II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.50
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.62
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
119%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.08
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).

Teams vs league

Toronto IILigaFC Cincinnati II
Average goals per game 3.633.33 3.44
Both teams scored 63%62% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 75%67% 72%
Clean sheets 21%21% 12%
Goal before half-time 75%77% 84%
Goal after half-time 79%85% 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / game
1.43
Away goals / game
+34%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defensive advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Toronto II's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against FC Cincinnati II. Games average 2.60 goals, and both teams scored in 40% of them.

Toronto II
3 : 1
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
5 : 0
Toronto II
Toronto FC II USL
1 : 0
FC Cincinnati II
FC Cincinnati II
1 : 1
Toronto FC II USL
FC Cincinnati II
0 : 1
Toronto FC II USL

FAQ

When do Toronto II and FC Cincinnati II play?

Toronto II face FC Cincinnati II on September 4, 2026 in MLS Next Pro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Toronto II and FC Cincinnati II?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto II won 3, FC Cincinnati II won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

Toronto II score 1.67 goals per game on average and FC Cincinnati II 1.16. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 67% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Toronto II's matches and 56% of FC Cincinnati II's.

What form are Toronto II and FC Cincinnati II in?

Over the last 5 games Toronto II have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and FC Cincinnati II 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.