Toronto vs Atlanta United FC: match statistics
Toronto vs Atlanta United FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Toronto play Atlanta United FC in MLS (United States). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Toronto: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Atlanta United FC: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Toronto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.81 goals per match. Atlanta United FC scores 0.93 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Toronto 75%, Atlanta United FC 53%. Over 2.5: Toronto 63%, Atlanta United FC 47%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Atlanta United FC has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.34. Toronto: 11.7 shots per match, Atlanta United FC: 13.3.
Match halves
Toronto: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 1.06. Atlanta United FC: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Toronto: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atlanta United FC: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Toronto has a clear advantage in attack and efficiency: at home they average 2.17 goals per game with an average xG of 1.6 and record 6 shots on target per match, while Atlanta averages 0.0 goals per away game and only 3.33 shots on target. In the last 5 matches Toronto scored 12 goals (2.4 per game) and averaged 1.8 points per game, whereas Atlanta in that period has 5 goals (1.0 per game) and 0.6 points per game. Defensively both teams are prone to conceding — Toronto concedes 1.83 goals at home on average, and Atlanta concedes 1.67 goals away — but Toronto’s home matches feature a high number of goals (4.0 total goals on average versus 1.67 in Atlanta’s away games), suggesting an open affair. The visitors have serious away problems: they have lost 100% of matches on the road and failed to score in all away fixtures, with average away xG 1.31 against xG conceded 1.43. Considering Toronto’s superior finishing rate (conversion 16% vs 0% for Atlanta), the fact the hosts are unbeaten at home (0% losses) and the edge in points over the last 5 matches (1.8 vs 0.6), I tip a Toronto win, although the high share of home draws (67% of home games end in a draw) makes a draw a realistic alternative.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlanta United FC is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Toronto · 0.8 pts / match - Atlanta United FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toronto is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Toronto · 0.93 goals / match - Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.81 goals / match - Toronto · 1.6 goals / match - Atlanta United FC
Toronto scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Atlanta United FC keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).
Atlanta United FC scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Toronto
Over / Under — Atlanta United FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlanta United FC is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Toronto · 1.07 pts / match - Atlanta United FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlanta United FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Toronto
Atlanta United FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | Atlanta United FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.19 | 3.31 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 22% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 77% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs Atlanta United FC?
The MLS match finished Toronto 1:2 Atlanta United FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Atlanta United FC?
Toronto score 1.38 goals per game on average and Atlanta United FC 0.93. The MLS average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Toronto's matches and 53% of Atlanta United FC's.
What form are Toronto and Atlanta United FC in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Atlanta United FC 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Atlanta United FC?
The statistical background for Toronto vs Atlanta United FC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.