Toronto vs Inter Miami: match statistics
Toronto vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Toronto played against Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Recent form
Toronto has 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Inter Miami has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Toronto scores 1.64 goals per game and allows 1.82. Inter Miami scores 2.00 and allows 1.73. Games in this league average 3.18 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 82% of Toronto's games and 73% of Inter Miami's. The Over 2.5 rates are 64% and 73%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Inter Miami has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.38 per game. Toronto takes 11.7 shots per game, while Inter Miami takes 16.2.
First-half and second-half trends
Toronto leads at halftime in 9% of its games and scores 1.36 goals per game after halftime. Inter Miami leads at halftime in 27% and scores 1.09 after halftime.
When the teams score
Toronto's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Inter Miami, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
MLS games average 3.18 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an Inter Miami win (2). Inter clearly holds the advantage in form and efficiency — in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 11 goals and averaged 1.6 points per game, while Toronto scored 9 goals and averaged 0.6 points per game. In season-long metrics Inter averages 2.00 goals per away match and has a 71% away win rate, whereas Toronto at home averages 1.88 goals per match, only a 25% win rate and as many as 63% draws at home. Defensively Toronto conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 per game) and 1.75 goals per home match on average, while Inter conceded 9 in the last 5 (1.8 per game) and 1.43 away, indicating a more stable away defense. Chance-creation stats are similar (around 12.6 shots and 5 on target for Toronto versus 12.86 shots and 5.14 on target for Inter), but Inter has slightly better conversion (16% vs 15%) and more possession (56% vs 49%), so I give the visitors the higher probability of winning.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Toronto has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100% and 100% in the last 5 matches, meaning both teams have scored in every game for this side. Inter Miami has a seasonal BTTS of 57% and 80% in the last 5, and in those five matches scored an average of 2.2 goals and conceded 1.8, so the visitors regularly find the net. Toronto concedes an average of 2.25 goals this season (2.4 in the last 5) and generates xG 2.48 per match versus Inter’s average xG allowed of 1.34, with averages of 22 shots and 8.75 on target for Toronto vs 12.86 and 5.14 for Inter, which suggests an exchange of goals. The hosts have 0% clean sheets this season, while Inter has 29% clean sheets, and the league average goals is 3.18, further supporting a Goal/Goal scenario. Based on this I assess BTTS - Yes probability at 82% and No at 18%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data I expect approximately 3.25 total goals: home xG is 2.48 versus Miami's xG against 1.34 (expected 1.91 for Toronto), and Inter xG is 1.41 with xG against Toronto 1.26, yielding about 1.34 for the visitors. Toronto averages 22.0 shots and 8.75 on target per match versus Inter's 12.86 shots and 5.14 on target, confirming more chances created by the hosts. Seasonal rates show Toronto matches have 100% occurrences over 1.5 goals, Inter 86%, and over 2.5 rates are 75% for Toronto and 71% for Inter (last 5 matches: 80% and 60%). For these reasons I assign a high probability to Over 1.5 (95%) and a significant probability to Over 2.5 (74%), since the expected 3.25 goals is well above the 1.5 threshold and frequently exceeds 2.5 in the data. The best play is therefore Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while the 3.5 line is more balanced (expected edge to Under: 55% vs 45%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT statistics show Toronto were level at the break in 75% of their matches and as many as 75% of their home games finish drawn, so a draw at half-time is the dominant signal. At the same time Inter Miami win 71% of away matches and average 2.29 points per game, scoring on average 1.29 goals after the break versus 0.75 for the hosts, which gives the visitors an advantage in the second half. Toronto generate higher xG (2.48 vs 1.41) and significantly more shots (22.0 vs 12.86), but convert them at only 9% versus Inter Miami’s 16%, so the hosts create chances more quickly which the visitors convert better. In the last five matches Inter Miami led at the break in 40% of games and have HT points of 1.8 versus Toronto’s 1.0; additionally the visitors scored 5 goals in minutes 76–90 compared to 3 conceded by Toronto, suggesting a decision after half-time. On this basis I recommend HT/FT X/2: draw at half-time and Inter Miami to win after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Toronto | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Inter Miami is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Toronto · 1.6 pts / game - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.64 goals / game - Toronto · 2 goals / game - Inter Miami
Inter Miami is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.82 goals / game - Toronto · 1.73 goals / game - Inter Miami
Toronto scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
Inter Miami scores in 82% of games (9 of 11 meczów), while Toronto keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Toronto
Over / Under - Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Inter Miami is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / game - Toronto · 1.36 pts / game - Inter Miami
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Toronto - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 9% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Toronto
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Toronto | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.45 | 3.18 | ▲ 3.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 82% | 58% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 60% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 9% | 24% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Toronto vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished Toronto 2:4 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Toronto vs Inter Miami?
Toronto score 1.64 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.00. The MLS average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 82% of Toronto's matches and 73% of Inter Miami's.
What form are Toronto and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games Toronto have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Inter Miami 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Toronto vs Inter Miami?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.