Finland - VeikkausliigaVeritas StadionData current as of November 03, 2026

TPS vs Ilves: match statistics

TPS crest
TPS
0 : 3half-time 0:1
Ilves crest
Ilves

TPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

TPS played against Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on September 19, 2026. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 0:3.

Recent form

TPS has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ilves has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.

Scoring records

TPS scores 1.17 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ilves scores 1.63 and allows 1.58. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of TPS's games and 58% of Ilves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 63%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 45% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

TPS has the higher season xG average, 1.46 to 1.40 per game. TPS takes 12.1 shots per game, while Ilves takes 11.6.

First-half and second-half trends

TPS leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.63 goals per game after halftime. Ilves leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.79 after halftime.

When the teams score

TPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). For Ilves, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Veikkausliiga games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 45% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

TPS have a clear home advantage: they have won 58% of their home matches, with just 17% defeats, while Ilves have won only 9% of their away games and lost 64%. The hosts concede an average of just 0.75 goals per match at home and keep a clean sheet in 58% of their appearances, whereas Ilves concede an average of 2.36 goals away from home and have failed to keep a single clean sheet. Ilves’s attack creates slightly more, with an average xG of 1.50 compared with TPS’s 1.35, but the visitors have a very poor defensive balance, allowing 1.80 xG against. Both teams have averaged 1.2 points per game over their last five matches, but TPS conceded only 3 goals during that period, compared with Ilves’s 7. The hosts should exploit their opponents’ defensive vulnerability and are the most likely winners of the match.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS - No pick is not primarily based on TPS having a highly solid defense: the hosts have kept a clean sheet in 54% of their matches and concede just 0.92 goals per game on average. Their recent defensive form is even stronger, having conceded just 3 goals across their last five matches, or 0.6 per game. Ilves score an average of 1.55 goals and have a high 82% rate of matches featuring goals from both teams, but they have failed to keep a single clean sheet away from home, which strongly supports a TPS goal. At the same time, TPS have scored just 4 goals in their last five matches, while BTTS - Yes has occurred in only 38% of their matches this season, compared with the league average of 49%. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one team fails to score, even though Ilves’ defensive weakness gives the hosts a realistic chance of finding the net.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

TPS score an average of 1.69 goals at home, while Ilves concede as many as 2.36 goals per away match, clearly increasing the hosts’ attacking potential. Ilves score an average of 1.55 goals and register 13.18 shots per game, although TPS have the stronger defense, conceding just 0.92 goals on average. At least 2 goals were scored in 69% of TPS matches and 91% of Ilves matches, while both teams recorded 100% of games with at least one goal. TPS’s recent form has been more cautious, with 4 goals scored and 3 conceded across five matches, which keeps the 2.5 line close to balance. The strongest signal is for Over 1.5 goals, as the high rates of matches finishing above this line, combined with Ilves’s very poor away defense, should be enough to produce at least two goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

TPS have won 62% of their matches this season, compared with just 9% for Ilves, while the hosts’ points-per-game figure stands at 1.92 versus only 0.55 for the visitors. The strongest signal for TPS to lead at the break comes from the Ilves defense, which concedes an average of 1.55 goals before half-time, compared with just 0.38 goals conceded by TPS during this period. The hosts were ahead after 45 minutes in 46% of their matches, while the visitors went into half-time trailing in as many as 36% of cases. After the interval, TPS still maintain a positive goal difference, scoring an average of 0.85 goals and conceding 0.54, whereas Ilves have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season. Therefore, the most likely HT/FT scenario is TPS leading at half-time and securing the win at full-time (1/1).

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

0 : 1
First half
0 : 2
Second half

Game stats

61Possession (%)39
TPSIlves
28Shots13
TPSIlves
8Shots on target6
TPSIlves
2.88xG1.62
TPSIlves
8Corners3
TPSIlves
79Dangerous attacks52
TPSIlves
12Fouls9
TPSIlves
3Cards1
TPSIlves

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.17Goals scored / game1.63
TPSIlves
1Goals allowed / game1.58
TPSIlves
47%Average possession50%
TPSIlves
4.25Shots on target / game4.58
TPSIlves

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.08Shots per game11.58
TPSIlves
4.25Shots on target4.58
TPSIlves
9.7%Shot conversion14%
TPSIlves
47%Possession50%
TPSIlves
1.46xG for1.4
TPSIlves
1.61xG against1.66
TPSIlves

Shooting quality

TPS: BalancedIlves: Efficient finishing
TPSIlves
Accuracy (shots on target)35%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

TPS
WDDDL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-8-8
1.33 pts / game · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.62BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Ilves
LLLWW
Season result split
38% W17% D46% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-11
1.29 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ilves is 39% better for: goals scored per game.

1.17 goals / game - TPS · 1.63 goals / game - Ilves

TPS is 58% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - TPS · 1.58 goals / game - Ilves

TPS scoring profile: strong

TPS scores in 71% of games (17 of 24 games), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 games).

Ilves scoring profile: very strong

Ilves scores in 88% of games (21 of 24 games), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 33% (8 of 24 games).

28Goals scored (season)39
TPSIlves
24Goals conceded (season)38
TPSIlves
2.17Average goals per game3.21
TPSIlves
4Goals scored (last 5)8
TPSIlves
3Goals conceded (last 5)7
TPSIlves

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal88%
TPSIlves
29%2 goals50%
TPSIlves
17%3 goals17%
TPSIlves
0%4 goals4%
TPSIlves

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal71%
TPSIlves
25%2 goals50%
TPSIlves
8%3 goals25%
TPSIlves
0%4 goals8%
TPSIlves

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time25%
TPSIlves
4%BTTS in both halves8%
TPSIlves
25%Scored in both halves29%
TPSIlves

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS54%
TPSIlves
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
TPSIlves
40%BTTS - last 560%
TPSIlves

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
TPSIlves
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
TPSIlves
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
TPSIlves

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
TPSIlves
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time46%
TPSIlves
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
TPSIlves

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ilves is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.04 pts / game - TPS · 1.46 pts / game - Ilves

TPS - half-time state
21% leading42% draw38% trailing
Ilves - half-time state
38% leading33% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.04Points per game (1st half)1.46
TPSIlves
0.54Goals scored (1st half)0.83
TPSIlves
0.54Goals conceded (1st half)0.92
TPSIlves
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.75
TPSIlves
58%Clean sheet before half-time54%
TPSIlves
63%No goal before half-time42%
TPSIlves

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per game (2nd half)1.46
TPSIlves
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.79
TPSIlves
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
TPSIlves
1.08Average goals (2nd half)1.46
TPSIlves
58%Clean sheet after half-time50%
TPSIlves
42%No goal after half-time42%
TPSIlves

TPS - second-half results

29% W54% D17% L
25
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
34
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding157%

Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Ilves - second-half results

38% W33% D29% L
35
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.46
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

TPS - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.4
Average goals per game0.60.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+10
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Ilves - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.61.0
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game1.21.8
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
4
5
16-30
7
7
31-45
6
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Ilves
ScoredConceded
6
7
0-15
7
5
16-30
7
10
31-45
6
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
8
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.61
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
93%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Ilves

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.31
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
151%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

TPSLigaIlves
Average goals per game▼ 2.172.51▲ 3.21
Both teams scored• 50%50%▲ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%45%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▲ 33%29%• 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 63%73%▲ 79%
Goal after half-time▼ 71%74%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / game
1.08
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. TPSYellow cardAbdoulie Tamba
  2. IlvesSubstitutionOn: Elias TamminenOff: Maksim Stjopin
  3. TPSYellow cardTimo Zaal
  4. IlvesSubstitutionOn: Stanislav BaranovOff: Jesse Kilo
  5. TPSSubstitutionOn: Samuel Anini JrOff: Elmer Vauhkonen
  6. TPSSubstitutionOn: Atte SihvonenOff: Matej Hradecky
  7. IlvesSubstitutionOn: Hamidou CoulibalyOff: Teemu Hytönen
  8. TPSYellow cardPau Juvanteny Costa

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from TPS's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Ilves. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of TPS vs Ilves?

The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 0:3 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between TPS and Ilves?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches TPS won 0, Ilves won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs Ilves?

TPS score 1.17 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.63. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 50% of TPS's matches and 58% of Ilves's.

What form are TPS and Ilves in?

Over the last 5 games TPS have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ilves 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs Ilves?

The statistical background for TPS vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.