Finland - VeikkausliigaVeritas StadionData current as of 22 July 2026

TPS vs Jaro: match statistics

TPS crest
TPS
3 : 2half-time 1:2
Jaro crest
Jaro

TPS vs Jaro: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

TPS play Jaro in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The match date is 27 June 2026 at 18:00. Venue: Veritas Stadion. Final score: 3:2.

Current form

TPS: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Jaro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

TPS scores 1.25 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Jaro scores 0.94 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.67 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: TPS 56%, Jaro 50%. Over 2.5: TPS 50%, Jaro 56%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

xG, shots and style

TPS has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.42. TPS: 11.7 shots per match, Jaro: 11.7.

Match halves

TPS: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69. Jaro: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.25.

Goals by minute

TPS: 76-90+ (6 goals). Jaro: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Veikkausliiga: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict a home win (1). TPS wins 67% of matches at home, scores an average of 1.33 goals and concedes only 0.67 goals per game; at home they keep a clean sheet in 50% of matches and fail to score in 0% of matches (always find the net). Jaro have yet to win away (0% wins), average 0.29 goals scored, concede 2.57 goals and fail to score in 71% of away matches, with only 2% shot conversion. The quality gap is clear: TPS records an average of 4 shots on target at home with a 15% conversion, while Jaro have 3.57 shots on target and 2% conversion; the visitors conceded 13 goals in the last 5 matches, compared to just 4 for TPS. Additionally, TPS generate average xG of 1.21 at home with xG against 1.79, but actually concede 0.67 goals per game, indicating solid defence and efficiency, therefore I assess the chances as: home win 70%, draw 18%, Jaro win 12%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

58Possession (%)42
TPSJaro
23Shots15
TPSJaro
11Shots on target5
TPSJaro
2.66xG1.65
TPSJaro
4Corners8
TPSJaro
61Dangerous attacks49
TPSJaro
10Fouls9
TPSJaro
0Cards3
TPSJaro

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.25Goals scored / match0.94
TPSJaro
1.19Goals conceded / match2
TPSJaro
47%Average possession46%
TPSJaro
4.38Shots on target / match4.38
TPSJaro

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.69Shots per match11.69
TPSJaro
4.38Shots on target4.38
TPSJaro
10.7%Shot conversion8%
TPSJaro
47%Possession46%
TPSJaro
1.45xG for1.42
TPSJaro
1.59xG against1.7
TPSJaro

Shooting quality

TPS: BalancedJaro: Balanced
TPSJaro
Accuracy (shots on target)37%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

TPS is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - TPS · 1 pts / match - Jaro

TPS
DWLWL
Season result split
38% W25% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-6
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-2
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
WLWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Jaro
LDLWD
Season result split
13% W38% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-8
0.75 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-6
Last 5 away
0-0-5
LLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 2.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TPS is 33% better for: goals scored per match.

1.25 goals / match - TPS · 0.94 goals / match - Jaro

TPS is 68% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.19 goals / match - TPS · 2 goals / match - Jaro

TPS scoring profile: very strong

TPS scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Jaro keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).

Jaro scoring profile: strong

Jaro scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while TPS keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).

20Goals scored (season)15
TPSJaro
19Goals conceded (season)32
TPSJaro
2.44Average goals in match2.94
TPSJaro
8Goals scored (last 5)5
TPSJaro
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
TPSJaro

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal56%
TPSJaro
31%2 goals31%
TPSJaro
13%3 goals6%
TPSJaro
0%4 goals0%
TPSJaro

How often they concede at least...

69%1 goal81%
TPSJaro
38%2 goals50%
TPSJaro
13%3 goals31%
TPSJaro
0%4 goals19%
TPSJaro

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time19%
TPSJaro
6%BTTS in both halves6%
TPSJaro
25%Scored in both halves13%
TPSJaro

BTTS and goal count

44%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
TPSJaro
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS25%
TPSJaro
60%BTTS - last 560%
TPSJaro

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
TPSJaro
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
TPSJaro
25%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
TPSJaro

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
TPSJaro
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
TPSJaro
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time19%
TPSJaro

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Jaro is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - TPS · 1.38 pts / match - Jaro

TPS - half-time state
19% leading44% draw38% trailing
Jaro - half-time state
38% leading25% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.38
TPSJaro
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.69
TPSJaro
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
TPSJaro
1.19Average goals (1st half)1.5
TPSJaro
56%Clean sheet before half-time44%
TPSJaro
56%No goal before half-time56%
TPSJaro

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)0.69
TPSJaro
0.69Goals scored (2nd half)0.25
TPSJaro
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)1.19
TPSJaro
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.44
TPSJaro
50%Clean sheet after half-time38%
TPSJaro
38%No goal after half-time75%
TPSJaro

TPS - second-half results

31% W44% R25% P
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Jaro - second-half results

13% W31% R56% P
22
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding34%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

TPS - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.00
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match2.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Jaro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match2.01.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

TPS
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
7
31-45
5
2
46-60
0
5
61-75
6
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Jaro
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
4
3
16-30
4
5
31-45
3
7
46-60
0
4
61-75
1
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.69
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+49%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
45%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

TPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Jaro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.78
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

TPSLigaJaro
Average goals in match 2.442.67 2.94
Both teams scored 56%51% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%47% 56%
Clean sheets 31%28% 19%
Goal before half-time 63%75% 81%
Goal after half-time 81%78% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.67
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.15
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: TPS 0 - 1 - 0 Jaro. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of TPS vs Jaro?

The Veikkausliiga match finished TPS 3:2 Jaro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before TPS vs Jaro?

TPS score 1.25 goals per game on average and Jaro 0.94. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 56% of TPS's matches and 50% of Jaro's.

What form are TPS and Jaro in?

Over the last 5 games TPS have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Jaro 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for TPS vs Jaro?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.