Tractor Sazi vs Paykan: match statistics

Tractor Sazi have a slightly better recent record: they collected 7 points from five matches, with 2 wins and a draw, while Paykan earned 5 points. The hosts scored 4 goals during this period—twice as many as the visitors, who found the net just 2 times in five games. Paykan’s defense looks marginally more solid, having conceded 5 goals compared with Tractor Sazi’s 6, but their very limited attacking output reduces their chances of securing an away win. Both teams have lost 2 of their last 5 matches, while Paykan have recorded 2 draws, making a stalemate a realistic scenario. However, home advantage and higher goal production give Tractor Sazi a slight edge.

The strongest signal points to BTTS - No, as in their last 5 matches, both Tractor Sazi and Paykan recorded games in which both teams scored in only 20% of cases. During this period, Paykan scored just 0.4 goals per match, totaling 2 goals in 5 appearances, which significantly increases the risk of the visitors failing to find the net. Tractor Sazi scored slightly more often, averaging 0.8 goals per match, but they also lacked offensive consistency, scoring only 4 goals in 5 matches. The hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals, while Paykan conceded 1.0; however, the visitors’ low scoring output and the identical low BTTS rates for both teams provide stronger support for a scenario in which at least one team fails to score.

The available season data is incomplete, so the assessment is based primarily on the last 5 matches played by both teams. Tractor Sazi scored 4 goals during this period, averaging 0.8 per match, while Paykan scored just 2, averaging 0.4 per match. In total, both teams conceded 5-6 goals across their five appearances, but matches featuring at least 3 goals occurred in only 20% of Tractor Sazi’s games and 0% of Paykan’s. Both teams recorded both teams to score in just 20% of their recent matches, which limits the likelihood of an open, high-scoring game. The projected total of 1.70 goals clearly favors Under 3.5 goals, as at least 4 goals would be required for this bet to lose, despite Paykan’s very low current attacking output.

The strongest scenario is a draw at both half-time and full-time, as Tractor Sazi were level at the break in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 40% for Paykan. Both teams averaged just 0.2 goals per match before half-time, while the hosts conceded no goals during that period, clearly favouring a cautious opening. Paykan averaged only 0.4 goals per game across their last five matches and failed to score before the break in as many as 80% of them. After the interval, Tractor Sazi concede an average of 1.2 goals, so the draw outcome is not without risk; however, Paykan’s attacking output in that period amounts to only 0.2 goals per match. A full-time draw is also supported by the visitors’ recent form: they drew 2 of their last 5 matches, while their average of 1.4 total goals per game points to limited scoring potential.