Triestina vs Novara: match statistics
Triestina displays impressive home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.92 goals per match, making them the favorite for this fixture. The hosts demonstrate a significantly better shooting efficiency (15% conversion rate) and an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.69 vs 1.30), indicating higher quality of chances created. Novara is characterized by a defensive tactic with as many as 75% draws away from home, but their offense is weak – only 0.92 goals on average per away match and 33% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts' goal difference in home matches (+10) significantly surpasses Novara's away goal difference (-1), and both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (1.2 points per match), suggesting an overall balanced disposition. Considering Triestina's home advantage, their better offensive efficiency, and Novara's tendency to draw, the most probable scenario is a home win, although a draw remains a realistic alternative.
Triestina vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Triestina played against Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The game was played on February 15, 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Triestina has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Novara has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Triestina scores 1.08 goals per game and allows 1.35. Novara scores 0.92 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.25 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 54% of Triestina's games and 54% of Novara's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 27%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Triestina has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.39 per game. Triestina takes 11.7 shots per game, while Novara takes 10.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Triestina leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.77 goals per game after halftime. Novara leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.42 after halftime.
When the teams score
Triestina's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (9 goals). For Novara, it is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group A games average 2.25 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Triestina displays impressive home form with a 50% win rate and an average of 1.92 goals per match, making them the favorite for this fixture. The hosts demonstrate a significantly better shooting efficiency (15% conversion rate) and an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.69 vs 1.30), indicating higher quality of chances created. Novara is characterized by a defensive tactic with as many as 75% draws away from home, but their offense is weak – only 0.92 goals on average per away match and 33% of matches without a goal scored. The hosts' goal difference in home matches (+10) significantly surpasses Novara's away goal difference (-1), and both teams' form in the last five matches is identical (1.2 points per match), suggesting an overall balanced disposition. Considering Triestina's home advantage, their better offensive efficiency, and Novara's tendency to draw, the most probable scenario is a home win, although a draw remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Triestina | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Triestina is 17% better for: goals scored per game.
1.08 goals / game - Triestina · 0.92 goals / game - Novara
Novara is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.35 goals / game - Triestina · 1 goals / game - Novara
Triestina scores in 58% of games (15 of 26 meczów), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 meczów).
Novara scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 meczów), while Triestina keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 26 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Triestina
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Novara is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / game - Triestina · 1.23 pts / game - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Triestina - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 15%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Triestina
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Triestina | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.42 | 2.25 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 49% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 46% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 65% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 71% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Triestina's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Novara. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Triestina vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Triestina 0:1 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Triestina vs Novara?
Triestina score 1.08 goals per game on average and Novara 0.92. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Triestina's matches and 54% of Novara's.
What form are Triestina and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Triestina have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Novara 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Triestina vs Novara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Triestina vs Novara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.