Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tristán Suárez played against Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The game was played on April 13, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Tristán Suárez has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Atlético Rafaela has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Tristán Suárez scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 0.29. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.86 and allows 0.71. Games in this league average 1.89 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Tristán Suárez's games and 43% of Atlético Rafaela's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 29%, compared with league averages of 39% for BTTS and 31% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Tristán Suárez has the higher season xG average, 1.14 to 1.09 per game. Tristán Suárez takes 9.6 shots per game, while Atlético Rafaela takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Tristán Suárez leads at halftime in 43% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Rafaela leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tristán Suárez's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). For Atlético Rafaela, it is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prim B Nacional games average 1.89 goals. Both teams score in 39% of games, and 31% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1): Tristán Suárez is unbeaten at home — 4 wins and 3 draws (0 losses), conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with home xG against of 0.59. In attack the hosts score 1.5 goals per home game (9 goals this season), average 11 shots and 2.75 on target per match with a 14% conversion, while Atlético Rafaela away averages 1.0 goal (6 goals), 10 shots and 3.0 on target but a lower 10% conversion. The visitors do score consistently on the road — they have no away goalless games (0% matches without a goal) — yet their defense is more exposed: away xG against is as high as 1.97 and they concede 1.0 goal per match on average. Form favors the hosts: Tristán Suárez averages 2.0 points in the last 5 matches (dwwwl), Atlético Rafaela averages 1.4 points in their last 5 (wwldl), and the hosts also have 50% clean sheets at home and a positive home goal difference of +4. Based on the hosts’ superior defense, higher home goals per game and the visitors’ high xG against on the road, I assess the probabilities as: Tristán Suárez win 60%, draw 25%, Atlético Rafaela win 15%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The statistics send a mixed signal: Tristán Suárez has a seasonal BTTS only 25% and keeps a clean sheet in 75% of matches, while Atlético Rafaela has a seasonal BTTS of 67% and generates on average 1.18 xG per match. However, form and league context favor No Goal — the home side in the last 5 matches conceded on average 0.4 goals and scored 1.4 goals (7 goals in 5 matches), whereas the visitors in their last 5 matches scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.2 goals (4 scored, 6 conceded). Additionally, the league has a high clean sheet rate of 78% and a low average goals of 1.84 per match, which increases the likelihood of a match without Goal/Goal. Although Atlético has a high seasonal BTTS rate (67%) and opponents create on average 1.97 xG against them, Tristán Suárez’s defensive edge (they concede on average 0.5 goals this season and have 75% clean sheets) and the visitors’ weaker attacking efficiency in the last 5 matches incline the selection toward BTTS - No. Therefore I assess the probability of BTTS at 35% for 'yes' and 65% for 'no', I pick 'no' as the recommended tip.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model (Tristán Suárez attack xG 1.03 and Atlético Rafaela 1.18; xG conceded 1.04 and 1.97 respectively) yields predicted 1.50 xG for Suárez and 1.11 xG for Rafaela, totaling 2.61 expected goals. Season metrics send mixed signals: Suárez has 75% clean-sheet matches and averages 0.75 goals scored per game, while Rafaela records 67% of matches with both teams scoring and produces more shots (10.0 total and 3.0 on target vs. 8.25 and 2.0 for Suárez). In the last 5 appearances Suárez posts 1.3 xG and 1.4 goals per game, Rafaela 0.87 xG and 0.8 goals, which together imply roughly 2.2–2.4 goals in current form and support the likelihood of at least two strikes. Given the projected 2.61 goals and the zero percentage of matches over 3.5 goals this season for both teams, I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest and safest selection; Over 2.5 remains riskier (~44% probability) due to season-long Over 2.5 occurrence of 25–33% for both sides.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Tristán Suárez has an advantage in first halves: in the last 5 matches the hosts led at the break in 3 of 5 games (60%) and averaged 0.8 goals by half-time, whereas Atlético Rafaela failed to score by half-time in those five matches (0.0). The hosts averaged 1.4 goals per match over the last 5 fixtures versus 0.8 for the visitors and accumulated an average of 2.0 points at half-time compared to just 0.4 points for Rafaela, confirming Tristán Suárez’s control early in games. Defensively the hosts concede only 0.5 goals per match on the season and keep clean sheets in 75% of matches, while the visitors concede on average 1.0 goal per match and have an xG against of 1.97, indicating greater defensive vulnerability for Atlético Rafaela. It should be noted, however, that the visitors are active after the break: in their last 5 matches their second half produced more than 0.5 goals in 100% of cases, and Rafaela’s season BTTS is 67%, so there is a real risk of a turnaround after half-time. Considering the hosts’ half-time advantage and solid defense, I tip 1/1 as the most likely outcome (36%), with backups 1/X (18%) and X/X (8%) due to the visitors’ second-half threat.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tristán Suárez | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Tristán Suárez is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Tristán Suárez · 2 pts / game - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tristán Suárez is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Tristán Suárez · 0.86 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela
Tristán Suárez is 145% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.29 goals / game - Tristán Suárez · 0.71 goals / game - Atlético Rafaela
Tristán Suárez scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 meczów), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 meczów).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Tristán Suárez keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tristán Suárez
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tristán Suárez is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.71 pts / game - Tristán Suárez · 1 pts / game - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tristán Suárez - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 43% of games and wins 57%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tristán Suárez
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Tristán Suárez | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.57 | 1.89 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 71% | 38% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 43% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Tristán Suárez 0:0 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
Tristán Suárez score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Tristán Suárez's matches and 43% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Tristán Suárez and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Tristán Suárez have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for Tristán Suárez vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.