Tukums vs Super Nova: match statistics
Tukums vs Super Nova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Tukums play Super Nova in Virsliga (Latvia). The match date is 1 July 2026 at 17:00. Venue: Tukuma pilsētas stadions. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Tukums: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Super Nova: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Tukums scores 1.68 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Super Nova scores 1.05 and concedes 1.59. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Tukums 91%, Super Nova 64%. Over 2.5: Tukums 77%, Super Nova 59%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Tukums has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.15. Tukums: 12.1 shots per match, Super Nova: 8.6.
Match halves
Tukums: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.86. Super Nova: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.45.
Goals by minute
Tukums: 76-90+ (12 goals). Super Nova: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Virsliga: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
6 H2H matches: 1-3-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 83%.
Match description
I predict a home win for Tukums, primarily due to a clear offensive edge in home matches: Tukums averages 11.4 shots per home game, 5.2 on target, with an 18% conversion rate and 2.1 goals per home match, while Super Nova away averages only 8.82 shots, 3.45 on target and 0.91 goals per match with a 10% conversion. In the last 5 matches Tukums scored 6 and conceded 12, averaging 0.8 points per match, whereas Super Nova scored 3 and conceded 11, averaging just 0.2 points per match in that period. Regarding quality of chances, average xG for the home side in home fixtures is 1.39 versus 1.2 xG for the away side, and Tukums has 0% matches without scoring at home, while Super Nova failed to score in 36% of their away matches — this further favors the hosts. Both defenses are, however, prone to errors: Tukums concedes 1.4 goals per home match on average, and Super Nova 1.09 away, so I expect an open game with a home advantage. Considering the shot dominance, superior efficiency (18% vs 10%) and no scoreless home matches for the hosts, I assess the probabilities as 55% for Tukums, 25% for a draw and 20% for Super Nova.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Tukums | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Super Nova is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Tukums · 0.8 pts / match - Super Nova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tukums is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Tukums · 1.05 goals / match - Super Nova
Super Nova is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Tukums · 1.59 goals / match - Super Nova
Tukums scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Super Nova keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Super Nova scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Tukums keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Tukums
Over / Under — Super Nova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Super Nova is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Tukums · 1.05 pts / match - Super Nova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tukums - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Super Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Tukums
Super Nova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Virsliga).
Teams vs league
| Tukums | Liga | Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.68 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 91% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 55% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 23% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 75% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 85% | • 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (6): Tukums 1 - 3 - 2 Super Nova. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 83% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Tukums vs Super Nova?
The Virsliga match finished Tukums 1:2 Super Nova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Tukums and Super Nova?
In the last 6 head-to-head matches Tukums won 1, Super Nova won 2 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 83% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Tukums vs Super Nova?
Tukums score 1.68 goals per game on average and Super Nova 1.05. The Virsliga average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 91% of Tukums's matches and 64% of Super Nova's.
What form are Tukums and Super Nova in?
Over the last 5 games Tukums have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Super Nova 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tukums vs Super Nova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.