Tusker vs Gor Mahia: match statistics
Gor Mahia are showing significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have an impressive record of 16 wins and only 3 losses, while Tusker has won only 11 matches and lost 9. Gor Mahia's advantage in away matches is particularly significant – a 67% win rate, 42% clean sheets, and conceding an average of only 0.58 goals per game. Tusker, at home, has a negative goal difference (-4), a mere 33% win rate, and as many as 42% losses. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.4 points per game for Tusker vs 2.0 for Gor Mahia, but the visitors have a superior overall record). Considering all indicators, especially Gor Mahia's away dominance and Tusker's poor home form, an away win is the most probable outcome.
Tusker vs Gor Mahia: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Gor Mahia in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 19, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Tusker has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Gor Mahia has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 1.00. Gor Mahia scores 1.76 and allows 0.72. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Tusker's games and 48% of Gor Mahia's. The Over 2.5 rates are 32% and 48%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 34% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Gor Mahia has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.47 per game. Tusker takes 11.5 shots per game, while Gor Mahia takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.24 goals per game after halftime. Gor Mahia leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.32 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (13 goals). For Gor Mahia, it is minutes 0-15 (32 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 34% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gor Mahia are showing significantly better form and statistics this season. The visitors have an impressive record of 16 wins and only 3 losses, while Tusker has won only 11 matches and lost 9. Gor Mahia's advantage in away matches is particularly significant – a 67% win rate, 42% clean sheets, and conceding an average of only 0.58 goals per game. Tusker, at home, has a negative goal difference (-4), a mere 33% win rate, and as many as 42% losses. The form of both teams in the last 5 matches also favors the visitors (2.4 points per game for Tusker vs 2.0 for Gor Mahia, but the visitors have a superior overall record). Considering all indicators, especially Gor Mahia's away dominance and Tusker's poor home form, an away win is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Gor Mahia is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Tusker · 2.6 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gor Mahia is 91% better for: goals scored per game.
0.92 goals / game - Tusker · 1.76 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Gor Mahia is 39% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Tusker · 0.72 goals / game - Gor Mahia
Tusker scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Gor Mahia keeps a clean sheet in 44% (11 of 25 meczów).
Gor Mahia scores in 88% of games (22 of 25 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Gor Mahia
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gor Mahia is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Tusker · 1.48 pts / game - Gor Mahia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Gor Mahia - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (32 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Gor Mahia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Gor Mahia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.92 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 34% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 36% | 22% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal after half-time | • 24% | 24% | ▲ 32% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tusker's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Gor Mahia. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 1:0 Gor Mahia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
Tusker score 0.92 goals per game on average and Gor Mahia 1.76. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Tusker's matches and 48% of Gor Mahia's.
What form are Tusker and Gor Mahia in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Gor Mahia 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Gor Mahia?
The statistical background for Tusker vs Gor Mahia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.