Tusker vs Homeboyz: match statistics
Homeboyz display significantly better offensive form, averaging 1 goal per away match compared to Tusker's mere 0.73 goals at home. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches and an alarming defeat rate of 45% at their own stadium. Homeboyz show better efficiency with a 40% win rate in away matches and a balanced goal difference (0) on the road. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (0.96 vs 0.84), suggesting higher quality of chances created. The recent form of both teams (Tusker: lwwlw, Homeboyz: lldww) is comparable; however, Homeboyz's more solid statistical fundamentals in away matches give them the edge in this encounter.
Tusker vs Homeboyz: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Tusker played against Homeboyz in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game was played on March 8, 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Recent form
Tusker has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Homeboyz has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Tusker scores 0.91 goals per game and allows 1.04. Homeboyz scores 1.48 and allows 1.17. Games in this league average 2.08 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Tusker's games and 61% of Homeboyz's. The Over 2.5 rates are 35% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Homeboyz has the higher season xG average, 1.56 to 1.49 per game. Tusker takes 11.7 shots per game, while Homeboyz takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Tusker leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.26 goals per game after halftime. Homeboyz leads at halftime in 13% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Tusker's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (11 goals). For Homeboyz, it is minutes 0-15 (24 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Kenyan Premier League games average 2.08 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Homeboyz display significantly better offensive form, averaging 1 goal per away match compared to Tusker's mere 0.73 goals at home. The hosts have a negative goal difference (-6) in home matches and an alarming defeat rate of 45% at their own stadium. Homeboyz show better efficiency with a 40% win rate in away matches and a balanced goal difference (0) on the road. The xG statistics also favor the visitors (0.96 vs 0.84), suggesting higher quality of chances created. The recent form of both teams (Tusker: lwwlw, Homeboyz: lldww) is comparable; however, Homeboyz's more solid statistical fundamentals in away matches give them the edge in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Tusker | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 49% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Homeboyz is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Tusker · 2.2 pts / game - Homeboyz
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Homeboyz is 63% better for: goals scored per game.
0.91 goals / game - Tusker · 1.48 goals / game - Homeboyz
Tusker is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.04 goals / game - Tusker · 1.17 goals / game - Homeboyz
Tusker scores in 74% of games (17 of 23 meczów), while Homeboyz keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 meczów).
Homeboyz scores in 78% of games (18 of 23 meczów), while Tusker keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Tusker
Over / Under - Homeboyz
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Homeboyz is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Tusker · 1.22 pts / game - Homeboyz
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Tusker - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Homeboyz - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 13% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (24 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Tusker
Homeboyz
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Tusker | Liga | Homeboyz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.96 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 35% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 39% | 24% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal after half-time | • 26% | 26% | ▲ 30% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Tusker's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Homeboyz. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Tusker vs Homeboyz?
The Kenyan Premier League match finished Tusker 2:0 Homeboyz. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Tusker vs Homeboyz?
Tusker score 0.91 goals per game on average and Homeboyz 1.48. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Tusker's matches and 61% of Homeboyz's.
What form are Tusker and Homeboyz in?
Over the last 5 games Tusker have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Homeboyz 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Tusker vs Homeboyz?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Tusker vs Homeboyz: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.