Kenya - Kenyan Premier LeagueAfraha StadiumData current as of October 21, 2026

Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Ulinzi Stars plays TransMara Sugar in Kenyan Premier League (Kenya). The game is scheduled for October 24, 2026. Venue: Afraha Stadium.

Recent form

Ulinzi Stars has 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.50 points per game. TransMara Sugar has 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Ulinzi Stars scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.50. TransMara Sugar scores 2.00 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.24 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Ulinzi Stars's games and 100% of TransMara Sugar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 35% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

TransMara Sugar has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 0.82 per game. Ulinzi Stars takes 4.0 shots per game, while TransMara Sugar takes 10.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Ulinzi Stars leads at halftime in 50% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. TransMara Sugar leads at halftime in 100% and scores 0.50 after halftime.

When the teams score

Ulinzi Stars's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For TransMara Sugar, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Kenyan Premier League games average 2.24 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 35% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 4 away wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0.5Goals scored / game2
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
1.5Goals allowed / game1.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
42%Average possession44%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
2Shots on target / game3.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

4Shots per game10
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
2Shots on target3.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
12.5%Shot conversion20%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
42%Possession44%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0.82xG for1.38
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
1.61xG against1.32
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

Shooting quality

Ulinzi Stars: Counter-attackingTransMara Sugar: Counter-attacking
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
Accuracy (shots on target)50%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.200.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

TransMara Sugar is 300% better for: last-5 form.

0.5 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 2 pts / game - TransMara Sugar

Ulinzi Stars
LD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
0% W50% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-1
0.50 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 at home
0-0-1
L
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 0.82Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 50%Over 2.5: 0%
TransMara Sugar
DW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
50% W50% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-0
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-0
Last 5 away
0-1-0
D
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.5xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.32BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

TransMara Sugar is 300% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Ulinzi Stars · 2 goals / game - TransMara Sugar

Ulinzi Stars scoring profile: very strong

Ulinzi Stars scores in 50% of games (1 of 2 games), while TransMara Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

TransMara Sugar scoring profile: very strong

TransMara Sugar scores in 100% of games (2 of 2 games), while Ulinzi Stars keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 2 games).

1Goals scored (season)4
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
3Goals conceded (season)3
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
2Average goals per game3.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
1Goals scored (last 5)4
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
3Goals conceded (last 5)3
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%2 goals100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%3 goals0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%4 goals0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
50%2 goals50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%3 goals0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%4 goals0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Scored in both halves50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
50%BTTS - last 5100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

TransMara Sugar is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / game - Ulinzi Stars · 3 pts / game - TransMara Sugar

Ulinzi Stars - half-time state
50% leading50% draw0% trailing
TransMara Sugar - half-time state
100% leading0% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per game (1st half)3
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0.5Goals scored (1st half)1.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0Goals conceded (1st half)0
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0.5Average goals (1st half)1.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
100%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
50%No goal before half-time0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per game (2nd half)0
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
1.5Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
1.5Average goals (2nd half)2
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
0%Clean sheet after half-time0%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar
100%No goal after half-time50%
Ulinzi StarsTransMara Sugar

Ulinzi Stars - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding0%

Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.5

Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

TransMara Sugar - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
6
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
3.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at halftime in 100% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.5

Allows 1.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ulinzi Stars - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.000.00
Goals scored / game0.50.0
Goals allowed / game0.01.5
Average goals per game0.51.5
1 goal50%100%
2 goals0%50%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference+1-3
Half-time: 50% leading - 50% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
TransMara Sugar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game3.000.00
Goals scored / game1.50.5
Goals allowed / game0.01.5
Average goals per game1.52.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals50%50%
3 goals0%50%
Clean sheet100%0%
No goal0%50%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 100% leading - 0% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Ulinzi Stars
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

TransMara Sugar
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
2
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.75
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
123%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Ulinzi Stars

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.79
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
42%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

TransMara Sugar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.62
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
189%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-1.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Kenyan Premier League).

Teams vs league

Ulinzi StarsLigaTransMara Sugar
Average goals per game▼ 2.002.24▲ 3.50
Both teams scored▼ 50%53%▲ 100%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%35%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▼ 0%32%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 50%47%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▲ 100%76%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.24
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.18
Home goals / game
1.06
Away goals / game
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defensive advantage
+-5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
47%
1 goal
18%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Ulinzi Stars's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses against TransMara Sugar. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

TransMara Sugar
2 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
TransMara Sugar
2 : 1
Ulinzi Stars
Ulinzi Stars
1 : 2
TransMara Sugar
Ulinzi Stars
1 : 2
TransMara Sugar

FAQ

When do Ulinzi Stars and TransMara Sugar play?

Ulinzi Stars face TransMara Sugar on October 24, 2026 in Kenyan Premier League at Afraha Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ulinzi Stars and TransMara Sugar?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Ulinzi Stars won 0, TransMara Sugar won 4 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

Ulinzi Stars score 0.50 goals per game on average and TransMara Sugar 2.00. The Kenyan Premier League average is 2.24 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Ulinzi Stars's matches and 100% of TransMara Sugar's.

What form are Ulinzi Stars and TransMara Sugar in?

Over the last 5 games Ulinzi Stars have a 0-1-1 record (0.50 points per game) and TransMara Sugar 1-1-0 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar?

The statistical background for Ulinzi Stars vs TransMara Sugar — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.