Umm Salal vs Al Ahli: match statistics
Umm Salal vs Al Ahli: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Umm Salal play Al Ahli in Stars League (Qatar). The match date is 27 April 2026 at 16:15. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Umm Salal: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Al Ahli: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Umm Salal scores 1.68 and concedes 2.55 goals per match. Al Ahli scores 1.55 and concedes 1.95. League average: 3.33 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Umm Salal 68%, Al Ahli 68%. Over 2.5: Umm Salal 86%, Al Ahli 73%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Umm Salal has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.28. Umm Salal: 11.2 shots per match, Al Ahli: 10.4.
Match halves
Umm Salal: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91. Al Ahli: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Umm Salal: 31-45+ (12 goals). Al Ahli: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Stars League: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Al Ahli appears to be the favorite: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and have scored 12 goals (2.4 per match), while Umm Salal have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses and 7 goals (1.4 per match). The home defense is prone to errors — Umm Salal concede an average of 2.6 goals per home match with xG against 1.96, whereas Al Ahli concede 1.7 goals away with xG against 1.58, indicating the visitors limit quality chances better. Offensively Umm Salal generate more attempts (11.5 shots and 4.6 on target at home) and have slightly higher home xG (1.39 vs 1.23 for Al Ahli away), yet the visitors’ superior possession share (53% vs 40%) and better average points in the last 5 matches (2 for Al Ahli vs 1 for Umm Salal) give Al Ahli control of the game. Considering the visitors’ greater finishing efficiency in the last 5 matches (12 vs 7 goals) and lower goals conceded on the road, I assign 55% to an Al Ahli win, 25% to an Umm Salal win and 20% to a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Umm Salal | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Al Ahli is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Umm Salal · 2.2 pts / match - Al Ahli
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Umm Salal is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.68 goals / match - Umm Salal · 1.55 goals / match - Al Ahli
Al Ahli is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.55 goals / match - Umm Salal · 1.95 goals / match - Al Ahli
Umm Salal scores in 82% of matches (18 of 22 matches), while Al Ahli keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 22 matches).
Al Ahli scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Umm Salal
Over / Under — Al Ahli
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Umm Salal · 1.23 pts / match - Al Ahli
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Al Ahli - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Umm Salal
Al Ahli
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Umm Salal | Liga | Al Ahli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.23 | 3.33 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 61% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Umm Salal 1 - 0 - 0 Al Ahli. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Umm Salal vs Al Ahli?
The Stars League match finished Umm Salal 1:3 Al Ahli. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Umm Salal vs Al Ahli?
Umm Salal score 1.68 goals per game on average and Al Ahli 1.55. The Stars League average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Umm Salal's matches and 68% of Al Ahli's.
What form are Umm Salal and Al Ahli in?
Over the last 5 games Umm Salal have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Al Ahli 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Umm Salal vs Al Ahli?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.