Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa: match statistics
As the league leader, Al Gharafa presents significantly higher quality than Umm Salal, who occupy 10th place in the table. The hosts have an alarming home record with 60% of matches lost and an average of 3.2 goals conceded per game at home, which, combined with a goal difference of -8, reveals serious defensive liabilities. Despite average away form (40% wins), Al Gharafa possesses a much better defense, conceding an average of only 1.6 goals on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in possession (49% vs 39%) and better xG metrics, which indicate greater efficiency in creating chances. Although the hosts have recently won two of their last five matches, their streak in home games (wwlll) shows instability, while Al Gharafa, as the leader, should capitalize on the rival's defensive weaknesses.
Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Umm Salal played against Al Gharafa in Stars League (Qatar). The game was played on January 6, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Umm Salal has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Al Gharafa has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Umm Salal scores 1.82 goals per game and allows 2.91. Al Gharafa scores 1.82 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 3.32 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 73% of Umm Salal's games and 55% of Al Gharafa's. The Over 2.5 rates are 91% and 64%, compared with league averages of 55% for BTTS and 61% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Al Gharafa has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.36 per game. Umm Salal takes 11.6 shots per game, while Al Gharafa takes 13.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Umm Salal leads at halftime in 45% of its games and scores 0.91 goals per game after halftime. Al Gharafa leads at halftime in 18% and scores 1.36 after halftime.
When the teams score
Umm Salal's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Al Gharafa, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Stars League games average 3.32 goals. Both teams score in 55% of games, and 61% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
As the league leader, Al Gharafa presents significantly higher quality than Umm Salal, who occupy 10th place in the table. The hosts have an alarming home record with 60% of matches lost and an average of 3.2 goals conceded per game at home, which, combined with a goal difference of -8, reveals serious defensive liabilities. Despite average away form (40% wins), Al Gharafa possesses a much better defense, conceding an average of only 1.6 goals on the road. A key factor is also the visitors' advantage in possession (49% vs 39%) and better xG metrics, which indicate greater efficiency in creating chances. Although the hosts have recently won two of their last five matches, their streak in home games (wwlll) shows instability, while Al Gharafa, as the leader, should capitalize on the rival's defensive weaknesses.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Umm Salal | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Al Gharafa is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / game - Umm Salal · 2.4 pts / game - Al Gharafa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Al Gharafa is 147% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.91 goals / game - Umm Salal · 1.18 goals / game - Al Gharafa
Umm Salal scores in 91% of games (10 of 11 meczów), while Al Gharafa keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 meczów).
Al Gharafa scores in 73% of games (8 of 11 meczów), while Umm Salal keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Umm Salal
Over / Under - Al Gharafa
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Umm Salal is 73% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.73 pts / game - Umm Salal · 1 pts / game - Al Gharafa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Umm Salal - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Al Gharafa - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 73%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Umm Salal
Al Gharafa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Stars League).
Teams vs league
| Umm Salal | Liga | Al Gharafa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.73 | 3.32 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 55% | • 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 91% | 61% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 86% | ▼ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Umm Salal's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Al Gharafa. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa?
The Stars League match finished Umm Salal 2:3 Al Gharafa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa?
Umm Salal score 1.82 goals per game on average and Al Gharafa 1.82. The Stars League average is 3.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Umm Salal's matches and 55% of Al Gharafa's.
What form are Umm Salal and Al Gharafa in?
Over the last 5 games Umm Salal have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Al Gharafa 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa?
The statistical background for Umm Salal vs Al Gharafa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.