União de Leiria vs FC Penafiel: match statistics
União de Leiria vs FC Penafiel: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
União de Leiria play FC Penafiel in LigaPro (Portugal). The match date is 18 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
União de Leiria: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. FC Penafiel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
União de Leiria scores 1.53 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. FC Penafiel scores 1.09 and concedes 1.15. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: União de Leiria 62%, FC Penafiel 44%. Over 2.5: União de Leiria 59%, FC Penafiel 38%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
União de Leiria has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.33. União de Leiria: 12.4 shots per match, FC Penafiel: 11.5.
Match halves
União de Leiria: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.82. FC Penafiel: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
União de Leiria: 76-90+ (11 goals). FC Penafiel: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
LigaPro: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorite is União de Leiria: they sit 3rd in the table versus Penafiel’s 13th, and have scored 45 goals this season compared to the visitors’ 28. At home Leiria averages 1.57 goals per match versus Penafiel’s 0.93 on the road. The hosts create more chances — 13.5 shots and 5.07 on target per match and home xG 1.59, while Penafiel away averages 9.93 shots, 3.29 on target and xG 1.17; shot conversion is 12% vs 9%. Defensively Leiria also looks stronger in terms of opponent chance quality: average xG against is 1.26 at home versus 1.69 that opponents generate against Penafiel on the road. Although Penafiel concedes on average 1.07 goals away, their away goal difference is -2, while Leiria have +4 at home. In the last 5 matches Leiria have a 2-2-1 record and 1.6 pts/match, Penafiel 2-1-2 and 1.4 pts/match; additionally the visitors failed to score in 43% of away games versus only 14% of home matches without a goal, which reinforces Leiria’s edge and justifies a higher probability of a home win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| União de Leiria | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
FC Penafiel is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - União de Leiria · 1.2 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
União de Leiria is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - União de Leiria · 1.09 goals / match - FC Penafiel
FC Penafiel is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.35 goals / match - União de Leiria · 1.15 goals / match - FC Penafiel
União de Leiria scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while FC Penafiel keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
FC Penafiel scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while União de Leiria keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — União de Leiria
Over / Under — FC Penafiel
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
União de Leiria is 55% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - União de Leiria · 0.91 pts / match - FC Penafiel
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
União de Leiria - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
FC Penafiel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
União de Leiria
FC Penafiel
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (LigaPro).
Teams vs league
| União de Leiria | Liga | FC Penafiel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.88 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 46% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 45% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 32% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 64% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 75% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: União de Leiria 0 - 0 - 1 FC Penafiel. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of União de Leiria vs FC Penafiel?
The LigaPro match finished União de Leiria 4:2 FC Penafiel. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before União de Leiria vs FC Penafiel?
União de Leiria score 1.53 goals per game on average and FC Penafiel 1.09. The LigaPro average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 62% of União de Leiria's matches and 44% of FC Penafiel's.
What form are União de Leiria and FC Penafiel in?
Over the last 5 games União de Leiria have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and FC Penafiel 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for União de Leiria vs FC Penafiel?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.