Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of August 13, 2026

Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Univ. Concepción plays La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The game is scheduled for August 14, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo.

Recent form

Univ. Concepción has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. La Serena has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Univ. Concepción scores 0.76 goals per game and allows 1.65. La Serena scores 1.44 and allows 1.72. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's games and 61% of La Serena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 56%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Univ. Concepción has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.30 per game. Univ. Concepción takes 13.1 shots per game, while La Serena takes 11.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Univ. Concepción leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. La Serena leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.72 after halftime.

When the teams score

Univ. Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For La Serena, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(2.26)
(3.35)
(2.85)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.76Goals scored / game1.44
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.65Goals allowed / game1.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
50%Average possession48%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3.88Shots on target / game4.33
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

13.12Shots per game11.89
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3.88Shots on target4.33
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
5.8%Shot conversion12.1%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
50%Possession48%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.41xG for1.3
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.57xG against1.5
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Shooting quality

Univ. Concepción: BalancedLa Serena: Balanced
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
Accuracy (shots on target)30%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.33

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

La Serena is 50% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 0.6 pts / game - La Serena

Univ. Concepción
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
29% W24% R47% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-8
1.12 pts / game · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-3
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
La Serena
LDDLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
22% W44% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-6
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-5-3
Last 5 away
0-4-1
DLDDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

La Serena is 89% better for: goals scored per game.

0.76 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.44 goals / game - La Serena

Univ. Concepción scoring profile: strong

Univ. Concepción scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 meczów), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).

La Serena scoring profile: very strong

La Serena scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 meczów), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).

13Goals scored (season)26
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
28Goals conceded (season)31
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
2.41Average goals per game3.17
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
3Goals scored (last 5)8
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
9Goals conceded (last 5)11
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%2 goals39%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%3 goals22%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%4 goals6%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
41%2 goals44%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
29%3 goals28%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%4 goals17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

41%
Univ. Concepción - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.7 of 17 meczów
51%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time22%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%BTTS in both halves6%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0%Scored in both halves17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS44%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
18%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
6%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

2nd half

65%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

La Serena is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.82 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.61 pts / game - La Serena

Univ. Concepción - half-time state
18% leading29% draw53% trailing
La Serena - half-time state
39% leading44% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.82Points per game (1st half)1.61
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.35Goals scored (1st half)0.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.28
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
35%Clean sheet before half-time61%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
65%No goal before half-time50%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.12Points per game (2nd half)1
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.72
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)1.17
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.89
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
59%Clean sheet after half-time28%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena
71%No goal after half-time56%
Univ. ConcepciónLa Serena

Univ. Concepción - second-half results

24% W41% R35% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

La Serena - second-half results

22% W33% R44% P
29
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.61
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Univ. Concepción - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.201.20
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game1.41.0
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
La Serena - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.00
Goals scored / game0.41.2
Goals allowed / game0.61.6
Average goals per game1.02.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Univ. Concepción
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
6
16-30
3
5
31-45
2
3
46-60
3
4
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

La Serena
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
7
6
31-45
5
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
5
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
51%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-28%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
51%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Univ. Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+10.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
45%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
140%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

La Serena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Univ. ConcepciónLigaLa Serena
Average goals per game 2.412.85 3.17
Both teams scored 41%51% 61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%55% 56%
Clean sheets 29%27% 22%
Goal before half-time 82%73% 67%
Goal after half-time 65%77% 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.85
Average goals per game
51%
Both teams scored
55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / game
1.18
Away goals / game
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Univ. Concepción's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against La Serena. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Univ. Concepción and La Serena play?

Univ. Concepción face La Serena on August 14, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?

Univ. Concepción score 0.76 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 61% of La Serena's.

What form are Univ. Concepción and La Serena in?

Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and La Serena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.