Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: match statistics
Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Univ. Concepción played against La Serena in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on August 14, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Univ. Concepción has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. La Serena has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Univ. Concepción scores 0.76 goals per game and allows 1.65. La Serena scores 1.44 and allows 1.72. Games in this league average 2.85 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's games and 61% of La Serena's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 56%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Univ. Concepción has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.30 per game. Univ. Concepción takes 13.1 shots per game, while La Serena takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Univ. Concepción leads at halftime in 18% of its games and scores 0.41 goals per game after halftime. La Serena leads at halftime in 39% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Univ. Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For La Serena, it is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.85 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Univ. Concepción have a clearly superior home record: they win 50% of their matches, while La Serena win only 11% of their away fixtures. The hosts concede just 0.88 goals per game at home and keep a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances, whereas the visitors allow opponents an average of 2.22 goals away from home and have conceded in eight of their nine away matches. La Serena score 1.33 goals per away game, but their average xG is 1.30, while the hosts create chances worth 1.49 xG at home and should be able to exploit the weaknesses of a defense with an average xG against of 1.67. Both teams are in concerning form, with Univ. Concepción losing 4 of their last 5 matches and La Serena failing to win any of their last five. However, home advantage and the hosts’ more stable defense favor Univ. Concepción. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 56% of La Serena’s away matches end level.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators lean slightly toward goals at both ends: they stand at 56% for Univ. Concepción and 67% for La Serena, compared with the league average of 51%. The hosts should have a good chance of scoring, as they average 1.56 goals at home, while La Serena concede as many as 2.22 goals per match and have kept a clean sheet in only 11% of their games. The visitors also have a solid foundation for scoring, averaging 1.30 xG this season; over their last five matches, that figure has risen to 1.68 xG, while they have scored an average of 1.4 goals. The main warning sign is the hosts’ poor recent attacking form: they have scored just 3 goals in their last five fixtures and recorded BTTS in only 20% of matches. Despite this, La Serena’s defensive weakness—having conceded 11 goals over the same period—clearly increases the likelihood that both teams will find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Univ. Concepción average 1.56 goals at home, while La Serena concede as many as 2.22 goals per away match, which clearly favors the hosts scoring at least once. The visitors generate average xG of 1.30, while the hosts allow opponents xG of 1.32, so La Serena also have a realistic chance of adding a goal. Over the course of the season, matches with at least 2 goals accounted for 67% of the hosts’ games and 78% of the visitors’ games. Caution around the 2.5 line is warranted due to Concepción’s recent form: they have scored just 3 goals in their last five matches, with only 20% of those games going Over 2.5 goals. The strongest signal therefore remains Over 1.5 goals, supported by a projected total of 2.35 goals and La Serena’s particularly weak away defense.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Univ. Concepción have a clear first-half advantage: they led at the break in 56% of matches, averaging 1.00 goals scored and conceding just 0.33, while La Serena scored only 0.44 goals before half-time. The visitors failed to score in 78% of first halves and went into the break trailing in 33%, reinforcing the scenario of a home lead. Across the season, the hosts average 1.56 goals per match, whereas La Serena concede as many as 2.22, with an xGA of 1.67 compared with the hosts’ 1.29 xG. Both teams are in poor form, but La Serena have failed to win any of their last five matches, collecting just 0.4 points per game during that run. Although the visitors are more dangerous after the break and average 0.89 goals in the second half, their defensive weakness—particularly the eight goals conceded between minutes 76 and 90—favors Univ. Concepción maintaining or extending their lead.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Univ. Concepción | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
La Serena is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 0.6 pts / game - La Serena
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
La Serena is 89% better for: goals scored per game.
0.76 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.44 goals / game - La Serena
Univ. Concepción scores in 65% of games (11 of 17 games), while La Serena keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 games).
La Serena scores in 78% of games (14 of 18 games), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
Over / Under - La Serena
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
La Serena is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.82 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.61 pts / game - La Serena
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 18% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
La Serena - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 39% of games and wins 22%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Univ. Concepción
La Serena
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Univ. Concepción | Liga | La Serena | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.41 | 2.85 | ▲ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 55% | • 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 77% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Univ. Concepción's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against La Serena. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 0:2 La Serena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
Univ. Concepción score 0.76 goals per game on average and La Serena 1.44. The Primera División average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 61% of La Serena's.
What form are Univ. Concepción and La Serena in?
Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and La Serena 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Univ. Concepción vs La Serena: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.