Chile - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa RebolledoData current as of November 11, 2026

Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins: match statistics

Univ. Concepción crest
Univ. Concepción
3 : 2half-time 2:1
O'Higgins crest
O'Higgins

Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Univ. Concepción played against O'Higgins in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on November 8, 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo. Final score: 3:2.

Recent form

Univ. Concepción has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. O'Higgins has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

Univ. Concepción scores 0.73 goals per game and allows 1.81. O'Higgins scores 1.15 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.83 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of Univ. Concepción's games and 50% of O'Higgins's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 46%, compared with league averages of 53% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

O'Higgins has the higher season xG average, 1.57 to 1.37 per game. Univ. Concepción takes 12.8 shots per game, while O'Higgins takes 14.4.

First-half and second-half trends

Univ. Concepción leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.35 goals per game after halftime. O'Higgins leads at halftime in 27% and scores 0.58 after halftime.

When the teams score

Univ. Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For O'Higgins, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.83 goals. Both teams score in 53% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

O'Higgins come into the match in clearly better form: they have won 3 of their last 5 games and conceded just 3 goals, while Univ. Concepción have failed to win any and have conceded 12. The visitors are also more effective in attack away from home, averaging 1.31 goals per game compared with the hosts' 0.67 at home, although their average xG figures are almost identical: 1.45 to 1.48. This points to a problem with the hosts' finishing—they have failed to score in 50% of their home games, compared with 38% of the visitors' away matches. However, backing O'Higgins is not without risk, as they have lost 54% of their away games and concede an average of 1.85 goals in those matches, while the hosts have won 42% of their home games. Ultimately, the visitors' edge comes mainly from the difference in current form and finishing.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The strongest signal points to the hosts potentially failing to score: they have averaged 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, while O'Higgins have conceded just 0.6. Over the same period, both teams scored in only 20% of the away side's matches, compared with 60% of the hosts' matches. Across the season, Univ. Concepción have failed to score in 31% of their matches, and O'Higgins in 38%, further supporting the possibility that at least one side will draw a blank. The main risk to this pick is the visitors' defense, which has conceded an average of 1.85 goals per match this season, while the hosts' xG stands at 1.68. Even so, the hosts' recent scoring form and O'Higgins' improved defense make BTTS - No more likely. This means at least one team is expected not to score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 result.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 85% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 62% of O'Higgins' games. The hosts average 1.00 goals scored, dropping to just 0.60 over their last 5 matches, which limits the chances of a very high-scoring game despite the visitors conceding an average of 1.85 goals per game this season. O'Higgins average 1.31 goals scored, but have conceded just 0.60 goals per game across their last 5 outings and have not been involved in a match with Over 2.5 goals during that span. The attacking potential of both teams, reflected in xG figures of 1.68 and 1.45, points to a few goals, but the projected total of 2.55 goals still gives Under 3.5 a clear edge.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal in favor of O'Higgins leading at the break is recent form: Univ. Concepción were trailing at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, while the visitors kept a clean sheet at half-time in 4 of 5 games. The visitors' advantage after the break also looks credible: they won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the hosts won none and conceded an average of 2.4 goals per match, compared with 0.6 for O'Higgins. The 2/2 pick is also supported by the second-half record over this period — the visitors scored an average of 0.6 goals after the break, while the hosts managed 0.4. However, this is not a clear-cut favorite: over the full season, the hosts led at the break in 38% of matches, compared with just 15% for O'Higgins, so a draw at half-time followed by a visitors' win remains a significant alternative.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

2 : 1
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

38Possession (%)62
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12Shots20
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
7Shots on target4
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.49xG1.86
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
2Corners5
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
34Dangerous attacks43
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
6Fouls13
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1Cards2
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.73Goals scored / game1.15
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.81Goals allowed / game1.5
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
48%Average possession53%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
3.73Shots on target / game4.85
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.85Shots per game14.42
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
3.73Shots on target4.85
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
5.7%Shot conversion8%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
48%Possession53%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.37xG for1.57
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.66xG against1.49
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Shooting quality

Univ. Concepción: BalancedO'Higgins: Attacking
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
Accuracy (shots on target)29%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

O'Higgins is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.4 pts / game - O'Higgins

Univ. Concepción
LLDLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
23% W19% D58% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-5-15
0.88 pts / game · goal difference -28
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-6
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.38Opponent xG: 1.76BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
O'Higgins
WLLDW
Season result split
35% W15% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-13
1.19 pts / game · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-3-7
Last 5 away
1-1-3
WDLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.40BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

O'Higgins is 58% better for: goals scored per game.

0.73 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.15 goals / game - O'Higgins

O'Higgins is 21% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.81 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.5 goals / game - O'Higgins

Univ. Concepción scoring profile: strong

Univ. Concepción scores in 62% of games (16 of 26 games), while O'Higgins keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 games).

O'Higgins scoring profile: very strong

O'Higgins scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 games), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 games).

19Goals scored (season)30
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
47Goals conceded (season)39
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
2.54Average goals per game2.65
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12Goals conceded (last 5)5
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal65%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12%2 goals42%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%3 goals8%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%4 goals0%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal81%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
46%2 goals46%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
27%3 goals19%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12%4 goals4%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time19%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%BTTS in both halves12%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0%Scored in both halves23%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
60%BTTS - last 540%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
35%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

O'Higgins is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.85 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.12 pts / game - O'Higgins

Univ. Concepción - half-time state
19% leading27% draw54% trailing
O'Higgins - half-time state
27% leading31% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.85Points per game (1st half)1.12
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.58
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.23
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
38%Clean sheet before half-time46%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
65%No goal before half-time54%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

After half-time (2nd half)

0.88Points per game (2nd half)0.88
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.35Goals scored (2nd half)0.58
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.85
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
1.15Average goals (2nd half)1.42
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
46%Clean sheet after half-time35%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins
73%No goal after half-time58%
Univ. ConcepciónO'Higgins

Univ. Concepción - second-half results

15% W42% D42% L
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-16
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

O'Higgins - second-half results

15% W42% D42% L
29
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
23
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.12
PPG before half-time
Lead holding130%

Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Univ. Concepción - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
O'Higgins - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.800.40
Goals scored / game0.80.0
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.20.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Univ. Concepción
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
3
11
16-30
4
8
31-45
3
5
46-60
3
5
61-75
3
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

O'Higgins
ScoredConceded
4
5
0-15
3
6
16-30
8
6
31-45
4
5
46-60
4
5
61-75
7
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.59
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
13%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Univ. Concepción

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.79
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+12.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.64
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
44%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
155%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

O'Higgins

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
90%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Univ. ConcepciónLigaO'Higgins
Average goals per game▼ 2.542.83▼ 2.65
Both teams scored▼ 46%53%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 46%53%▼ 46%
Clean sheets▼ 19%26%▼ 19%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%74%▲ 81%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%77%• 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.83
Average goals per game
53%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / game
1.17
Away goals / game
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
21%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Univ. ConcepciónYellow cardOsvaldo Alexis González Sepúlveda
  2. Univ. ConcepciónGoalCristopher Mesías
  3. Univ. ConcepciónGoalHarol SalgadoAssist: Iam González
  4. O'HigginsGoalEsteban MoreiraAssist: Bastián Yañez
  5. O'HigginsSubstitutionOn: Benjamin PérezOff: Felipe Ogaz
  6. O'HigginsYellow cardSantiago Toloza
  7. O'HigginsSubstitutionOn: Bryan Martín Rabello MellaOff: Esteban Moreira
  8. Univ. ConcepciónSubstitutionOn: Facundo MaterOff: Rogelio Gabriel Funes Mori
  9. O'HigginsYellow cardBenjamin Pérez

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from Univ. Concepción's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against O'Higgins. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

FAQ

What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins?

The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 3:2 O'Higgins. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Univ. Concepción score 0.73 goals per game on average and O'Higgins 1.15. The Primera División average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 50% of O'Higgins's.

What form are Univ. Concepción and O'Higgins in?

Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and O'Higgins 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Univ. Concepción vs O'Higgins: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.