Univ. Concepción vs Palestino: match statistics
Universidad de Concepción displays solid home form with a 67% win rate at their own stadium and a -1 goal difference, indicating defensive stability. The hosts have the upper hand in expected goals (xG) on home turf (1.79 vs 1.23), suggesting efficiency in creating scoring chances. Palestino have failed to win a single away match this season (0% win rate), losing all four road fixtures and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Despite the visitors' better overall form in the last five matches, their disastrous away stats (form 'll') and the fact that they have never kept a clean sheet on the road heavily favor the hosts. Considering all factors, especially Concepción's dominance at home and Palestino's total ineffectiveness away, a home win is predicted, although the difference in class is not large enough to entirely rule out a draw.
Univ. Concepción vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Univ. Concepción play Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The match date is 15 March 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Univ. Concepción: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Palestino: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Univ. Concepción scores 0.87 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. Palestino scores 1.53 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Univ. Concepción 47%, Palestino 60%. Over 2.5: Univ. Concepción 53%, Palestino 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Palestino has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.39. Univ. Concepción: 13.1 shots per match, Palestino: 14.6.
Match halves
Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.47. Palestino: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (3 goals). Palestino: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Universidad de Concepción displays solid home form with a 67% win rate at their own stadium and a -1 goal difference, indicating defensive stability. The hosts have the upper hand in expected goals (xG) on home turf (1.79 vs 1.23), suggesting efficiency in creating scoring chances. Palestino have failed to win a single away match this season (0% win rate), losing all four road fixtures and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Despite the visitors' better overall form in the last five matches, their disastrous away stats (form 'll') and the fact that they have never kept a clean sheet on the road heavily favor the hosts. Considering all factors, especially Concepción's dominance at home and Palestino's total ineffectiveness away, a home win is predicted, although the difference in class is not large enough to entirely rule out a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Univ. Concepción | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palestino is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 2 pts / match - Palestino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palestino is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
0.87 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.53 goals / match - Palestino
Palestino is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.73 goals / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.4 goals / match - Palestino
Univ. Concepción scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Palestino scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Univ. Concepción
Over / Under — Palestino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Univ. Concepción · 1.73 pts / match - Palestino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Univ. Concepción
Palestino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Univ. Concepción | Liga | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.60 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 53% | • 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 72% | • 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 1:0 Palestino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
Univ. Concepción score 0.87 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.53. The Primera División average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 60% of Palestino's.
What form are Univ. Concepción and Palestino in?
Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Palestino 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.