Univ. Concepción vs Palestino: match statistics
Universidad de Concepción displays solid home form with a 67% win rate at their own stadium and a -1 goal difference, indicating defensive stability. The hosts have the upper hand in expected goals (xG) on home turf (1.79 vs 1.23), suggesting efficiency in creating scoring chances. Palestino have failed to win a single away match this season (0% win rate), losing all four road fixtures and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Despite the visitors' better overall form in the last five matches, their disastrous away stats (form 'll') and the fact that they have never kept a clean sheet on the road heavily favor the hosts. Considering all factors, especially Concepción's dominance at home and Palestino's total ineffectiveness away, a home win is predicted, although the difference in class is not large enough to entirely rule out a draw.
Univ. Concepción vs Palestino: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Univ. Concepción played against Palestino in Primera División (Chile). The game was played on March 15, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Univ. Concepción has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Palestino has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Univ. Concepción scores 0.83 goals per game and allows 1.50. Palestino scores 1.83 and allows 1.67. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Univ. Concepción's games and 83% of Palestino's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 67%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Palestino has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.46 per game. Univ. Concepción takes 13.8 shots per game, while Palestino takes 15.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Univ. Concepción leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Palestino leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.17 after halftime.
When the teams score
Univ. Concepción's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). For Palestino, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Universidad de Concepción displays solid home form with a 67% win rate at their own stadium and a -1 goal difference, indicating defensive stability. The hosts have the upper hand in expected goals (xG) on home turf (1.79 vs 1.23), suggesting efficiency in creating scoring chances. Palestino have failed to win a single away match this season (0% win rate), losing all four road fixtures and conceding an average of 2.5 goals per game. Despite the visitors' better overall form in the last five matches, their disastrous away stats (form 'll') and the fact that they have never kept a clean sheet on the road heavily favor the hosts. Considering all factors, especially Concepción's dominance at home and Palestino's total ineffectiveness away, a home win is predicted, although the difference in class is not large enough to entirely rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Univ. Concepción | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Palestino is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.4 pts / game - Palestino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palestino is 120% better for: goals scored per game.
0.83 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.83 goals / game - Palestino
Univ. Concepción is 11% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.67 goals / game - Palestino
Univ. Concepción scores in 67% of games (4 of 6 meczów), while Palestino keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
Palestino scores in 83% of games (5 of 6 meczów), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
Over / Under - Palestino
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palestino is 120% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / game - Univ. Concepción · 1.83 pts / game - Palestino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Palestino - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 33%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Univ. Concepción
Palestino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Univ. Concepción | Liga | Palestino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.33 | 2.37 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▲ 83% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 69% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
The Primera División match finished Univ. Concepción 1:0 Palestino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
Univ. Concepción score 0.83 goals per game on average and Palestino 1.83. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Univ. Concepción's matches and 83% of Palestino's.
What form are Univ. Concepción and Palestino in?
Over the last 5 games Univ. Concepción have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Palestino 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Univ. Concepción vs Palestino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.