UPDF vs BUL: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
UPDF vs BUL: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
UPDF plays BUL in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Bombo Stadium.
Recent form
UPDF has 1 win, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.25 points per game. BUL has 4 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses, with 3.00 points per game.
Scoring records
UPDF scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 0.50. BUL scores 2.75 and allows 0.75. Games in this league average 2.05 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 25% of UPDF's games and 75% of BUL's. The Over 2.5 rates are 25% and 75%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 40% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BUL has the higher season xG average, 1.74 to 1.25 per game. UPDF takes 6.8 shots per game, while BUL takes 13.5.
First-half and second-half trends
UPDF leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. BUL leads at halftime in 75% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
UPDF's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). For BUL, it is minutes 0-15 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.05 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 40% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | BUL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.15 | 0.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
BUL is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1.25 pts / game - UPDF · 3 pts / game - BUL
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
BUL is 450% better for: goals scored per game.
0.5 goals / game - UPDF · 2.75 goals / game - BUL
UPDF is 50% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - UPDF · 0.75 goals / game - BUL
UPDF scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 games), while BUL keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 games).
BUL scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 games), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UPDF
Over / Under - BUL
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BUL is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / game - UPDF · 2.5 pts / game - BUL
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 25%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
BUL - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 100%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.50 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
UPDF
BUL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | BUL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.00 | 2.05 | ▲ 3.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 37% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 40% | ▲ 75% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 25% | 67% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from UPDF's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against BUL. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do UPDF and BUL play?
UPDF face BUL on October 18, 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Bombo Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between UPDF and BUL?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches UPDF won 1, BUL won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs BUL?
UPDF score 0.50 goals per game on average and BUL 2.75. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 25% of UPDF's matches and 75% of BUL's.
What form are UPDF and BUL in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 1-2-1 record (1.25 points per game) and BUL 4-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs BUL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UPDF vs BUL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.