UPDF vs KCCA: match statistics
UPDF vs KCCA: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
UPDF play KCCA in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 13 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
UPDF: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. KCCA: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
UPDF scores 0.80 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. KCCA scores 1.53 and concedes 0.73. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: UPDF 40%, KCCA 43%. Over 2.5: UPDF 40%, KCCA 50%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
KCCA has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.53. UPDF: 10.8 shots per match, KCCA: 11.8.
Match halves
UPDF: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.43. KCCA: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
UPDF: 31-45+ (6 goals). KCCA: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win for KCCA. KCCA has 17 wins this season versus UPDF’s 5 and a superior goal record 40–20 compared to 22–37, yielding a +20 goal difference versus -15 and a clear seasonal advantage. In the last 5 matches KCCA scored 6 and conceded 2 with an average of 2.0 points per game, while UPDF scored 5 and conceded 7 with PPG 0.8, indicating better form and defensive stability for the visitors. The away side is also more efficient in chance conversion (shot conversion 11% vs 6%) with a similar number of shots on target (3.33 vs 3.15), and although UPDF has a higher home xG (1.61 vs 1.47 for KCCA away), the hosts convert that into only 0.69 goals at home on average, suggesting finishing issues. Considering the superiority in wins, better efficiency and the lower number of goals conceded (20 vs 37 this season), I give KCCA approximately a 65% chance to win, a 20% draw probability and a 15% chance for UPDF to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| UPDF | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
KCCA is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - UPDF · 2.2 pts / match - KCCA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
KCCA is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.8 goals / match - UPDF · 1.53 goals / match - KCCA
KCCA is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - UPDF · 0.73 goals / match - KCCA
UPDF scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while KCCA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
KCCA scores in 73% of matches (22 of 30 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 27% (8 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — UPDF
Over / Under — KCCA
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
KCCA is 99% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.87 pts / match - UPDF · 1.73 pts / match - KCCA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UPDF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KCCA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
UPDF
KCCA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| UPDF | Liga | KCCA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.17 | 2.09 | ▲ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▲ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 35% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 39% | • 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 59% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: UPDF 0 - 0 - 1 KCCA. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of UPDF vs KCCA?
The Uganda Premier League match finished UPDF 1:2 KCCA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before UPDF vs KCCA?
UPDF score 0.80 goals per game on average and KCCA 1.53. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of UPDF's matches and 43% of KCCA's.
What form are UPDF and KCCA in?
Over the last 5 games UPDF have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and KCCA 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UPDF vs KCCA?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for UPDF vs KCCA: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.