URA vs Calvary: match statistics
URA vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
URA play Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 12 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
URA: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Calvary: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
URA scores 0.90 and concedes 0.97 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.48 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: URA 40%, Calvary 21%. Over 2.5: URA 27%, Calvary 17%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
URA has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.18. URA: 11.0 shots per match, Calvary: 3.6.
Match halves
URA: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40. Calvary: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.21.
Goals by minute
URA: 31-45+ (8 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
URA are the favorites: the hosts score on average 1.38 goals per home match with xG 1.71, and overall have 23 goals and 4 wins this season; Calvary have only 11 goals and 3 wins. Defensively URA concede 1.08 goals on average at home with xG against 1.22, while Calvary concede 2.00 goals on the road with xG against 1.95, indicating greater vulnerability from the visitors. In chance creation, the hosts average 4.92 shots on target at home with a conversion rate of 12%, whereas Calvary manage only 2.73 shots on target away with a 4% conversion and fail to score in 77% of away matches. Although Calvary have a better recent record in the last 5 matches (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) and average 1.6 points per game, URA have 0 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss in that period with 0.8 points per game, showing that the visitors’ form advantage does not offset their away issues. Considering URA’s superiority in quality of chances (xG 1.71 vs 1.14) and better finishing, I tip the home win and estimate probabilities at 65% for URA, 20% for a draw and 15% for Calvary.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| URA | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.33 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.61 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calvary is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - URA · 1.6 pts / match - Calvary
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
URA is 88% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - URA · 0.48 goals / match - Calvary
URA is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.97 goals / match - URA · 1.24 goals / match - Calvary
URA scores in 50% of matches (15 of 30 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 38% (11 of 29 matches).
Calvary scores in 34% of matches (10 of 29 matches), while URA keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — URA
Over / Under — Calvary
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
URA is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - URA · 0.76 pts / match - Calvary
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
URA - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 17%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Calvary - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
URA
Calvary
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| URA | Liga | Calvary | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.87 | 2.09 | ▼ 1.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 40% | 38% | ▼ 21% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 27% | 35% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | • 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 59% | ▼ 48% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 62% | ▼ 41% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: URA 0 - 1 - 0 Calvary. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of URA vs Calvary?
The Uganda Premier League match finished URA 1:1 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before URA vs Calvary?
URA score 0.90 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.48. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 40% of URA's matches and 21% of Calvary's.
What form are URA and Calvary in?
Over the last 5 games URA have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Calvary 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for URA vs Calvary?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.