USMNT vs Belgium: match statistics
USMNT vs Belgium: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
USMNT played against Belgium in World Cup (International). The game was played on July 7, 2026. Venue: Lumen Field. Final score: 1:4.
Recent form
USMNT has 3 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.25 points per game. Belgium has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
USMNT scores 2.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Belgium scores 2.25 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.90 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of USMNT's games and 75% of Belgium's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 50%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 55% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Belgium has the higher season xG average, 2.43 to 1.56 per game. USMNT takes 13.0 shots per game, while Belgium takes 23.0.
First-half and second-half trends
USMNT leads at halftime in 75% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Belgium leads at halftime in 25% and scores 2.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
USMNT's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). For Belgium, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
World Cup games average 2.90 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 55% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Typ 1X2 after 90 minutes: 1. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. Our prediction: 41% for USMNT, 29% for draw and 30% for Belgium. Most likely exact score: 2:1. Promotion after the whole match: USMNT (54% vs 46%). Status: SMALL BET
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Typ BTTS: yes. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. Both sides have a real path to goal: one through control and territorial pressure, the other through transitions, set pieces or space after losing the ball. The model gives 58% on BTTS Yes and 42% on BTTS No, with xG USMNT 1.55 and Belgium 1.25. Status: SMALL BET
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Typ: over 2.5. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. The model gives 53% on Over 2.5 and 47% on Under 2.5. xG: USMNT 1.55, Belgium 1.25, total 2.80. Most likely result: 2:1. Line 2.5 is the most sensitive to the goal of the weaker side: 2:0 leaves the under, but 2:1 immediately moves the match to the over. Therefore, the rating depends on whether the underdog has a credible path to the goal. Status: NOBET
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Typ HT/FT: 1/1. USMNT loses an important striker, but still has the advantage of intensity, host and energy of the match. Belgium has bigger names in the team, but after a dramatic promotion he may enter the match with a greater physical and emotional burden. This match should be close, but USMNT has a better profile for the second half: pressing, pace, stadium and a greater ability to force errors when passing the ball by Belgium. The host has the best chance to lead at the break and maintain the advantage thanks to rhythm control and better quality in key sectors. Top tracks: 1/1 21%, X/1 17% and X/X 17%. The spread is calibrated to our 1X2 41%-29%-30% and does not use odds. Status: NOBET
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| USMNT | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.59 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
USMNT is 13% better for: last-5 form.
2.25 pts / game - USMNT · 2 pts / game - Belgium
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
USMNT is 11% better for: goals scored per game.
2.5 goals / game - USMNT · 2.25 goals / game - Belgium
USMNT scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Belgium keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
Belgium scores in 75% of games (3 of 4 meczów), while USMNT keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - USMNT
Over / Under - Belgium
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
USMNT is 125% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / game - USMNT · 1 pts / game - Belgium
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
USMNT - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 75% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Belgium - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.25 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 75% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 0% | 25% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 50% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
USMNT
Belgium
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (World Cup).
Teams vs league
| USMNT | Liga | Belgium | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.50 | 2.90 | ▲ 3.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of USMNT vs Belgium?
The World Cup match finished USMNT 1:4 Belgium. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before USMNT vs Belgium?
USMNT score 2.50 goals per game on average and Belgium 2.25. The World Cup average is 2.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of USMNT's matches and 75% of Belgium's.
What form are USMNT and Belgium in?
Over the last 5 games USMNT have a 3-0-1 record (2.25 points per game) and Belgium 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for USMNT vs Belgium?
The statistical background for USMNT vs Belgium — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.