Peru - Primera DivisiónEstadio Héroes de San RamónData current as of October 19, 2026

UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: match statistics

Reasoning:

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UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

UTC Cajamarca plays Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón.

Recent form

UTC Cajamarca has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Melgar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.

Scoring records

UTC Cajamarca scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.79. Melgar scores 1.76 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 62% of UTC Cajamarca's games and 66% of Melgar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 59%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Melgar has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.37 per game. UTC Cajamarca takes 12.5 shots per game, while Melgar takes 15.6.

First-half and second-half trends

UTC Cajamarca leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Melgar leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

UTC Cajamarca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Melgar, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Primera División games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.50)
(3.80)
(1.66)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.1Goals scored / game1.76
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.79Goals allowed / game1.14
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
50%Average possession55%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
4.41Shots on target / game5.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.48Shots per game15.62
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
4.41Shots on target5.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
8.8%Shot conversion11.3%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
50%Possession55%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.37xG for1.65
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.57xG against1.4
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Shooting quality

UTC Cajamarca: BalancedMelgar: Dominant
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

UTC Cajamarca
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
14% W28% D59% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-8-17
0.69 pts / game · goal difference -20
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-6-6
Last 5 at home
0-1-4
DLLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 2.08BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Melgar
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
48% W28% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-8-7
1.72 pts / game · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
DWLWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Melgar is 60% better for: goals scored per game.

1.1 goals / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.76 goals / game - Melgar

Melgar is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.79 goals / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.14 goals / game - Melgar

UTC Cajamarca scoring profile: strong

UTC Cajamarca scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).

Melgar scoring profile: very strong

Melgar scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).

32Goals scored (season)51
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
52Goals conceded (season)33
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
2.9Average goals per game2.9
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
5Goals scored (last 5)11
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

How often they score at least...

69%1 goal86%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
38%2 goals52%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
3%3 goals28%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0%4 goals10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal72%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
62%2 goals24%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
24%3 goals14%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
7%4 goals3%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time28%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
14%BTTS in both halves7%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
24%Scored in both halves34%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
60%BTTS - last 560%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

69%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
34%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Melgar is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.79 pts / game - Melgar

UTC Cajamarca - half-time state
14% leading45% draw41% trailing
Melgar - half-time state
45% leading45% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per game (1st half)1.79
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.38Goals scored (1st half)0.86
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.76Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.24
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
41%Clean sheet before half-time66%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
66%No goal before half-time31%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

After half-time (2nd half)

1.14Points per game (2nd half)1.45
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.03Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
1.76Average goals (2nd half)1.66
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
31%Clean sheet after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar
41%No goal after half-time48%
UTC CajamarcaMelgar

UTC Cajamarca - second-half results

24% W41% D34% L
25
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-11
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Melgar - second-half results

41% W21% D38% L
52
Half-time points
25
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.4

Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

UTC Cajamarca - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.200.80
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Melgar - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.802.00
Goals scored / game0.81.4
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

UTC Cajamarca
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
5
5
16-30
4
9
31-45
5
4
46-60
2
12
61-75
14
14
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Melgar
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
6
3
16-30
14
4
31-45
4
6
46-60
12
4
61-75
10
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.90
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-8%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

UTC Cajamarca

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.49
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
65%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
164%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.69
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Melgar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
161%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.48
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

UTC CajamarcaLigaMelgar
Average goals per game▲ 2.902.77▲ 2.90
Both teams scored▲ 62%59%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 55%54%▲ 59%
Clean sheets▼ 14%24%▲ 28%
Goal before half-time• 69%69%▲ 76%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%79%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.77
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.68
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defensive advantage
+27%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
20%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from UTC Cajamarca's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Melgar. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

Melgar
2 : 0
UTC Cajamarca
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca
1 : 2
FBC Melgar
FBC Melgar
3 : 0
CCyD Universidad Técnica de Cajamarca

FAQ

When do UTC Cajamarca and Melgar play?

UTC Cajamarca face Melgar on October 23, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between UTC Cajamarca and Melgar?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches UTC Cajamarca won 0, Melgar won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

UTC Cajamarca score 1.10 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.76. The Primera División average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of UTC Cajamarca's matches and 66% of Melgar's.

What form are UTC Cajamarca and Melgar in?

Over the last 5 games UTC Cajamarca have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Melgar 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.