UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: match statistics
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Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
UTC Cajamarca plays Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The game is scheduled for October 23, 2026. Venue: Estadio Héroes de San Ramón.
Recent form
UTC Cajamarca has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Melgar has 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.20 points per game.
Scoring records
UTC Cajamarca scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.79. Melgar scores 1.76 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.77 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of UTC Cajamarca's games and 66% of Melgar's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 59%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Melgar has the higher season xG average, 1.65 to 1.37 per game. UTC Cajamarca takes 12.5 shots per game, while Melgar takes 15.6.
First-half and second-half trends
UTC Cajamarca leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.72 goals per game after halftime. Melgar leads at halftime in 45% and scores 0.90 after halftime.
When the teams score
UTC Cajamarca's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). For Melgar, it is minutes 31-45+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.77 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| UTC Cajamarca | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 60% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.76 goals / game - Melgar
Melgar is 57% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.79 goals / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.14 goals / game - Melgar
UTC Cajamarca scores in 69% of games (20 of 29 games), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 games).
Melgar scores in 86% of games (25 of 29 games), while UTC Cajamarca keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - UTC Cajamarca
Over / Under - Melgar
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 108% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / game - UTC Cajamarca · 1.79 pts / game - Melgar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
UTC Cajamarca - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 45% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +4 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
UTC Cajamarca
Melgar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| UTC Cajamarca | Liga | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.90 | 2.77 | ▲ 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 59% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 55% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | ▲ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from UTC Cajamarca's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Melgar. Games average 2.67 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.
FAQ
When do UTC Cajamarca and Melgar play?
UTC Cajamarca face Melgar on October 23, 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Héroes de San Ramón. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between UTC Cajamarca and Melgar?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches UTC Cajamarca won 0, Melgar won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?
UTC Cajamarca score 1.10 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.76. The Primera División average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 62% of UTC Cajamarca's matches and 66% of Melgar's.
What form are UTC Cajamarca and Melgar in?
Over the last 5 games UTC Cajamarca have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Melgar 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for UTC Cajamarca vs Melgar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


