Utrecht vs AZ: match statistics

AZ come into this fixture in 4th place in the table, while Utrecht sit 14th. The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, recording 2 wins and 3 draws, while their tally of 1.8 points per game is higher than Utrecht’s 1.4. AZ scored 12 goals during this period—5 more than the hosts—while conceding the same number of goals, 6, highlighting their significantly greater attacking potential. This season, AZ won their opening match 2:0, whereas Utrecht began the campaign with a 1:2 defeat. Utrecht’s home advantage and AZ’s three draws in their last five appearances increase the likelihood of a share of the points, but an away win remains the more probable outcome.

The latest form of both teams points towards goals at both ends: BTTS occurred in 60% of Utrecht’s and AZ’s last five matches. During this period, Utrecht averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while AZ scored as many as 2.4 goals per match and conceded 1.2. Their attacking potential is confirmed by the xG figures from the last five games: 1.59 for Utrecht and 1.88 for AZ, while both defenses allowed their opponents an xG of 1.56 and 1.39 respectively. Seasonal data is very limited and shows 0% BTTS, so greater weight should be placed on the current five-match sample. AZ has clearly greater firepower, but Utrecht averaged 1.45 xG at home, providing solid grounds to expect the hosts to get on the scoresheet as well. Therefore, BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal is the preferred selection, rather than BTTS - No, which means that at least one team fails to score—not automatically a 0:0 result or a match in which neither team scores.

Utrecht’s last five matches produced an average of 2.6 goals, while AZ’s matches averaged as many as 3.6 goals, clearly supporting a scenario with at least two goals. AZ averaged 2.4 goals scored per match during this period, whereas Utrecht conceded 1.2 goals, giving the visitors a projected total of 1.71 goals. Utrecht generated an average of 1.59 xG, while AZ allowed opponents 1.39 xG, supporting an expectation of approximately 1.42 goals for the home side. Both teams scored in 60% of their last five matches, while the league average of 2.78 goals further strengthens the case for Over 1.5.

AZ have shown clearly stronger form before the break: in their last five matches, they were leading at half-time in 60% of fixtures, scoring an average of 1.0 goals and conceding just 0.2. Over the same period, Utrecht scored only 0.2 goals before half-time and went into the break trailing in 40% of their matches. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five outings, with a record of two wins and three draws, while the hosts have lost two of their five matches. AZ also possess strong offensive potential after the interval, averaging 1.4 goals in the second halves, making the scenario of AZ leading at half-time and maintaining that advantage until full-time the strongest HT/FT selection.