Japan - J1 Leaguetranscosmos Stadium NagasakiData current as of September 18, 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: match statistics

Reasoning:

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V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

V-Varen Nagasaki plays Cerezo Osaka in J1 League (Japan). The game is scheduled for September 19, 2026. Venue: transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki.

Recent form

V-Varen Nagasaki has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Cerezo Osaka has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

V-Varen Nagasaki scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 2.00. Cerezo Osaka scores 0.86 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 57% of V-Varen Nagasaki's games and 29% of Cerezo Osaka's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 43%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Cerezo Osaka has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 1.24 per game. V-Varen Nagasaki takes 10.7 shots per game, while Cerezo Osaka takes 11.1.

First-half and second-half trends

V-Varen Nagasaki leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Cerezo Osaka leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.43 after halftime.

When the teams score

V-Varen Nagasaki's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (3 goals). For Cerezo Osaka, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

J1 League games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(3.25)
(3.55)
(2.04)

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
1.29Goals scored / game0.86
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
2Goals allowed / game1.57
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%Average possession57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
4.14Shots on target / game3
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.71Shots per game11.14
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
4.14Shots on target3
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
12%Shot conversion7.7%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%Possession57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
1.24xG for1.28
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
1.66xG against1.54
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

Shooting quality

V-Varen Nagasaki: Counter-attackingCerezo Osaka: Balanced
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
Accuracy (shots on target)39%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Cerezo Osaka is 75% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.4 pts / game - Cerezo Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki
LLDLW
Season result split
29% W14% D57% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-4
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Cerezo Osaka
WLWDL
Season result split
43% W14% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

V-Varen Nagasaki is 50% better for: goals scored per game.

1.29 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 0.86 goals / game - Cerezo Osaka

Cerezo Osaka is 27% better for: goals allowed per game.

2 goals / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.57 goals / game - Cerezo Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki scoring profile: strong

V-Varen Nagasaki scores in 71% of games (5 of 7 games), while Cerezo Osaka keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).

Cerezo Osaka scoring profile: strong

Cerezo Osaka scores in 57% of games (4 of 7 games), while V-Varen Nagasaki keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).

9Goals scored (season)6
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
14Goals conceded (season)11
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
3.29Average goals per game2.43
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
7Goals scored (last 5)4
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
12Goals conceded (last 5)7
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
57%2 goals29%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0%3 goals0%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0%4 goals0%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
57%2 goals29%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%3 goals29%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
14%4 goals14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0%BTTS in both halves0%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
14%Scored in both halves14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
60%BTTS - last 520%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerezo Osaka is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / game - V-Varen Nagasaki · 1.29 pts / game - Cerezo Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing
Cerezo Osaka - half-time state
29% leading43% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per game (1st half)1.29
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0.43Goals scored (1st half)0.43
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0.71Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.29
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
57%Clean sheet before half-time57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
71%No goal before half-time71%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

After half-time (2nd half)

0.71Points per game (2nd half)1.14
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
0.86Goals scored (2nd half)0.43
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
1.29Goals conceded (2nd half)0.71
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
2.14Average goals (2nd half)1.14
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
14%Clean sheet after half-time57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka
43%No goal after half-time57%
V-Varen NagasakiCerezo Osaka

V-Varen Nagasaki - second-half results

14% W29% D57% L
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.6

Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Cerezo Osaka - second-half results

29% W29% D43% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

V-Varen Nagasaki - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.21.2
Goals allowed / game1.01.4
Average goals per game1.22.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Cerezo Osaka - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.60.8
Average goals per game0.81.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

V-Varen Nagasaki
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
0
1
61-75
3
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Cerezo Osaka
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
2
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.86
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

V-Varen Nagasaki

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Cerezo Osaka

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.45
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
63%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).

Teams vs league

V-Varen NagasakiLigaCerezo Osaka
Average goals per game 3.292.97 2.43
Both teams scored 57%60% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 71%54% 43%
Clean sheets 14%22% 43%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 57%
Goal after half-time 100%86% 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.97
Average goals per game
60%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / game
1.37
Away goals / game
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defensive advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
51%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

FAQ

When do V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka play?

V-Varen Nagasaki face Cerezo Osaka on September 19, 2026 in J1 League at transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

V-Varen Nagasaki score 1.29 goals per game on average and Cerezo Osaka 0.86. The J1 League average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of V-Varen Nagasaki's matches and 29% of Cerezo Osaka's.

What form are V-Varen Nagasaki and Cerezo Osaka in?

Over the last 5 games V-Varen Nagasaki have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Cerezo Osaka 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Cerezo Osaka?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.