Vado vs Forlì: match statistics
Vado vs Forlì: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vado played against Forlì in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: Stadio Ferruccio Chittolina. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Vado has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Forlì has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Vado scores 0.71 goals per game and allows 1.14. Forlì scores 1.86 and allows 1.57. Games in this league average 2.57 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 29% of Vado's games and 86% of Forlì's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 43%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Forlì has the higher season xG average, 1.54 to 1.26 per game. Vado takes 10.0 shots per game, while Forlì takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Vado leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Forlì leads at halftime in 14% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vado's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (3 goals). For Forlì, it is minutes 76-90+ (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.57 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vado have failed to win any of their last 5 matches, scoring 3 goals and conceding 8, while Forlì recorded 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat over the same period. The visitors are more potent in attack: they have scored 13 goals over the season compared with the hosts’ 5, and average one goal per away game, compared with Vado’s 0.67 goals per home game. However, their defensive record gives the hosts a chance — Forlì concede an average of 1.5 goals away from home, while their opponents create chances worth 2.07 xG per match against them. The case for a draw is based primarily on Forlì having drawn 3 of their 4 away matches, although Vado’s poor form means an away win remains a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 100% of Vado’s home matches and 75% of Forlì’s away games, providing a strong signal in favor of both teams scoring. Neither side kept a clean sheet in these matches, conceding an average of 1.67 and 1.5 goals respectively. Vado creates more chances, with an xG of 1.93 compared with Forlì’s 1.25, but the visitors could take advantage of the fact that the hosts have conceded 8 goals in their last 5 matches. Caution is warranted given Vado’s recent drop in attacking output: 0.6 goals per game and BTTS in 40% of their last 5 matches, compared with 80% for Forlì. Even so, the combination of high BTTS rates in the relevant home and away fixtures and the absence of clean sheets supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: all previous matches involving either team have gone over this line, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. Vado average 1.93 xG and 5.33 shots on target at home, while Forlì allow opponents 2.07 xG. However, caution is warranted: Vado have scored just 0.6 goals per game in their last five matches, and Forlì 1.0; Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% and 20% of those matches, respectively. With a forecast of 2.77 total goals, the 1.5 line therefore offers a clearer signal than the higher lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Forlì were level at the break in 3 of their 4 away matches and in 3 of their last 5 games overall. A draw at full-time is also supported by the fact that the visitors have drawn 3 of their 4 away games, while Vado have not won any of their last 5 matches and have averaged just 0.6 goals. Vado failed to score after the break in all five of those matches, whereas Forlì kept a clean sheet in the second half on 4 occasions, limiting the hosts’ chances of deciding the match. A Vado win remains plausible: they average 3 goals at home, and their xG is 1.93 compared with the 2.07 xG Forlì concede away from home. However, Vado’s stronger home record contrasts with their recent form, so I rate a draw at half-time and full-time as the single most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vado | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.42 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Forlì is 500% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Vado · 1.2 pts / game - Forlì
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forlì is 162% better for: goals scored per game.
0.71 goals / game - Vado · 1.86 goals / game - Forlì
Vado is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.14 goals / game - Vado · 1.57 goals / game - Forlì
Vado scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 games), while Forlì keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).
Forlì scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Vado keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vado
Over / Under - Forlì
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vado is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / game - Vado · 1 pts / game - Forlì
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vado - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Forlì - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vado
Forlì
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vado | Liga | Forlì | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.86 | 2.57 | ▲ 3.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 57% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 48% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 14% | 72% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vado vs Forlì?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vado 1:0 Forlì. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vado vs Forlì?
Vado score 0.71 goals per game on average and Forlì 1.86. The Serie C Group B average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Vado's matches and 86% of Forlì's.
What form are Vado and Forlì in?
Over the last 5 games Vado have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Forlì 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vado vs Forlì?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.