Iceland - ÚrvalsdeildOrigovöllurinnData current as of October 14, 2026

Valur vs KA: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Valur vs KA: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Valur plays KA in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The game is scheduled for October 17, 2026. Venue: Origovöllurinn.

Recent form

Valur has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. KA has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Valur scores 1.88 goals per game and allows 2.08. KA scores 1.64 and allows 2.04. Games in this league average 3.87 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 76% of Valur's games and 60% of KA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 72%, compared with league averages of 71% for BTTS and 71% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Valur has the higher season xG average, 1.84 to 1.67 per game. Valur takes 16.0 shots per game, while KA takes 14.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Valur leads at halftime in 28% of its games and scores 1.08 goals per game after halftime. KA leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.96 after halftime.

When the teams score

Valur's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (17 goals). For KA, it is minutes 61-75 (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Úrvalsdeild games average 3.87 goals. Both teams score in 71% of games, and 71% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 3 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(1.95)
(4.00)
(2.80)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.88Goals scored / game1.64
ValurKA
2.08Goals allowed / game2.04
ValurKA
51%Average possession46%
ValurKA
5.92Shots on target / game5.2
ValurKA

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

15.96Shots per game14.52
ValurKA
5.92Shots on target5.2
ValurKA
11.8%Shot conversion11.3%
ValurKA
51%Possession46%
ValurKA
1.84xG for1.67
ValurKA
2.22xG against1.95
ValurKA

Shooting quality

Valur: AttackingKA: Attacking
ValurKA
Accuracy (shots on target)37%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

KA is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / game - Valur · 2 pts / game - KA

Valur
DWWDL
Season result split
36% W16% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-4-12
1.24 pts / game · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-3-6
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.23Opponent xG: 2.14BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
KA
DWLWW
Season result split
28% W20% D52% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-5-13
1.04 pts / game · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-6
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.67BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Valur is 15% better for: goals scored per game.

1.88 goals / game - Valur · 1.64 goals / game - KA

Valur scoring profile: very strong

Valur scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 games), while KA keeps a clean sheet in 20% (5 of 25 games).

KA scoring profile: very strong

KA scores in 76% of games (19 of 25 games), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 25 games).

47Goals scored (season)41
ValurKA
52Goals conceded (season)51
ValurKA
3.96Average goals per game3.68
ValurKA
12Goals scored (last 5)10
ValurKA
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
ValurKA

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal76%
ValurKA
56%2 goals56%
ValurKA
32%3 goals28%
ValurKA
16%4 goals4%
ValurKA

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal80%
ValurKA
60%2 goals60%
ValurKA
32%3 goals40%
ValurKA
16%4 goals16%
ValurKA

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time32%
ValurKA
8%BTTS in both halves20%
ValurKA
40%Scored in both halves36%
ValurKA

BTTS and goal count

68%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ValurKA
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS16%
ValurKA
100%BTTS - last 540%
ValurKA

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
ValurKA
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time48%
ValurKA
28%Min. 3 goals before half-time28%
ValurKA

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
ValurKA
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time60%
ValurKA
40%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
ValurKA

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Valur is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.24 pts / game - Valur · 0.96 pts / game - KA

Valur - half-time state
28% leading40% draw32% trailing
KA - half-time state
20% leading36% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.24Points per game (1st half)0.96
ValurKA
0.8Goals scored (1st half)0.68
ValurKA
1.04Goals conceded (1st half)1.08
ValurKA
1.84Average goals (1st half)1.76
ValurKA
44%Clean sheet before half-time36%
ValurKA
40%No goal before half-time56%
ValurKA

After half-time (2nd half)

1.28Points per game (2nd half)1.4
ValurKA
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
ValurKA
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)0.96
ValurKA
2.12Average goals (2nd half)1.92
ValurKA
28%Clean sheet after half-time40%
ValurKA
36%No goal after half-time32%
ValurKA

Valur - second-half results

32% W32% D36% L
31
Half-time points
20
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.24
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 36%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

KA - second-half results

36% W32% D32% L
24
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
35
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.96
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 28%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Valur - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.002.20
Goals scored / game0.42.0
Goals allowed / game1.01.0
Average goals per game1.43.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference-3+5
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
KA - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.202.00
Goals scored / game0.81.2
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.41.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Valur
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
9
10
16-30
5
8
31-45
7
7
46-60
3
7
61-75
17
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

KA
ScoredConceded
6
8
0-15
5
7
16-30
6
12
31-45
4
7
46-60
10
7
61-75
10
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.82
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.0 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
64%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Valur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.36
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

KA

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.96
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).

Teams vs league

ValurLigaKA
Average goals per game• 3.963.87▼ 3.68
Both teams scored▲ 76%71%▼ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 72%71%• 72%
Clean sheets▼ 8%16%▲ 20%
Goal before half-time▲ 84%82%▼ 76%
Goal after half-time• 88%87%• 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.87
Average goals per game
71%
Both teams scored
71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
16%
Clean sheets
2.13
Home goals / game
1.74
Away goals / game
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
13%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
87%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
39%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Valur's perspective: 3 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against KA. Games average 5.00 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.

Valur
4 : 4
KA
KA
0 : 1
Valur
KA Akureyri
2 : 5
Valur Reykjavík
Valur Reykjavík
3 : 1
KA Akureyri

FAQ

When do Valur and KA play?

Valur face KA on October 17, 2026 in Úrvalsdeild at Origovöllurinn. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Valur and KA?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Valur won 3, KA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs KA?

Valur score 1.88 goals per game on average and KA 1.64. The Úrvalsdeild average is 3.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 71% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Valur's matches and 60% of KA's.

What form are Valur and KA in?

Over the last 5 games Valur have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and KA 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs KA?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.