Van vs BKMA: match statistics
Van vs BKMA: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Van played against BKMA in Armenian Premier League (Armenia). The game was played on April 23, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Van has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. BKMA has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Van scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.57. BKMA scores 1.05 and allows 1.50. Games in this league average 2.52 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 57% of Van's games and 59% of BKMA's. The Over 2.5 rates are 62% and 50%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 48% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
BKMA has the higher season xG average, 1.33 to 1.15 per game. Van takes 10.3 shots per game, while BKMA takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Van leads at halftime in 10% of its games and scores 0.81 goals per game after halftime. BKMA leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Van's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For BKMA, it is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Armenian Premier League games average 2.52 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 48% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home win for Van. Van posts superior home metrics: on average 1.36 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per match, 36% home win rate and 18% clean sheets, while BKMA away averages 1.10 goals scored, 2.00 conceded and only a 10% away win rate. Visitors register higher possession (52% vs 40%), higher xG (1.30 vs 1.15) and more shots on target (4.7 vs 3.36), but their away conversion is only 9% versus Van’s 13%, which limits their actual threat. In the last 5 matches Van scored 5 and conceded 10, with a 1-1-3 record, while BKMA scored 2 and conceded 5, with 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, indicating poor form for both sides. Given Van’s better home record, superior efficiency and BKMA’s very low away win percentage, I assign Van a 60% chance to win, 25% for a draw and 15% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes because both teams consistently score and concede: Van averages 1.0 goals for and 1.08 against per match, while BKMA average 1.1 scored and 2.0 conceded. Season BTTS rates are 50% for Van and 70% for BKMA (league 46%), and Van’s last 5 matches show BTTS 60%, collectively indicating a higher probability of Goal/Goal. Average xG are similar (1.35 Van vs 1.30 BKMA), and BKMA register more on-target shots 4.7 vs 3.75, which at conversion rates of 8% vs 9% provides realistic scoring chances for both sides. Counterpoints are BKMA’s low scoring form in the last 5 matches (0.4 goals per game, 2 goals in 5) and their recent BTTS 40%, but their recent xG 1.48 shows chances are being created. Considering season BTTS 50%/70%, higher share of on-target shots and comparable xG, I assess the probability of Yes at about 65% vs 35% No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based estimates show Van with xG_for 1.35, while BKMA as the away side concedes xG 1.72, yielding roughly 1.54 expected goals for Van; conversely BKMA has xG_for 1.30 and Van xG_against 1.58, giving about 1.44 for the visitors. The total expected goals of 2.98 is above the league average of 2.52 and well above the 1.5 threshold, which strongly favors Over 1.5. Seasonal rates confirm this direction: Van have 67% of matches over 1.5 goals, BKMA 90%, and BTTS is 50% and 70% respectively, so both teams frequently score and concede. Over 2.5 also has moderate backing (seasonal 42% for Van and 60% for BKMA with combined xG 2.98), whereas Over 3.5 is less likely (seasonal 25%/40%). Therefore I recommend Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while Over 2.5 is a moderate-value option.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-Time/Full-Time draw/draw (X/X) appears the most likely outcome: home teams were level at the break in 42% of matches, away teams in 40%, while homes draw 50% of their season matches (aways 30%), which provides a strong signal for a points split. First-half scoring rate is low — homes average 0.25 goals by half-time, aways 0.8, while xG is similar: 1.35 (Van) versus 1.3 (BKMA), so I do not expect a decisive advantage in the first half. Homes finish matches maintaining a lead after the break in 75% of cases, and aways in 50%, yet homes lead at half-time in only 17% of outings (aways 30%), so leading situations are rare and a draw at the break occurs more often. Additionally, homes are stronger in the second half on points (they average 1.33 points after the break versus 0.5 for aways), which increases the chance of a shared result; therefore I assign X/X the highest probability (28%), with the remaining scenarios distributed according to the above projection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Van | BKMA | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Van is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Van · 0.6 pts / game - BKMA
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Van is 5% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Van · 1.05 goals / game - BKMA
BKMA is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.57 goals / game - Van · 1.5 goals / game - BKMA
Van scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while BKMA keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
BKMA scores in 64% of games (14 of 22 meczów), while Van keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Van
Over / Under - BKMA
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
BKMA is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / game - Van · 1.09 pts / game - BKMA
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Van - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
BKMA - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Van
BKMA
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Armenian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Van | Liga | BKMA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.67 | 2.52 | • 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 46% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 32% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Van's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against BKMA. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Van vs BKMA?
The Armenian Premier League match finished Van 1:2 BKMA. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Van and BKMA?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Van won 1, BKMA won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Van vs BKMA?
Van score 1.10 goals per game on average and BKMA 1.05. The Armenian Premier League average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Van's matches and 59% of BKMA's.
What form are Van and BKMA in?
Over the last 5 games Van have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and BKMA 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Van vs BKMA?
The statistical background for Van vs BKMA — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.