Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vaprus played against Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Vaprus has 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Harju Jalgpallikool has 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Vaprus scores 1.67 goals per game and allows 3.67. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.67 and allows 1.33. Games in this league average 3.21 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 100% of Vaprus's games and 67% of Harju Jalgpallikool's. The Over 2.5 rates are 100% and 67%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 63% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Harju Jalgpallikool has the higher season xG average, 1.22 to 1.00 per game. Vaprus takes 7.3 shots per game, while Harju Jalgpallikool takes 8.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Vaprus leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Harju Jalgpallikool leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vaprus's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (2 goals). For Harju Jalgpallikool, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.21 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 63% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win. Harju Jalgpallikool sits 3rd in the table while Vaprus is 10th; in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 11 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game versus the hosts’ 7 goals and 1.2 points per game. At home Vaprus averages 3.0 goals per game and posts a high TS% of 30%, but concedes 2.0 goals per game on average and has shipped 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 per game). Harju away averages 2.0 goals per game, concedes 1.0 away and has allowed 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per game), indicating superior defensive stability. xG metrics show Vaprus with an average xG for of 1.27 at home versus 1.51 xG for for the visitors on the road; combined with the finishing efficiency differential (30% vs 18%) this suggests the hosts can be dangerous, but overall Harju holds the edge based on better form, higher league position and the recent five-game goal balance.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The "both teams to score" scenario is favored by the data: Harju has a seasonal BTTS rate of 100%, Vaprus 50%, and in the last 5 matches both teams scored in 80% of games. Vaprus conceded 15 goals in the last 5 fixtures (avg 3.0 per game), while Harju scored 11 goals in those 5 matches (avg 2.2), increasing the likelihood of Harju finding the net. Seasonal goals scored averages are 1.5 for Vaprus and 2.0 for Harju, and goals conceded averages are 1.5 and 1.0 respectively, so both sides regularly score and concede. xG confirms Harju's attacking edge (xG 1.51 vs 1.08 for Vaprus), while high xG against values 2.35 (Vaprus) and 3.05 (Harju) indicate significant scoring opportunities for both teams; therefore I rate 80% for BTTS - Yes and 20% for No Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics strongly point to a goals match: both teams have 100% of season matches over 1.5 goals (100% vs 100%), and the league average is 3.4 goals per game. Offensively Harju posts a season xG of 1.51 versus Vaprus 1.08, and in the last 5 matches both sides scored 11 and 7 goals respectively (2.2 vs 1.4 per game), confirming the visitors’ attacking edge. Combining recent xG (Vaprus 1.18, Harju 1.32) with xG conceded values (Harju conceded 2.30, Vaprus conceded 1.78) yields roughly 1.74 expected goals for Vaprus and 1.55 for Harju, totaling ~3.29 goals. Additionally, Vaprus have conceded 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 avg), while Harju allow more shots (11 vs 7) and have a season-long 100% of matches over 2.5, which increases the probability of Over 2.5 goals. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at 1.5 line); Over 2.5 remains attractive (~78% chance), whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (~40% Over) due to Harju’s season-long 0% over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates the away team will lead at the break and win the match: the away side led at half-time in 100% of matches and have a 100% win rate this season, therefore the 2/2 scenario is most likely. Goal statistics confirm the away side’s advantage in the first half — an average of 2.0 first-half goals for the away team versus 0.5 for the home team, while over the full match the away team average 2.0 scored and 1.0 conceded compared to the home team’s 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded. xG also favors the away team: average xG for the away side is 1.51 versus 1.08 for the home side, although more xG is generated against them (3.05), which means matches can be open and see goals after the break. Therefore I assign 49% to 2/2 as the primary pick, 18% to X/2 (draw at half-time, away win after), and 13% to 2/X (away lead at the break, draw at full-time), also taking into account that the away team do not keep clean sheets over full matches (0% clean sheets) and both teams score in 100% of their matches.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Vaprus · 2 pts / game - Harju Jalgpallikool
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 176% better for: goals allowed per game.
3.67 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.33 goals / game - Harju Jalgpallikool
Vaprus scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 meczów).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 149% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.67 pts / game - Vaprus · 1.67 pts / game - Harju Jalgpallikool
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Allows 1.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 67%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 2.7 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 3.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.67 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 33% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 5.33 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 21% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vaprus's perspective: 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Harju Jalgpallikool. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 75% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 2, Harju Jalgpallikool won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Vaprus score 1.67 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.67. The Meistriliiga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Vaprus's matches and 67% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 1-0-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


