Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: match statistics
Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus play Harju Jalgpallikool in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Vaprus: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Harju Jalgpallikool: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.40 and concedes 1.90 goals per match. Harju Jalgpallikool scores 1.50 and concedes 1.70. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 65%, Harju Jalgpallikool 50%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 65%, Harju Jalgpallikool 70%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Harju Jalgpallikool has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.14. Vaprus: 8.4 shots per match, Harju Jalgpallikool: 12.3.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.65. Harju Jalgpallikool: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Harju Jalgpallikool: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 3-2-0. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 80%.
Match description
I predict an away win. Harju Jalgpallikool sits 3rd in the table while Vaprus is 10th; in the last 5 matches the visitors scored 11 goals and averaged 2.0 points per game versus the hosts’ 7 goals and 1.2 points per game. At home Vaprus averages 3.0 goals per game and posts a high TS% of 30%, but concedes 2.0 goals per game on average and has shipped 15 goals in the last 5 matches (3.0 per game). Harju away averages 2.0 goals per game, concedes 1.0 away and has allowed 7 goals in the last 5 matches (1.4 per game), indicating superior defensive stability. xG metrics show Vaprus with an average xG for of 1.27 at home versus 1.51 xG for for the visitors on the road; combined with the finishing efficiency differential (30% vs 18%) this suggests the hosts can be dangerous, but overall Harju holds the edge based on better form, higher league position and the recent five-game goal balance.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Harju Jalgpallikool is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
1.4 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.5 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Harju Jalgpallikool is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.9 goals / match - Vaprus · 1.7 goals / match - Harju Jalgpallikool
Vaprus scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Harju Jalgpallikool keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Harju Jalgpallikool scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vaprus
Over / Under — Harju Jalgpallikool
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Harju Jalgpallikool - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Harju Jalgpallikool
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Harju Jalgpallikool | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.30 | 3.11 | • 3.20 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 74% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 85% | 88% | ▼ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Vaprus 3 - 2 - 0 Harju Jalgpallikool. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 80% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 0:2 Harju Jalgpallikool. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 3, Harju Jalgpallikool won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
Vaprus score 1.40 goals per game on average and Harju Jalgpallikool 1.50. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Vaprus's matches and 50% of Harju Jalgpallikool's.
What form are Vaprus and Harju Jalgpallikool in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Harju Jalgpallikool 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Harju Jalgpallikool?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.