Vaprus vs Nõmme United: match statistics
Vaprus vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vaprus played against Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game was played on September 5, 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Vaprus has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Nõmme United has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Vaprus scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.92. Nõmme United scores 1.68 and allows 2.40. Games in this league average 3.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Vaprus's games and 84% of Nõmme United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 92%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Nõmme United has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.13 per game. Vaprus takes 8.5 shots per game, while Nõmme United takes 11.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Vaprus leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme United leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.04 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vaprus's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Nõmme United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Meistriliiga games average 3.14 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vaprus have a clear home advantage: they win 42% of their matches at home, while Nõmme United lose as many as 58% of their away fixtures. The hosts average 1.67 goals scored at home, whereas the visitors concede as many as 2.75 goals per match away from home and have kept no clean sheets. The quality of chances also favors Vaprus, as Nõmme United allow an average of 2.18 xG away from home, compared with the 1.17 xG created by the hosts on their own ground. Both teams have been inconsistent recently, but Vaprus have scored 10 goals in their previous five matches, while Nõmme United have managed just 4 and suffered 4 defeats. Vaprus’s defense is not entirely reliable either, conceding an average of 1.67 goals at home, so a scoring scenario for the visitors remains plausible, although a home win is the more likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS figures are exceptionally high: Vaprus record BTTS in 85% of their matches, while Nõmme United do so in 83%, well above the league average of 59%. Neither team has kept a single clean sheet, with the hosts conceding an average of 2.08 goals and the visitors as many as 2.75. Vaprus score an average of 2.00 goals, while their xG of 1.65 aligns well with Nõmme United’s extremely weak defense, which allows an average xG of 2.18. The visitors have been weaker in their last five matches, scoring just 0.8 goals per game and recording BTTS in 40% of matches, while Vaprus have conceded 1.6 goals during this period and allowed opponents an xG of 2.23. The most likely scenario therefore remains a goal for both sides, although the visitors’ reduced current attacking efficiency limits confidence in the pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Vaprus score an average of 2.00 goals per match, while Nõmme United concede as many as 2.75, significantly strengthening the outlook for goals from the home side. Neither team has kept a clean sheet, while each has exceeded 1.5 goals in the total match score in at least 92% of their games this season. In their last five matches, Vaprus scored 10 goals and Nõmme United conceded 12, with the average xG against the visitors at a very high 2.79. An additional argument is the league average of 3.11 goals, as well as the fact that over 2.5 goals were scored in 92% of both teams' matches; therefore, Over 1.5 goals is the safest and strongest selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vaprus have the clearer momentum signal: they have averaged 2.0 goals over their last five matches, compared with just 0.8 for Nõmme United, while the visitors have lost four of those five games. The hosts led at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, whereas Nõmme United have not led at half-time on any occasion and have scored just 0.2 goals per match in the first half. Vaprus’s advantage should grow after the interval, as they average 1.31 goals in the second half, while their opponents concede as many as 1.58 goals after the break. The hosts’ superior chance creation also supports a home win: their average xG is 1.65 compared with 1.27 for the visitors, and they average 4.92 shots on target to 3.33. Both defenses are vulnerable to conceding, but Nõmme United’s weaker form and post-break problems make a Vaprus lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nõmme United is 22% better for: goals scored per game.
1.38 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.68 goals / game - Nõmme United
Vaprus is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.92 goals / game - Vaprus · 2.4 goals / game - Nõmme United
Vaprus scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 games), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 25 games).
Nõmme United scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 games), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vaprus
Over / Under - Nõmme United
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vaprus is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / game - Vaprus · 0.88 pts / game - Nõmme United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Nõmme United - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vaprus
Nõmme United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.29 | 3.14 | ▲ 4.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 84% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 67% | 66% | ▲ 92% |
| Clean sheets | • 21% | 22% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 88% | 90% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vaprus's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Nõmme United. Games average 6.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 1:0 Nõmme United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Nõmme United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 0, Nõmme United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
Vaprus score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.68. The Meistriliiga average is 3.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Vaprus's matches and 84% of Nõmme United's.
What form are Vaprus and Nõmme United in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?
The statistical background for Vaprus vs Nõmme United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.