Estonia - MeistriliigaPärnu RannastaadionData current as of September 01, 2026

Vaprus vs Nõmme United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vaprus vs Nõmme United: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Vaprus plays Nõmme United in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The game is scheduled for September 5, 2026. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion.

Recent form

Vaprus has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Nõmme United has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.

Scoring records

Vaprus scores 1.38 goals per game and allows 1.92. Nõmme United scores 1.68 and allows 2.40. Games in this league average 3.11 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 71% of Vaprus's games and 84% of Nõmme United's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 92%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 66% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Nõmme United has the higher season xG average, 1.47 to 1.13 per game. Vaprus takes 8.5 shots per game, while Nõmme United takes 11.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Vaprus leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Nõmme United leads at halftime in 20% and scores 1.04 after halftime.

When the teams score

Vaprus's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Nõmme United, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Meistriliiga games average 3.11 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 66% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.38Goals scored / game1.68
VaprusNõmme United
1.92Goals allowed / game2.4
VaprusNõmme United
46%Average possession47%
VaprusNõmme United
3.46Shots on target / game4.16
VaprusNõmme United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

8.5Shots per game11.48
VaprusNõmme United
3.46Shots on target4.16
VaprusNõmme United
16.2%Shot conversion14.6%
VaprusNõmme United
46%Possession47%
VaprusNõmme United
1.13xG for1.47
VaprusNõmme United
2xG against2.08
VaprusNõmme United

Shooting quality

Vaprus: Counter-attackingNõmme United: Counter-attacking
VaprusNõmme United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Vaprus
LDLLD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
33% W17% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-12
1.17 pts / game · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-5
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LWWDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.21Opponent xG: 2.54BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%
Nõmme United
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
32% W4% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-16
1.00 pts / game · goal difference -18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-1-7
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WWWLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 2.8xG: 1.35Opponent xG: 2.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Nõmme United is 22% better for: goals scored per game.

1.38 goals / game - Vaprus · 1.68 goals / game - Nõmme United

Vaprus is 25% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.92 goals / game - Vaprus · 2.4 goals / game - Nõmme United

Vaprus scoring profile: very strong

Vaprus scores in 83% of games (20 of 24 meczów), while Nõmme United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 25 meczów).

Nõmme United scoring profile: very strong

Nõmme United scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 meczów).

33Goals scored (season)42
VaprusNõmme United
46Goals conceded (season)60
VaprusNõmme United
3.29Average goals per game4.08
VaprusNõmme United
6Goals scored (last 5)3
VaprusNõmme United
11Goals conceded (last 5)14
VaprusNõmme United

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal84%
VaprusNõmme United
33%2 goals40%
VaprusNõmme United
13%3 goals20%
VaprusNõmme United
4%4 goals8%
VaprusNõmme United

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal100%
VaprusNõmme United
58%2 goals68%
VaprusNõmme United
25%3 goals40%
VaprusNõmme United
8%4 goals16%
VaprusNõmme United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time36%
VaprusNõmme United
8%BTTS in both halves4%
VaprusNõmme United
25%Scored in both halves20%
VaprusNõmme United

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS80%
VaprusNõmme United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
VaprusNõmme United
100%BTTS - last 560%
VaprusNõmme United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

75%Min. 1 goal before half-time92%
VaprusNõmme United
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time60%
VaprusNõmme United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
VaprusNõmme United

2nd half

88%Min. 1 goal after half-time96%
VaprusNõmme United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time68%
VaprusNõmme United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
VaprusNõmme United

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vaprus is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.21 pts / game - Vaprus · 0.88 pts / game - Nõmme United

Vaprus - half-time state
25% leading46% draw29% trailing
Nõmme United - half-time state
20% leading28% draw52% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.21Points per game (1st half)0.88
VaprusNõmme United
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.64
VaprusNõmme United
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
1.58Average goals (1st half)1.84
VaprusNõmme United
46%Clean sheet before half-time20%
VaprusNõmme United
42%No goal before half-time52%
VaprusNõmme United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per game (2nd half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)1.04
VaprusNõmme United
1.04Goals conceded (2nd half)1.2
VaprusNõmme United
1.71Average goals (2nd half)2.24
VaprusNõmme United
33%Clean sheet after half-time24%
VaprusNõmme United
50%No goal after half-time44%
VaprusNõmme United

Vaprus - second-half results

29% W29% R42% P
29
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.21
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Nõmme United - second-half results

32% W24% R44% P
22
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-14
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding160%

Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Vaprus - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.40.8
Goals allowed / game1.40.8
Average goals per game1.81.6
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-50
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Nõmme United - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.400.80
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game1.41.4
Average goals per game1.61.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-5
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Vaprus
ScoredConceded
4
8
0-15
8
5
16-30
5
8
31-45
6
11
46-60
4
9
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Nõmme United
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
6
14
16-30
7
9
31-45
8
8
46-60
7
7
61-75
11
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.69
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.9 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
78%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+76%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
70%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Vaprus

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.87
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
143%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Nõmme United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
136%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-1.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).

Teams vs league

VaprusLigaNõmme United
Average goals per game 3.293.11 4.08
Both teams scored 71%59% 84%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%66% 92%
Clean sheets 21%22% 0%
Goal before half-time 75%75% 92%
Goal after half-time 88%89% 96%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.11
Average goals per game
59%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / game
1.34
Away goals / game
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+4%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Vaprus's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Nõmme United. Games average 6.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.

FAQ

When do Vaprus and Nõmme United play?

Vaprus face Nõmme United on September 5, 2026 in Meistriliiga at Pärnu Rannastaadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Nõmme United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 0, Nõmme United won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 6.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

Vaprus score 1.38 goals per game on average and Nõmme United 1.68. The Meistriliiga average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Vaprus's matches and 84% of Nõmme United's.

What form are Vaprus and Nõmme United in?

Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Nõmme United 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Nõmme United?

The statistical background for Vaprus vs Nõmme United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.