Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia: match statistics
Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vaprus play Tallinna FC Levadia in Meistriliiga (Estonia). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 16:00. Venue: Pärnu Rannastaadion. Final score: 1:6.
Current form
Vaprus: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Tallinna FC Levadia: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vaprus scores 1.42 and concedes 1.84 goals per match. Tallinna FC Levadia scores 2.58 and concedes 0.84. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vaprus 63%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. Over 2.5: Vaprus 63%, Tallinna FC Levadia 74%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Tallinna FC Levadia has higher xG: 2.30 vs 1.11. Vaprus: 8.1 shots per match, Tallinna FC Levadia: 19.8.
Match halves
Vaprus: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63. Tallinna FC Levadia: half-time lead 58%, second-half goals 1.26.
Goals by minute
Vaprus: 16-30 (6 goals). Tallinna FC Levadia: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Meistriliiga: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
5 H2H matches: 1-1-3. Average goals 3.60, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Tallinna FC Levadia is the clear favorite: they have a record of 9 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses this season with a goal difference of 32-9, while Vaprus have 5 wins, 1 draw and 6 losses with a 15-22 record. The form gap is evident over the last 5 matches — Levadia have won all 5 and scored 17 goals (avg. 3.4 per game), whereas Vaprus have 3 wins, 2 losses and 8 goals (1.6 per game). In chance-creation metrics Levadia average 22.2 shots and 7.4 on target away, with xG 2.59 and 60% possession, while Vaprus at home average 10.2 shots, 4 on target, xG 1.38 and 48% possession — a significant advantage in quantity and quality of chances for the visitors. Defensively Vaprus concede 1.4 goals at home on average (22 conceded overall), and Levadia concede 1.0 away (9 overall); additionally Vaprus fail to score in 40% of home matches, while Levadia have 0% of away matches without a goal, which increases the likelihood of a away win. Considering the xG advantage, shot volume and current 5-win streak, I tip Tallinna FC Levadia to win; I estimate probabilities as 12% for Vaprus, 16% for a draw and 72% for an away victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vaprus | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Vaprus · 2 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 82% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Vaprus · 2.58 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Tallinna FC Levadia is 119% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.84 goals / match - Vaprus · 0.84 goals / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Vaprus scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Tallinna FC Levadia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Tallinna FC Levadia scores in 100% of matches (19 of 19 matches), while Vaprus keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vaprus
Over / Under — Tallinna FC Levadia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Tallinna FC Levadia is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Vaprus · 2.11 pts / match - Tallinna FC Levadia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vaprus - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Tallinna FC Levadia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 58% of matches and wins 74%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vaprus
Tallinna FC Levadia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Meistriliiga).
Teams vs league
| Vaprus | Liga | Tallinna FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.26 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 84% | 88% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Vaprus 1 - 1 - 3 Tallinna FC Levadia. Average goals 3.60, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
The Meistriliiga match finished Vaprus 1:6 Tallinna FC Levadia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vaprus and Tallinna FC Levadia?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Vaprus won 1, Tallinna FC Levadia won 3 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Vaprus score 1.42 goals per game on average and Tallinna FC Levadia 2.58. The Meistriliiga average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Vaprus's matches and 74% of Tallinna FC Levadia's.
What form are Vaprus and Tallinna FC Levadia in?
Over the last 5 games Vaprus have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Tallinna FC Levadia 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vaprus vs Tallinna FC Levadia: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.