Várda SE vs Diósgyőr: match statistics
Várda SE vs Diósgyőr: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Várda SE played against Diósgyőr in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on April 25, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Várda SE has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.40 points per game. Diósgyőr has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses, with 0.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Várda SE scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.47. Diósgyőr scores 1.20 and allows 1.90. Games in this league average 2.97 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 47% of Várda SE's games and 70% of Diósgyőr's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 63%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Várda SE has the higher season xG average, 1.26 to 1.23 per game. Várda SE takes 10.6 shots per game, while Diósgyőr takes 11.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Várda SE leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.60 goals per game after halftime. Diósgyőr leads at halftime in 37% and scores 0.60 after halftime.
When the teams score
Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Diósgyőr, it is minutes 76-90+ (9 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 2.97 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Várda SE holds advantages in key metrics: at home they win 47% of matches and concede an average of 1.2 goals per game, while Diósgyőr win only 13% on the road and concede 2.2 on average. The hosts create more chances (11.8 shots and 3.93 on target at home versus 10.53 shots and 3.47 on target for the visitors) and have a higher xG (1.34 vs 1.20), indicating better quality of chances. Both teams are in poor form — Várda are without a win in their last 5 (0-2-3, 0.4 pts/game), and Diósgyőr have lost all 5 recent matches, conceding 17 goals. Additionally, the visitors have 0% clean sheets away compared to 40% for the hosts, so I favor a Várda win, although the low scoring form of both sides (3 goals each in the last 5 matches) introduces some draw risk.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is strong: Várda has BTTS 60% this season, Diósgyőr 80%, averaging 70% versus the league average of 60%. Additionally Diósgyőr has not recorded a single clean sheet (0%), and Várda has only 20% clean sheets, so a match without one side scoring is unlikely. Defensively Diósgyőr concedes 2.2 goals on average this season and as many as 3.4 in the last 5 matches, while Várda concedes 1.6 this season and 1.4 in the last 5, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Offensively both teams have similar metrics: average goals scored 1.2 and 1.2, xG 1.26 versus 1.20 and shots on target 3.4 versus 3.47, confirming they will create chances; therefore I predict BTTS - Yes at 75% and No at 25%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Várda SE has xG_for 1.26 while Diósgyőr concedes on average 1.78 xG, yielding a projected 1.52 goals for the home side; conversely Diósgyőr has xG_for 1.20 and Várda concedes 1.39 xG, giving 1.30 goals for the away side and a total of 2.82. A Poisson model with lambda=2.82 yields probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) ≈ 77%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) ≈ 53% and at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) ≈ 31%. Season data reinforce this assessment: Várda has 87% of matches Over 1.5 and 53% Over 2.5; Diósgyőr 93% and 73% respectively, and in the last 5 matches Diósgyőr recorded 100% Over 2.5 and conceded 17 goals (3.4 per game), while Várda conceded 7 (1.4 per game). Additionally, Both Teams To Score rates are 60% for Várda and 80% for Diósgyőr, the league averages 2.99 goals/match and 59% of matches Over 2.5, all supporting the Over option. As a result the strongest signal is Over; I recommend Over on the line 1.5 as the safest pick, while Over 2.5 (≈53%) is a realistic but riskier alternative.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1) as the most likely scenario. The first half should be balanced: hosts led at the break in 40% of matches (6 times), and visitors in 33% (5 times), but in the last 5 fixtures the hosts did not lead at the break (0%) while the guests led in 40% (2 of 5), which increases the chance of a draw at Half-Time. After the break the indicators favor the home side — hosts score on average 1.2 and concede 1.6, visitors score 1.2 and concede 2.2, with hosts’ attacking xG 1.26 versus 1.20 for the visitors and opponents’ xG against the visitors 1.78. Second-half stats show the visitors’ weakness after the break: visitors conceded 9 goals in 46–60, 5 in 61–75 and 6 in 76–90 (20 total), while hosts conceded 4, 3 and 8 in those intervals respectively (15 total), so a turnaround in favor of the hosts is more likely. Therefore I assign X/1 the highest probability (30%), with X/X (20%) and 1/1 (15%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Diósgyőr is 6% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.2 goals / game - Diósgyőr
Várda SE is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.47 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.9 goals / game - Diósgyőr
Várda SE scores in 70% of games (21 of 30 meczów), while Diósgyőr keeps a clean sheet in 10% (3 of 30 meczów).
Diósgyőr scores in 77% of games (23 of 30 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Diósgyőr
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Diósgyőr is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.43 pts / game - Diósgyőr
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 37%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Diósgyőr - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 37% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -12 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Várda SE
Diósgyőr
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Diósgyőr | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.60 | 2.97 | ▲ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 22% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 86% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Várda SE's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses against Diósgyőr. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Diósgyőr?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 1:2 Diósgyőr. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Diósgyőr?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Diósgyőr won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Diósgyőr?
Várda SE score 1.13 goals per game on average and Diósgyőr 1.20. The NB I average is 2.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Várda SE's matches and 70% of Diósgyőr's.
What form are Várda SE and Diósgyőr in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Diósgyőr 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Diósgyőr?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs Diósgyőr: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.