Várda SE vs Paksi SE: match statistics
Várda SE vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Várda SE played against Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on September 19, 2026. Venue: Várkert Sportpálya. Final score: 0:1.
Recent form
Várda SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Paksi SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Várda SE scores 1.29 goals per game and allows 1.29. Paksi SE scores 2.14 and allows 2.43. Games in this league average 3.29 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 71% of Várda SE's games and 86% of Paksi SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 71%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 64% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paksi SE has the higher season xG average, 1.91 to 1.21 per game. Várda SE takes 10.4 shots per game, while Paksi SE takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Várda SE leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.86 goals per game after halftime. Paksi SE leads at halftime in 14% and scores 1.00 after halftime.
When the teams score
Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Paksi SE, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.29 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 64% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Várda SE have shown more consistent form recently, collecting 8 points from five matches with 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, while recording a 13:4 goal difference. Over the same period, Paksi SE scored 9 goals but also conceded 9 and suffered 2 defeats. The hosts are still winless at home, although they have drawn as many as 75% of their matches and concede an average of 1.5 goals, while the visitors have lost 67% of their away games and allow opponents an average of 3 goals. Paksi’s attack creates slightly higher-quality chances, with an average xG of 1.47 compared to Várda’s 1.23, but its defense allows 1.49 xG and has yet to keep a single clean sheet. Várda’s superior current efficiency and Paksi’s clear away-day struggles point to a slight preference for the hosts, although Várda’s high tendency to draw leaves a significant risk of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is clear: Várda SE recorded BTTS in 75% of matches, while Paksi SE did so in as many as 100%, compared with the league average of 63%. The hosts score an average of 2.50 goals per match, while the visitors average 1.67, with neither side having failed to score in a match this season. Paksi SE’s defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.00 goals and keeping no clean sheets, which strongly supports Várda to score. Paksi also creates promising chances, with an average xG of 2.02 across its last five matches, while Várda has allowed opponents an xG of 1.68 during the same period. Although the hosts have conceded just 0.8 goals per match in their last five appearances, Paksi’s 80% BTTS rate over the same period suggests that the visitors should also find a way to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have gone over 1.5 goals in 100% of their league matches so far, while the league average is a high 3.27 goals. Várda score an average of 2.50 goals per match and register 8.75 shots on target, whereas Paksi score 1.67 goals but concede as many as 3.00 per game. The hosts generate a very strong 2.24 xG, while the visitors produce 1.47 xG and have yet to keep a clean sheet. In their last five matches, Várda have scored 13 goals and Paksi 9, further supporting the case for at least two goals. The strongest pick is Over 1.5, as the low line is clearly backed both by the 100% trends of both teams and by their attacking potential.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Várda win in the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 75% of their last five games and scored just 0.25 goals per match before half-time during that period. After the interval, Várda improve to an average of 0.75 goals scored and concede only 0.50, which supports the possibility of the match being decided late on. Across their last five matches overall, the hosts averaged 2.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Paksi scored 1.8 and allowed their opponents 1.8 goals per game. Várda’s advantage is also supported by an average xG of 2.24 and 8.75 shots on target per match, compared with Paksi’s 1.47 xG and 4.33 shots on target. The visitors have not won any of their away matches so far, losing 67% of them, so after an evenly contested first half, a turnaround in favor of the hosts is more likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 66% better for: goals scored per game.
1.29 goals / game - Várda SE · 2.14 goals / game - Paksi SE
Várda SE is 88% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.29 goals / game - Várda SE · 2.43 goals / game - Paksi SE
Várda SE scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 games).
Paksi SE scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 games), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Paksi SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Várda SE is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Várda SE · 0.86 pts / game - Paksi SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 29%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Várda SE
Paksi SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.57 | 3.29 | ▲ 4.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 64% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 71% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Várda SE's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 2 losses against Paksi SE. Games average 5.67 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 0:1 Paksi SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Paksi SE?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Paksi SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
Várda SE score 1.29 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 2.14. The NB I average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Várda SE's matches and 86% of Paksi SE's.
What form are Várda SE and Paksi SE in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paksi SE 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The statistical background for Várda SE vs Paksi SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.