Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses: match statistics
Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Varzim play CF Os Belenenses in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. CF Os Belenenses: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. CF Os Belenenses scores 1.63 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Varzim 47%, CF Os Belenenses 56%. Over 2.5: Varzim 44%, CF Os Belenenses 53%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
CF Os Belenenses has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.28. Varzim: 9.8 shots per match, CF Os Belenenses: 12.1.
Match halves
Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63. CF Os Belenenses: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). CF Os Belenenses: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
CF Os Belenenses enter this match as favorites: they have 17 wins this season versus Varzim's 11 and a 60% away win rate compared to the hosts' 47% home win rate. The visitors score an average of 1.8 goals away with xG 1.38 and a higher conversion rate of 16%, while Varzim at home average 1.47 goals and xG 1.49 with a 12% conversion, meaning the hosts generate slightly more xG but the visitors convert chances more efficiently. Varzim's defence is nevertheless solid — only 0.87 goals conceded per home game and 33% clean sheets — but in the last 5 matches the hosts have scored just 3 goals and average 0.8 points per game, whereas Belenenses have 5 goals and average 1.2 points in that period. Additionally, the visitors have 0% matches without scoring away, while Varzim fail to score in 27% of their home games, which increases the likelihood of Belenenses finding the net. Considering the advantage in total wins, superior conversion rate (16% vs 12%) and higher points gained over the last five matches, I predict an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Varzim | CF Os Belenenses | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CF Os Belenenses is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Varzim · 1.6 pts / match - CF Os Belenenses
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CF Os Belenenses is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Varzim · 1.63 goals / match - CF Os Belenenses
CF Os Belenenses is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Varzim · 1 goals / match - CF Os Belenenses
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while CF Os Belenenses keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
CF Os Belenenses scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Varzim
Over / Under — CF Os Belenenses
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CF Os Belenenses is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / match - Varzim · 1.78 pts / match - CF Os Belenenses
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CF Os Belenenses - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Varzim
CF Os Belenenses
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Varzim | Liga | CF Os Belenenses | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.34 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 49% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 44% | 40% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 74% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Varzim 0 - 0 - 1 CF Os Belenenses. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses?
The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 1:2 CF Os Belenenses. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses?
Varzim score 1.22 goals per game on average and CF Os Belenenses 1.63. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Varzim's matches and 56% of CF Os Belenenses's.
What form are Varzim and CF Os Belenenses in?
Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and CF Os Belenenses 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Varzim vs CF Os Belenenses: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.