Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: match statistics
Vasco da Gama displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in offensive parameters in home matches, averaging 2.34 xG and 7.25 shots on target per match, indicating high efficiency in creating chances. Grêmio, on the other hand, displays very poor away results – they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their average xG away is only 1.04 with 2.67 shots on target per match. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-3) and the fact that they lose 67% of their away matches significantly reduce their chances of a favorable outcome. Considering Vasco's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%) and their better form in the last five overall matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.8 PPG, albeit similar), the hosts appear to be the favorites in this encounter.
Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vasco da Gama played against Grêmio in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on March 22, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Vasco da Gama has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Grêmio has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Vasco da Gama scores 1.57 goals per game and allows 1.71. Grêmio scores 1.71 and allows 1.43. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 86% of Vasco da Gama's games and 71% of Grêmio's. The Over 2.5 rates are 71% and 43%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vasco da Gama has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.40 per game. Vasco da Gama takes 19.0 shots per game, while Grêmio takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Vasco da Gama leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 1.29 goals per game after halftime. Grêmio leads at halftime in 29% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vasco da Gama's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Grêmio, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vasco da Gama displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at home and a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts dominate in offensive parameters in home matches, averaging 2.34 xG and 7.25 shots on target per match, indicating high efficiency in creating chances. Grêmio, on the other hand, displays very poor away results – they have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their average xG away is only 1.04 with 2.67 shots on target per match. Additionally, the visitors' negative goal difference (-3) and the fact that they lose 67% of their away matches significantly reduce their chances of a favorable outcome. Considering Vasco's advantage in possession (58% vs 52%) and their better form in the last five overall matches (1.6 PPG vs 1.8 PPG, albeit similar), the hosts appear to be the favorites in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vasco da Gama | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Grêmio is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Vasco da Gama · 1.6 pts / game - Grêmio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Grêmio is 9% better for: goals scored per game.
1.57 goals / game - Vasco da Gama · 1.71 goals / game - Grêmio
Grêmio is 20% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.71 goals / game - Vasco da Gama · 1.43 goals / game - Grêmio
Vasco da Gama scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Grêmio keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).
Grêmio scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 meczów), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vasco da Gama
Over / Under - Grêmio
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grêmio is 200% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.43 pts / game - Vasco da Gama · 1.29 pts / game - Grêmio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vasco da Gama - second-half results
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Grêmio - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vasco da Gama
Grêmio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vasco da Gama | Liga | Grêmio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.29 | 2.65 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 58% | ▲ 71% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 22% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Vasco da Gama's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Grêmio. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
The Serie A match finished Vasco da Gama 2:1 Grêmio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vasco da Gama and Grêmio?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 0, Grêmio won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
Vasco da Gama score 1.57 goals per game on average and Grêmio 1.71. The Serie A average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Vasco da Gama's matches and 71% of Grêmio's.
What form are Vasco da Gama and Grêmio in?
Over the last 5 games Vasco da Gama have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Grêmio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


