Velež vs Posusje: match statistics
Velež presents solid disposition at their home stadium with a 45% win rate and an impressive 64% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts show an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.57 vs 1.05), indicating more effective chance creation. Posusje struggles on the road with only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Velež holds a clear advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) and greater scoring efficiency in home games. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weakness in away fixtures argue for a victory for Velež, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' relatively low scoring average.
Velež vs Posusje: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Velež played against Posusje in Premier League of Bosnia (Bosnia & Herzegovina). The game was played on March 6, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Velež has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Posusje has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Velež scores 0.87 goals per game and allows 0.91. Posusje scores 0.74 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 2.14 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 35% of Velež's games and 26% of Posusje's. The Over 2.5 rates are 30% and 26%, compared with league averages of 37% for BTTS and 37% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Velež has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.23 per game. Velež takes 10.0 shots per game, while Posusje takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Velež leads at halftime in 17% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Posusje leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.30 after halftime.
When the teams score
Velež's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). For Posusje, it is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Premier League of Bosnia games average 2.14 goals. Both teams score in 37% of games, and 37% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Velež presents solid disposition at their home stadium with a 45% win rate and an impressive 64% clean sheets in home matches. The hosts show an advantage in expected goals (xG 1.57 vs 1.05), indicating more effective chance creation. Posusje struggles on the road with only 25% wins and a negative goal difference of -8, conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. Velež holds a clear advantage in possession (53% vs 42%) and greater scoring efficiency in home games. The form of both teams in the last five matches is similar, but the hosts' advantage on their own turf and the visitors' weakness in away fixtures argue for a victory for Velež, though a draw cannot be ruled out given the hosts' relatively low scoring average.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Velež | Posusje | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Posusje is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Velež · 2 pts / game - Posusje
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Velež is 18% better for: goals scored per game.
0.87 goals / game - Velež · 0.74 goals / game - Posusje
Velež is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.91 goals / game - Velež · 1.13 goals / game - Posusje
Velež scores in 57% of games (13 of 23 meczów), while Posusje keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
Posusje scores in 52% of games (12 of 23 meczów), while Velež keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Velež
Over / Under - Posusje
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Posusje is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / game - Velež · 1.17 pts / game - Posusje
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Velež - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 17% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Posusje - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 26%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Velež
Posusje
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League of Bosnia).
Teams vs league
| Velež | Liga | Posusje | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.78 | 2.14 | ▼ 1.87 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 37% | ▼ 26% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 35% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 57% | • 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▲ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Record from Velež's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Posusje. Games average 0.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Velež vs Posusje?
The Premier League of Bosnia match finished Velež 1:0 Posusje. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Velež and Posusje?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Velež won 0, Posusje won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 0.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Velež vs Posusje?
Velež score 0.87 goals per game on average and Posusje 0.74. The Premier League of Bosnia average is 2.14 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 37% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Velež's matches and 26% of Posusje's.
What form are Velež and Posusje in?
Over the last 5 games Velež have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Posusje 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Velež vs Posusje?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Velež vs Posusje: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.