Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: match statistics
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Victoria Września play Lipno Stęszew in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The match date is 23 May 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Victoria Września: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Lipno Stęszew: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Victoria Września scores 1.18 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Lipno Stęszew scores 1.38 and concedes 1.59. League average: 3.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Victoria Września 52%, Lipno Stęszew 50%. Over 2.5: Victoria Września 55%, Lipno Stęszew 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Lipno Stęszew has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.24. Victoria Września: 4.4 shots per match, Lipno Stęszew: 9.3.
Match halves
Victoria Września: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.52. Lipno Stęszew: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Victoria Września: 0-15 (9 goals). Lipno Stęszew: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 2: 3.02 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Win for Lipno Stęszew (pick '2') because the visitors create significantly more chances: on average 12.42 shots and 4.92 shots on target away compared to 9.2 shots and 2.8 on target for the hosts at home, and their xG away is 1.48 versus Victoria's 1.22 xG at home. Additionally, Lipno is in better form — in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 losses (average 1.8 points) while Victoria has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (average 1.4 points) and scored 5 goals in that period versus Victoria's 6. Victoria, however, has home defensive strengths and efficiency: they score 1.38 goals per match on average and have a higher shot conversion rate of 15% versus Lipno's 12%, and they concede less at home (1.5 goals per match vs 1.81 conceded by Lipno away), which points to a competitive game. Season-long numbers show similar offensive potential and defensive issues — Victoria 36 scored and 41 conceded, Lipno 40 scored and 50 conceded, with a goal difference of -2 in Victoria's home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering the quality advantage in chance creation (xG 1.48 vs 1.22 and 4.92 shots on target vs 2.8) and the visitors' better recent form, I assess the probabilities as 40% for Lipno, 34% for Victoria and 26% for a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Victoria Września | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.49 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lipno Stęszew is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Victoria Września · 1.8 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lipno Stęszew is 17% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Victoria Września · 1.38 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Victoria Września is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Victoria Września · 1.59 goals / match - Lipno Stęszew
Victoria Września scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Lipno Stęszew scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Victoria Września
Over / Under — Lipno Stęszew
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Victoria Września · 1.47 pts / match - Lipno Stęszew
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Victoria Września
Lipno Stęszew
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Victoria Września | Liga | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.55 | 3.02 | • 2.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Victoria Września 0 - 0 - 1 Lipno Stęszew. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Victoria Września 1:3 Lipno Stęszew. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września score 1.18 goals per game on average and Lipno Stęszew 1.38. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 3.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Victoria Września's matches and 50% of Lipno Stęszew's.
What form are Victoria Września and Lipno Stęszew in?
Over the last 5 games Victoria Września have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Lipno Stęszew 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.