Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: match statistics
Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Victoria Września played against Lipno Stęszew in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on May 23, 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Recent form
Victoria Września has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Lipno Stęszew has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Victoria Września scores 1.16 goals per game and allows 1.32. Lipno Stęszew scores 1.25 and allows 1.56. Games in this league average 2.95 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Victoria Września's games and 47% of Lipno Stęszew's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 47%, compared with league averages of 52% for BTTS and 58% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Lipno Stęszew has the higher season xG average, 1.44 to 1.23 per game. Victoria Września takes 4.3 shots per game, while Lipno Stęszew takes 9.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Victoria Września leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.55 goals per game after halftime. Lipno Stęszew leads at halftime in 41% and scores 0.59 after halftime.
When the teams score
Victoria Września's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). For Lipno Stęszew, it is minutes 0-15 (12 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 2.95 goals. Both teams score in 52% of games, and 58% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Win for Lipno Stęszew (pick '2') because the visitors create significantly more chances: on average 12.42 shots and 4.92 shots on target away compared to 9.2 shots and 2.8 on target for the hosts at home, and their xG away is 1.48 versus Victoria's 1.22 xG at home. Additionally, Lipno is in better form — in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins and 2 losses (average 1.8 points) while Victoria has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses (average 1.4 points) and scored 5 goals in that period versus Victoria's 6. Victoria, however, has home defensive strengths and efficiency: they score 1.38 goals per match on average and have a higher shot conversion rate of 15% versus Lipno's 12%, and they concede less at home (1.5 goals per match vs 1.81 conceded by Lipno away), which points to a competitive game. Season-long numbers show similar offensive potential and defensive issues — Victoria 36 scored and 41 conceded, Lipno 40 scored and 50 conceded, with a goal difference of -2 in Victoria's home matches versus -8 for the visitors on the road. Considering the quality advantage in chance creation (xG 1.48 vs 1.22 and 4.92 shots on target vs 2.8) and the visitors' better recent form, I assess the probabilities as 40% for Lipno, 34% for Victoria and 26% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators give a mixed signal: Victoria Września has BTTS in 38% of matches, Lipno Stęszew in 56%, and the league average is 52%, which slightly favors a both teams to score scenario. Both teams generate similar xG - Victoria 1.41 vs Lipno 1.48 - with xG against of 1.53 and 1.73 respectively, meaning both sides create approximately 1.4–1.5 expected goals, increasing the likelihood of goals from both teams. A counterbalancing factor is Victoria’s clean sheets versus Lipno’s goal concessions: Victoria records a clean sheet in 44% of matches, Lipno only 19%, but Lipno concedes on average 1.81 goals per match compared to 1.31 for Victoria, which favors BTTS situations. The last 5 matches show discrepancies: Victoria has 60% BTTS in the last 5, Lipno 0%, with Victoria scoring 6 and conceding 6 and Lipno scoring 5 and conceding 7, suggesting instability in the visitors’ defense. Considering the higher xG for both teams, the higher BTTS rate for the away side (56%) and Lipno’s greater goals conceded (1.81), I predict BTTS = Yes at 60% and BTTS = No at 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on average xG and opponent defenses projects 1.57 goals for Victoria and 1.51 for Lipno, totaling approximately 3.08 goals. Both teams have 100% of matches with at least 0.5 goals, and the share of games over 1.5 goals is 63% for the home side and 94% for the away side, which boosts the probability of at least 2 goals to ~81%. Average xG are 1.41 for Victoria and 1.48 for Lipno, with average shots 11.23 vs 12.42 and shots on target 4.15 vs 4.92 and conversion rates 10% vs 12%, so both sides regularly create chances (hence a 59% chance of Over 2.5). Defenses are prone to conceding: Lipno concedes on average 1.81 goals per match, Victoria 1.31, and BTTS rates 56% vs 38% further support a scoring scenario. As a result I recommend Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal (Over 1.5: 81% vs Under 19%), while Over 2.5 remains moderately likely (59%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
League statistics indicate a balanced contest with a slight home advantage: Victoria Września win 44% of matches, Lipno Stęszew 38%, and draws account for 19% of games. Hosts frequently hold a lead at the break — Victoria were leading in 7 matches (44%) and score on average 0.69 goals in the first half against an overall first-half average of 1.38, which increases the realistic chances of a lead after 45 minutes. Conversely, Lipno have a slightly higher xG (1.48 vs 1.41), more shots on target (4.92 vs 4.15) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% versus 10%), so they can generate pressure and attempt a turnaround in the second half. Nonetheless, Victoria perform better at preserving results — they have 25 points won at halftime (avg. 1.56 pts at the break) versus 22 points and 1.47 pts for the visitors, and 44% clean sheets this season, suggesting that leading at the break often translates into a full-time win for them. For these reasons the strongest signal is a home lead at half-time and a home win at full-time (1/1), with the alternate reverse scenario (2/2) as a secondary possibility given the visitors’ higher xG and recent form.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Victoria Września | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 18% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.51 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Lipno Stęszew is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Victoria Września · 1.8 pts / game - Lipno Stęszew
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lipno Stęszew is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.16 goals / game - Victoria Września · 1.25 goals / game - Lipno Stęszew
Victoria Września is 18% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.32 goals / game - Victoria Września · 1.56 goals / game - Lipno Stęszew
Victoria Września scores in 65% of games (20 of 31 games), while Lipno Stęszew keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 games).
Lipno Stęszew scores in 78% of games (25 of 32 games), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Victoria Września
Over / Under - Lipno Stęszew
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lipno Stęszew is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / game - Victoria Września · 1.5 pts / game - Lipno Stęszew
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 35%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Lipno Stęszew - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 41% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Victoria Września
Lipno Stęszew
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Victoria Września | Liga | Lipno Stęszew | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.48 | 2.95 | ▼ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 52% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Victoria WrześniaGoalJakub Bartkowski
- Lipno StęszewGoalJakub Wajman
Head-to-head
Record from Victoria Września's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lipno Stęszew. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Victoria Września 1:3 Lipno Stęszew. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Victoria Września score 1.16 goals per game on average and Lipno Stęszew 1.25. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Victoria Września's matches and 47% of Lipno Stęszew's.
What form are Victoria Września and Lipno Stęszew in?
Over the last 5 games Victoria Września have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Lipno Stęszew 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Victoria Września vs Lipno Stęszew: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.