Vila Nova vs Athletic Club: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Athletic Club: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova play Athletic Club in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 5 May 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Athletic Club: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.42 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Athletic Club scores 0.89 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 58%, Athletic Club 56%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 47%, Athletic Club 22%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.23. Vila Nova: 13.2 shots per match, Athletic Club: 11.8.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68. Athletic Club: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). Athletic Club: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 42%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
I back the home win (1) because Vila Nova shows better form and a clear numerical advantage. In the last 5 matches the hosts have 3 wins and 2 draws with 9 goals scored, while Athletic have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses with 6 goals. Vila Nova at home averages 11.67 shots and 4.33 on target with xG 1.29, while Athletic away average only 8.67 shots and 3 on target with xG 0.95, so the hosts create more high-quality chances. Defensively the hosts concede 1.33 goals at home with xG against 1.23, and the visitors concede 1.67 goals away with xG against 2.21, which increases the risk of goals conceded for Athletic. Considering the advantage in shots, xG (+0.34) and average points from the last 5 matches (2.2 vs 0.8), I assign a 65% probability to a Vila Nova win, 20% to a draw and 15% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vila Nova is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1 pts / match - Athletic Club
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club
Athletic Club is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Vila Nova · 0.89 goals / match - Athletic Club
Vila Nova scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Athletic Club keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
Athletic Club scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vila Nova
Over / Under — Athletic Club
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Athletic Club is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.44 pts / match - Athletic Club
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Athletic Club - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Athletic Club
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.58 | 2.27 | ▼ 1.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 31% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 66% | ▼ 44% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vila Nova 1 - 1 - 0 Athletic Club. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 1:1 Athletic Club. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Athletic Club?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1, Athletic Club won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?
Vila Nova score 1.42 goals per game on average and Athletic Club 0.89. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Vila Nova's matches and 56% of Athletic Club's.
What form are Vila Nova and Athletic Club in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Athletic Club 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Athletic Club?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vila Nova vs Athletic Club: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.