Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vila Nova play Botafogo SP in Serie B (Brazil). The match date is 9 June 2026 at 01:00. Venue: Estádio Onésio Brasileiro Alvarenga. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Vila Nova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Botafogo SP: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vila Nova scores 1.47 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Botafogo SP scores 1.11 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vila Nova 59%, Botafogo SP 50%. Over 2.5: Vila Nova 47%, Botafogo SP 39%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Vila Nova has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.37. Vila Nova: 13.4 shots per match, Botafogo SP: 12.3.
Match halves
Vila Nova: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76. Botafogo SP: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Vila Nova: 61-75 (7 goals). Botafogo SP: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Vila Nova is the clear favorite for this match: they sit 2nd, with 6 wins, 4 draws and 1 loss this season, and win 60% of home matches while remaining unbeaten at home (0% losses). In their last 5 matches the hosts have a record of 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss and average 2 points per game, whereas Botafogo SP in their last 5 have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses and average 0.4 points per game. Vila Nova’s home attack averages 14.4 shots per game, of which 4.8 are on target, with a 13% conversion rate, while Botafogo away average 12.67 shots with 2.67 on target, a 4% conversion and only 0.5 goals per game, having failed to score in 67% of away matches. In terms of quality of chances, the hosts’ home xG is 1.56 versus the visitors’ away xG of 1.32, and Botafogo concedes 1.36 xG against them, which suggests the visitors allow more dangerous opportunities despite conceding an average of 0.83 goals away. Considering the advantage in shot volume and quality, the conversion gap (13% vs 4%), and the visitors’ poorer form and lack of wins in the last 5 matches, I predict a home win and assess the probability of their victory at around 72%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Botafogo SP is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vila Nova · 1.6 pts / match - Botafogo SP
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1.11 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Botafogo SP is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Vila Nova · 1 goals / match - Botafogo SP
Vila Nova scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Botafogo SP keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Botafogo SP scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 24% (4 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vila Nova
Over / Under — Botafogo SP
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Botafogo SP - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vila Nova
Botafogo SP
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Botafogo SP | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.59 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 47% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 41% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 32% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 74% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Vila Nova 1 - 0 - 1 Botafogo SP. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 1:0 Botafogo SP. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Botafogo SP?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 1, Botafogo SP won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Vila Nova score 1.47 goals per game on average and Botafogo SP 1.11. The Serie B average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Vila Nova's matches and 50% of Botafogo SP's.
What form are Vila Nova and Botafogo SP in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Botafogo SP 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vila Nova vs Botafogo SP: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.