Vila Nova vs Operário PR: match statistics
Vila Nova vs Operário PR: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vila Nova played against Operário PR in Serie B (Brazil). The game was played on April 18, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Vila Nova has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Operário PR has 2 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Vila Nova scores 1.50 goals per game and allows 1.00. Operário PR scores 0.75 and allows 0.25. Games in this league average 2.12 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 75% of Vila Nova's games and 25% of Operário PR's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 25%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
The teams have nearly identical season xG averages at 1.44 per game. Vila Nova takes 13.8 shots per game, while Operário PR takes 12.8.
First-half and second-half trends
Vila Nova leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 1.25 goals per game after halftime. Operário PR leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vila Nova's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (2 goals). For Operário PR, it is minutes 16-30 (1 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie B games average 2.12 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Slight favorites are the hosts (Vila Nova): at home they average 2.0 goals and have never finished a match without scoring, while Operário averages 1.0 goals away and in 50% of away trips failed to score. Vila Nova averages 12.5 shots per home match, 4.5 on target, with a 16% conversion rate, whereas Operário averages 10.5 shots with 5.0 on target and a 10% conversion, suggesting greater attacking efficiency for the hosts. On the other hand Operário shows better form (3 wins and 2 draws in last 5) and collects 2.2 points per match versus Vila Nova’s 1.8; the visitors concede only 0.5 goals away compared to 1.5 conceded by the hosts. Looking at xG, Vila Nova has an average offensive xG of 1.36 versus Operário’s 1.19, but Operário’s xG against is 1.58 while actual goals conceded are 0.5, indicating Operário’s defense is outperforming expected metrics and may have some luck. Considering the home attacking efficiency (2.0 goals and no matches without a goal) and the visitors’ solid, albeit somewhat fortunate, defense, I give a slight preference to Vila Nova: 50% home win, 25% draw and 25% Operário win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - No because the home team’s profile strongly favors clean sheets: season clean sheet rate 100% with season goals conceded 0.0 and season BTTS 0%. The hosts also have low scoring efficiency — season goals for 0.5 and shot conversion 3.0% on 15.0 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match — so a high xG of 1.68 is not translating into goals. The visitors are not much leakier defensively either: season goals conceded 0.5 and just 1 goal conceded in the last 5 matches (0.2 avg) reduces the risk of an open game. xG figures work against this view: Vila Nova xG 1.68 vs opponents’ xG 1.58, and Operário xG 1.19 vs opponents’ xG 0.98, indicating both sides create chances. However, due to the very clear defensive signals (100% clean sheets and 0% season BTTS for the hosts) I assign BTTS - No 60% and Yes 40%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of the team’s attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: Vila Nova 1.63 = (1.68 + 1.58)/2, Operário PR 1.09 = (1.19 + 0.98)/2, giving a combined total of 2.72 goals. Assuming a Poisson distribution with parameter 2.72, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is approximately 75.5% (rounded 76%), for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 51.1% (51%), and for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5) about 29.1% (29%). Situational stats confirm offensive potential: Vila Nova averages 15 shots and 6.5 shots on target per match, Operário 10.5 and 5.0, and over the last five matches both teams have attacking xG close to 1.4 (1.38 and 1.41). Despite Vila Nova’s low conversion rate (3.0% vs 10.0% for Operário) and season metrics showing Vila Nova 0% of matches above 1.5, the high volume of created chances (xG 1.68 and 1.58) and the combined expected goals of 2.72 favor the over market; therefore Over 1.5 is the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Vila Nova leading at Half-Time and winning Full-Time) because the home side have kept a 100% clean sheet rate this season and concede on average 0.0 goals per match, and they led at the break in 50% of games, which strongly supports maintaining an early lead. The hosts generate more quality chances: home xG is 1.68 versus Operário’s 1.19, they average 15.0 shots (6.5 on target) compared to the visitors’ 10.5 (5.0) and have an average of 0.5 goals by Half-Time (scoredAVGHT_home 0.5). Operário, however, have greater shot conversion (10.0% versus the hosts’ 3.0%) and have seen both teams score in 50% of their matches this season; in their last five games the visitors averaged 0.6 goals by Half-Time, so there is a risk of an equalizer after the break. Despite that, the hosts’ zero average goals conceded (seasonConcededAVG_home 0.0) and tendency to preserve clean sheets make the 1/1 scenario the strongest signal from the provided data.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vila Nova | Operário PR | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.13 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vila Nova is 100% better for: goals scored per game.
1.5 goals / game - Vila Nova · 0.75 goals / game - Operário PR
Operário PR is 300% better for: goals allowed per game.
1 goals / game - Vila Nova · 0.25 goals / game - Operário PR
Vila Nova scores in 100% of games (4 of 4 meczów), while Operário PR keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 meczów).
Operário PR scores in 50% of games (2 of 4 meczów), while Vila Nova keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vila Nova
Over / Under - Operário PR
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Operário PR is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Vila Nova · 1.5 pts / game - Operário PR
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vila Nova - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Operário PR - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.3 | 1.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 25% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 75% | 25% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.5 | 0.3 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.3 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 25% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 100% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vila Nova
Operário PR
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Vila Nova | Liga | Operário PR | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.50 | 2.12 | ▼ 1.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 75% | 50% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 25% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 32% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 55% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▼ 25% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vila Nova's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Operário PR. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
The Serie B match finished Vila Nova 2:1 Operário PR. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vila Nova and Operário PR?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vila Nova won 0, Operário PR won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
Vila Nova score 1.50 goals per game on average and Operário PR 0.75. The Serie B average is 2.12 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Vila Nova's matches and 25% of Operário PR's.
What form are Vila Nova and Operário PR in?
Over the last 5 games Vila Nova have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Operário PR 2-2-0 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vila Nova vs Operário PR?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vila Nova vs Operário PR: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.