Virtus Casarano vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Virtus Casarano vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Casarano play Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Virtus Casarano: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Casarano scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.42 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Casarano 58%, Potenza Calcio 53%. Over 2.5: Virtus Casarano 63%, Potenza Calcio 61%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Potenza Calcio has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.21. Virtus Casarano: 9.4 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 12.2.
Match halves
Virtus Casarano: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.89. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Virtus Casarano: 76-90+ (14 goals). Potenza Calcio: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Virtus Casarano has a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they score 1.47 goals and concede only 0.88 per match on average, keep a clean sheet in 47% of games and win 53% of home fixtures. Potenza Calcio away averages 1.00 goal scored and 2.00 conceded per match, has only 12% clean sheets and wins merely 18% of away games, indicating significant defensive frailty on the road. The hosts are also more efficient offensively at home — 4.06 shots on target and 15% shooting accuracy versus 3.12 shots on target and 9% accuracy for the visitors away. The xG differential underlines this defensive edge: xG against Potenza away is 1.61, while xG against Casarano at home is 1.28, and Potenza’s away goal difference is -17 compared to the hosts’ +10 at home. Considering the last 5 matches averages (Casarano 1.6 ppg, Potenza 1.4 ppg), the higher share of goalless matches for visitors (35%) and superior finishing and clean sheets by the hosts, I project a home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Casarano | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Casarano is 50% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Virtus Casarano · 1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Virtus Casarano scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Virtus Casarano keeps a clean sheet in 26% (10 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Virtus Casarano
Over / Under — Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Casarano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Casarano
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Casarano | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.97 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Casarano 0 - 0 - 1 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Casarano vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Virtus Casarano 2:1 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Casarano vs Potenza Calcio?
Virtus Casarano score 1.47 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Virtus Casarano's matches and 53% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Virtus Casarano and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Casarano have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Casarano vs Potenza Calcio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.