Italy - Serie C Group BStadio Tonino BenelliData current as of October 15, 2026

Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto: match statistics

Vis Pesaro crest
Vis Pesaro
2 : 3half-time 1:2
Grosseto crest
Grosseto

Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Vis Pesaro played against Grosseto in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Stadio Tonino Benelli. Final score: 2:3.

Recent form

Vis Pesaro has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Grosseto has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Vis Pesaro scores 1.14 goals per game and allows 2.29. Grosseto scores 1.75 and allows 0.88. Games in this league average 2.51 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 86% of Vis Pesaro's games and 50% of Grosseto's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 50%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Grosseto has the higher season xG average, 1.82 to 1.20 per game. Vis Pesaro takes 9.7 shots per game, while Grosseto takes 16.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Vis Pesaro leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.71 goals per game after halftime. Grosseto leads at halftime in 63% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Vis Pesaro's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (4 goals). For Grosseto, it is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Serie C Group B games average 2.51 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Grosseto are the favorites: they have won 4 of their 8 matches this season, while Vis Pesaro have won just 1 of 7. In their last five matches, the visitors picked up 8 points compared with 3 for the hosts; Vis Pesaro also lost 4 times and conceded 12 goals. Grosseto average 2 goals per away match, while Vis Pesaro concede 2.25 per home match, pointing to a clear attacking advantage for the visitors. The quality of chances created reinforces this, with Grosseto recording an away xG of 1.91 compared with Vis Pesaro’s 1.43 at home. Grosseto have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their away matches and conceded an average of 0.33 goals in them, making an away win the most likely outcome.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS - Yes landed in all of Vis Pesaro’s last 5 matches. During that spell, they averaged 1.2 goals scored and conceded as many as 2.4. Grosseto averaged 1.8 goals in their last 5 matches, giving them a clear basis to exploit the hosts’ defensive problems. Although the visitors kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches this season, they allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.48 xG, while Vis Pesaro have scored in every match they have played this season. BTTS has landed in only 33% of Grosseto’s matches, which tempers confidence in the prediction; however, the combination of the hosts’ scoring form and weak defense points to a goal for both teams.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Vis Pesaro’s last 5 matches averaged 3.6 goals, while Grosseto’s matches averaged 2.8; 100% and 60% of those matches, respectively, finished with at least 3 goals. The home side conceded an average of 2.4 goals during this period, with an xG against of 2.21, which favors the visitors’ attack, as they scored an average of 1.8 goals. On the other hand, Vis Pesaro scored an average of 1.2 goals, while Grosseto conceded only 1.0 per match, so I assess the chances of 3 or more goals more cautiously. The Over 1.5 goals line has the strongest statistical backing: it has landed in all of the home side’s matches so far and in 67% of the visitors’ matches, supporting this pick despite greater uncertainty at higher lines.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is Grosseto leading at the break and holding that advantage through to the final whistle. In their last five matches, the visitors led at half-time three times, while Vis Pesaro did so only once; during this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals before the break, while the visitors scored 1.2. The case for Grosseto maintaining their lead is also supported by their full-time form: Vis Pesaro have lost four of their last five matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals, compared with 1.0 conceded by Grosseto. The visitors have won two of their last five matches and drawn two more, strengthening the case for an away win, although Vis Pesaro’s half-time lead in three of their last five home matches remains a significant risk to the 2/2 pick.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 2
First half
1 : 1
Second half

Game stats

45Possession (%)55
Vis PesaroGrosseto
14Shots17
Vis PesaroGrosseto
7Shots on target5
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.93xG1.86
Vis PesaroGrosseto
4Corners6
Vis PesaroGrosseto
77Dangerous attacks61
Vis PesaroGrosseto
11Fouls16
Vis PesaroGrosseto
3Cards2
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.14Goals scored / game1.75
Vis PesaroGrosseto
2.29Goals allowed / game0.88
Vis PesaroGrosseto
46%Average possession57%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
2.86Shots on target / game5.75
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.71Shots per game16
Vis PesaroGrosseto
2.86Shots on target5.75
Vis PesaroGrosseto
11.8%Shot conversion10.9%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
46%Possession57%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.2xG for1.82
Vis PesaroGrosseto
2.32xG against1.36
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Shooting quality

Vis Pesaro: BalancedGrosseto: Dominant
Vis PesaroGrosseto
Accuracy (shots on target)29%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Grosseto is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Vis Pesaro · 1.6 pts / game - Grosseto

Vis Pesaro
LLLLW
Season result split
14% W14% D71% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-5
0.57 pts / game · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Last 5 at home
1-1-2
DLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 2.29BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Grosseto
DDWWL
Season result split
50% W38% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Grosseto is 54% better for: goals scored per game.

1.14 goals / game - Vis Pesaro · 1.75 goals / game - Grosseto

Grosseto is 160% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.29 goals / game - Vis Pesaro · 0.88 goals / game - Grosseto

Vis Pesaro scoring profile: strong

Vis Pesaro scores in 86% of games (6 of 7 games), while Grosseto keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 games).

Grosseto scoring profile: very strong

Grosseto scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 games).

8Goals scored (season)14
Vis PesaroGrosseto
16Goals conceded (season)7
Vis PesaroGrosseto
3.43Average goals per game2.63
Vis PesaroGrosseto
6Goals scored (last 5)9
Vis PesaroGrosseto
12Goals conceded (last 5)5
Vis PesaroGrosseto

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal88%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
29%2 goals63%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0%3 goals13%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0%4 goals13%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal50%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
86%2 goals25%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
29%3 goals13%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
14%4 goals0%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time0%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0%Scored in both halves50%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

BTTS and goal count

86%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
100%BTTS - last 540%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time88%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
29%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time38%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
29%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Grosseto is 182% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.71 pts / game - Vis Pesaro · 2 pts / game - Grosseto

Vis Pesaro - half-time state
14% leading29% draw57% trailing
Grosseto - half-time state
63% leading13% draw25% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.71Points per game (1st half)2
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0.43Goals scored (1st half)1
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.71Average goals (1st half)1.38
Vis PesaroGrosseto
14%Clean sheet before half-time75%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
71%No goal before half-time38%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per game (2nd half)1.88
Vis PesaroGrosseto
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
Vis PesaroGrosseto
1.71Average goals (2nd half)1.25
Vis PesaroGrosseto
14%Clean sheet after half-time63%
Vis PesaroGrosseto
43%No goal after half-time25%
Vis PesaroGrosseto

Vis Pesaro - second-half results

14% W43% D43% L
5
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Grosseto - second-half results

50% W38% D13% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding79%

Leads at halftime in 63% of games and wins 50%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Vis Pesaro - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.000.60
Goals scored / game0.60.6
Goals allowed / game1.41.0
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Grosseto - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.60
Goals scored / game1.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.61.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+40
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Vis Pesaro
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Grosseto
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
3
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
3
1
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.03
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.0 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
121%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
68%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Vis Pesaro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.12
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.06
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
204%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.03
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Grosseto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
156%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
63%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).

Teams vs league

Vis PesaroLigaGrosseto
Average goals per game▲ 3.432.51▲ 2.63
Both teams scored▲ 86%56%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 86%46%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 0%26%▲ 50%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%71%▲ 88%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%73%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.51
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.12
Away goals / game
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GrossetoGoalPietro FioriniAssist: Alessio Ciraudo
  2. Vis PesaroYellow cardPietro Giorgini
  3. Vis PesaroGoalGiacomo Maucci
  4. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Enea PittiOff: Duccio Brenna
  5. Vis PesaroSubstitutionOn: Sebastiano EbanoOff: Pietro Giorgini
  6. GrossetoYellow cardPietro Fiorini
  7. GrossetoGoalLorenzo Gori
  8. Vis PesaroYellow cardManuel Di Paola
  9. Vis PesaroSubstitutionOn: Nicolò BerengoOff: Denis Tonucci
  10. Vis PesaroGoalFrancesco NicastroAssist: Manuel Di Paola
  11. Vis PesaroSubstitutionOn: Francesco SculliOff: Edoardo Mariani
  12. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Ferdinando MastroianniOff: Lorenzo Gori
  13. GrossetoSubstitutionOn: Francesco CerretelliOff: Lorenzo Sabbatini
  14. GrossetoYellow cardFrancesco Fabri
  15. Vis PesaroYellow cardGiorgio Bailo

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

FAQ

What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?

The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 2:3 Grosseto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?

Vis Pesaro score 1.14 goals per game on average and Grosseto 1.75. The Serie C Group B average is 2.51 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 50% of Grosseto's.

What form are Vis Pesaro and Grosseto in?

Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Grosseto 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto?

The statistical background for Vis Pesaro vs Grosseto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.