Vitória vs São Paulo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vitória play São Paulo in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 7 December 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Vitória: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. São Paulo: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vitória scores 0.92 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. São Paulo scores 1.13 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vitória 42%, São Paulo 39%. Over 2.5: Vitória 39%, São Paulo 42%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

São Paulo has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.27. Vitória: 11.6 shots per match, São Paulo: 11.9.

Match halves

Vitória: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.53. São Paulo: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.53.

Goals by minute

Vitória: 61-75 (8 goals). São Paulo: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

38Possession (%)62
VitóriaSão Paulo
21Shots8
VitóriaSão Paulo
8Shots on target2
VitóriaSão Paulo
2.28xG0.84
VitóriaSão Paulo
10Corners1
VitóriaSão Paulo
56Dangerous attacks26
VitóriaSão Paulo
16Fouls18
VitóriaSão Paulo
5Cards1
VitóriaSão Paulo

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VitóriaSão Paulo
0.92Goals scored / match1.13
VitóriaSão Paulo
1.37Goals conceded / match1.24
VitóriaSão Paulo
41%Average possession52%
VitóriaSão Paulo
3.89Shots on target / match3.66
VitóriaSão Paulo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.61Shots per match11.87
VitóriaSão Paulo
3.89Shots on target3.66
VitóriaSão Paulo
7.9%Shot conversion9.5%
VitóriaSão Paulo
41%Possession52%
VitóriaSão Paulo
1.27xG for1.28
VitóriaSão Paulo
1.66xG against1.44
VitóriaSão Paulo

Shooting quality

Vitória: BalancedSão Paulo: Balanced
VitóriaSão Paulo
Accuracy (shots on target)34%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vitória is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Vitória · 1.2 pts / match - São Paulo

Vitória
DWWLW
Season result split
29% W32% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-12-15
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-6-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.31Opponent xG: 1.90BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
São Paulo
LWLWL
Season result split
37% W24% R39% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-9-15
1.34 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-10
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

São Paulo is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

0.92 goals / match - Vitória · 1.13 goals / match - São Paulo

São Paulo is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.37 goals / match - Vitória · 1.24 goals / match - São Paulo

Vitória scoring profile: strong

Vitória scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while São Paulo keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

São Paulo scoring profile: strong

São Paulo scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

35Goals scored (season)43
VitóriaSão Paulo
52Goals conceded (season)47
VitóriaSão Paulo
2.29Average goals in match2.37
VitóriaSão Paulo
6Goals scored (last 5)6
VitóriaSão Paulo
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
VitóriaSão Paulo

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal63%
VitóriaSão Paulo
26%2 goals45%
VitóriaSão Paulo
5%3 goals5%
VitóriaSão Paulo
0%4 goals0%
VitóriaSão Paulo

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal68%
VitóriaSão Paulo
37%2 goals34%
VitóriaSão Paulo
13%3 goals13%
VitóriaSão Paulo
8%4 goals3%
VitóriaSão Paulo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time13%
VitóriaSão Paulo
3%BTTS in both halves5%
VitóriaSão Paulo
18%Scored in both halves26%
VitóriaSão Paulo

BTTS and goal count

34%Min. 3 goals and BTTS34%
VitóriaSão Paulo
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
VitóriaSão Paulo
20%BTTS - last 540%
VitóriaSão Paulo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
VitóriaSão Paulo
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time32%
VitóriaSão Paulo
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
VitóriaSão Paulo

2nd half

66%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
VitóriaSão Paulo
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time39%
VitóriaSão Paulo
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
VitóriaSão Paulo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

São Paulo is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Vitória · 1.55 pts / match - São Paulo

Vitória - half-time state
26% leading39% draw34% trailing
São Paulo - half-time state
37% leading45% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.55
VitóriaSão Paulo
0.39Goals scored (1st half)0.61
VitóriaSão Paulo
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
VitóriaSão Paulo
0.97Average goals (1st half)1.03
VitóriaSão Paulo
55%Clean sheet before half-time68%
VitóriaSão Paulo
66%No goal before half-time55%
VitóriaSão Paulo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per match (2nd half)1.08
VitóriaSão Paulo
0.53Goals scored (2nd half)0.53
VitóriaSão Paulo
0.79Goals conceded (2nd half)0.82
VitóriaSão Paulo
1.32Average goals (2nd half)1.34
VitóriaSão Paulo
55%Clean sheet after half-time39%
VitóriaSão Paulo
55%No goal after half-time55%
VitóriaSão Paulo

Vitória - second-half results

21% W45% R34% P
45
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding112%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

São Paulo - second-half results

24% W37% R39% P
59
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitória - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.21.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
São Paulo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vitória
ScoredConceded
5
8
0-15
4
6
16-30
6
8
31-45
7
11
46-60
8
6
61-75
5
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

São Paulo
ScoredConceded
8
5
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
7
31-45
5
7
46-60
2
12
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vitória

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.35
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.82
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

São Paulo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

VitóriaLigaSão Paulo
Average goals in match 2.292.52 2.37
Both teams scored 42%47% 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 39%46% 42%
Clean sheets 32%30% 32%
Goal before half-time 66%70% 63%
Goal after half-time 66%76% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Vitória 1 - 0 - 1 São Paulo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Vitória
2 : 0
São Paulo
São Paulo FC
2 : 0
EC Vitória

FAQ

What was the result of Vitória vs São Paulo?

The Serie A match finished Vitória 1:0 São Paulo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and São Paulo?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1, São Paulo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs São Paulo?

Vitória score 0.92 goals per game on average and São Paulo 1.13. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Vitória's matches and 39% of São Paulo's.

What form are Vitória and São Paulo in?

Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and São Paulo 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs São Paulo?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.