Vora vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: match statistics

Vora are showing clearly better current form: they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last five matches, scoring 14 goals. Over the same period, Egnatia Rrogozhinë scored 11 goals but recorded only 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 points per match compared with Vora’s 2.6. Both teams have conceded 6 goals in their last five outings, so the hosts’ advantage is primarily down to greater consistency and attacking efficiency. The start of the season has been successful for both sides, but Vora won their opening match 1:0, while the visitors prevailed 3:0, leaving the outcome open. Home advantage and Vora’s stronger run slightly shift the prediction towards a home win.

The latest form of both teams favors goals at both ends: Vora have averaged 2.8 goals scored over their last 5 matches, while Egnatia have averaged 2.2. During the same period, both teams conceded 1.2 goals per game, and BTTS landed in 60% of matches for each side. Their attacking potential is backed up by xG: 1.24 for Vora and a higher 1.45 for Egnatia, while Egnatia allow opponents 1.29 xG. Vora do have very solid recent defensive numbers, with 0.86 xG against, but Egnatia have scored 11 goals in five appearances and should create chances away from home as well. The BTTS - Yes pick is therefore slightly stronger than the BTTS - No scenario, in which at least one team fails to score, despite the league BTTS average standing at just 40%.

Vora’s last five matches produced an average of 4.0 goals, with the team scoring 2.8 and conceding 1.2 per game. Over the same period, Egnatia averaged 2.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded, while 80% of their matches went over 2.5 goals, compared with 60% for Vora. The attacking potential of both sides is confirmed by xG: 1.24 for the home team and 1.45 for the visitors across their last five appearances. At the same time, the expected total of 2.50 goals does not provide an equally clear edge for Over 2.5, especially as the league averages only 2.0 goals per match. Therefore, the safest pick is Over 1.5, as the current form of both attacks clearly supports at least two goals.

Vora are showing clearly better form: they have won 4 of their last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals and remaining unbeaten, while Egnatia have won 2 games. The hosts were leading at the break in 60% of those matches, and their only available home result in the current data shows a half-time lead followed by a 3–0 victory. Vora have recently averaged 1.8 goals after the break, compared with just 0.4 for Egnatia, strongly supporting the hosts’ ability to maintain or extend their advantage. Although the visitors have averaged 1.8 goals before half-time in their last five appearances, they went into the break level on 60% of those occasions, making a Vora lead at half-time followed by a full-time win the most likely scenario.