Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of October 15, 2026

VPS vs Gnistan: match statistics

VPS crest
VPS
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Gnistan crest
Gnistan

VPS vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

VPS played against Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on October 12, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

VPS has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Gnistan has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

VPS scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 1.19. Gnistan scores 1.54 and allows 1.23. Games in this league average 2.47 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 46% of VPS's games and 58% of Gnistan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 42%, compared with league averages of 48% for BTTS and 43% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Gnistan has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.43 per game. VPS takes 11.9 shots per game, while Gnistan takes 13.4.

First-half and second-half trends

VPS leads at halftime in 35% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. Gnistan leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.88 after halftime.

When the teams score

VPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Gnistan, it is minutes 0-15 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Veikkausliiga games average 2.47 goals. Both teams score in 48% of games, and 43% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 4 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

VPS have a slight home advantage: they have won 46% of their home matches, while Gnistan have won 42% of their away games. The hosts create chances at home with an average xG of 1.45, while the visitors allow chances worth 1.65 xG away from home. This gives VPS an opportunity to end their recent lack of cutting edge, having scored just 2 goals in 5 matches. However, Gnistan sit 4th compared with VPS in 6th and have not lost any of their last 5 matches, so the hosts’ advantage is modest. A draw remains a realistic outcome, as 4 of Gnistan’s last 5 matches ended level, and 33% of their away games have been drawn. VPS’s slightly higher number of shots on target at home, 4.31 compared with Gnistan’s 3.67 away, tips the forecast in the hosts’ favor.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Over the course of the season, both teams have often featured in matches with goals at both ends: VPS in 57% and Gnistan in 58% of their games. VPS’s recent form clearly weakens this signal, however—the hosts have scored just 2 goals in 5 matches, with no goals from both teams in any of them. Gnistan have conceded an average of 0.8 goals per match over this period, so a VPS scoring breakthrough is far from certain, although the hosts’ average xG of 1.19 suggests they have created more chances than the results indicate. The visitors have scored an average of 1.0 goals recently and both teams have scored in 4 of their 5 matches, making the case for BTTS - No only marginal. The most likely reason BTTS fails is that VPS do not score, rather than the match ending 0-0.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

VPS average 1.64 goals per game this season, while Gnistan average 1.42, but over their last five matches those figures have fallen to 0.4 and 1.0 goals per game, respectively. During the same period, VPS matches have not gone over 2.5 goals once, while Gnistan matches have done so in just 20% of cases. Across the full season, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 64% of VPS matches and 83% of Gnistan matches, supporting this line. Although Over 1.5 goals has been frequent—in 79% and 83% of their matches, respectively—both teams’ recent scoring form points against a high-scoring game. With a projected total of 2.43 goals, Under 3.5 goals is the strongest pick.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest signal is a level score at half-time: Gnistan went into the break level in 4 of its last 5 matches, while VPS were level at half-time in 50% of their matches this season. Over their last five matches, the visitors averaged just 0.2 goals before the break, further reducing the likelihood of them taking an early lead. A draw after 90 minutes also looks plausible, as Gnistan have drawn 4 of their last 5 matches, and both teams conceded an average of 0.8 goals per game over that period. The main risk to this pick is VPS’s advantage in second halves across the season: the visitors averaged 1.0 goal and won 50% of those halves, although they failed to score after the break in any of their last five matches. Therefore, X/X is the most likely single HT/FT scenario, but its edge over X/1 and X/2 remains moderate.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

51Possession (%)49
VPSGnistan
11Shots10
VPSGnistan
3Shots on target4
VPSGnistan
1.35xG1.29
VPSGnistan
2Corners3
VPSGnistan
60Dangerous attacks51
VPSGnistan
16Fouls17
VPSGnistan
0Cards1
VPSGnistan

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.15Goals scored / game1.54
VPSGnistan
1.19Goals allowed / game1.23
VPSGnistan
47%Average possession42%
VPSGnistan
4.31Shots on target / game4.42
VPSGnistan

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.92Shots per game13.38
VPSGnistan
4.31Shots on target4.42
VPSGnistan
9.7%Shot conversion11.5%
VPSGnistan
47%Possession42%
VPSGnistan
1.43xG for1.5
VPSGnistan
1.38xG against1.57
VPSGnistan

Shooting quality

VPS: BalancedGnistan: Balanced
VPSGnistan
Accuracy (shots on target)36%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Gnistan is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - VPS · 1.4 pts / game - Gnistan

VPS
LWLLL
Season result split
38% W23% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-10
1.38 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.56BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%
Gnistan
DDWDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
42% W35% D23% L
Season (W-D-L)
11-9-6
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-3
Last 5 away
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gnistan is 34% better for: goals scored per game.

1.15 goals / game - VPS · 1.54 goals / game - Gnistan

VPS scoring profile: strong

VPS scores in 65% of games (17 of 26 games), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 23% (6 of 26 games).

Gnistan scoring profile: very strong

Gnistan scores in 77% of games (20 of 26 games), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 games).

30Goals scored (season)40
VPSGnistan
31Goals conceded (season)32
VPSGnistan
2.35Average goals per game2.77
VPSGnistan
1Goals scored (last 5)5
VPSGnistan
10Goals conceded (last 5)4
VPSGnistan

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal77%
VPSGnistan
23%2 goals42%
VPSGnistan
15%3 goals23%
VPSGnistan
8%4 goals8%
VPSGnistan

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal77%
VPSGnistan
23%2 goals31%
VPSGnistan
12%3 goals8%
VPSGnistan
4%4 goals4%
VPSGnistan

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time23%
VPSGnistan
0%BTTS in both halves4%
VPSGnistan
12%Scored in both halves27%
VPSGnistan

BTTS and goal count

31%Min. 3 goals and BTTS31%
VPSGnistan
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS12%
VPSGnistan
0%BTTS - last 580%
VPSGnistan

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
VPSGnistan
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
VPSGnistan
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
VPSGnistan

2nd half

62%Min. 1 goal after half-time85%
VPSGnistan
31%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
VPSGnistan
4%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
VPSGnistan

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

VPS - half-time state
35% leading31% draw35% trailing
Gnistan - half-time state
31% leading42% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.35Points per game (1st half)1.35
VPSGnistan
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.65
VPSGnistan
0.73Goals conceded (1st half)0.58
VPSGnistan
1.38Average goals (1st half)1.23
VPSGnistan
50%Clean sheet before half-time54%
VPSGnistan
58%No goal before half-time50%
VPSGnistan

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per game (2nd half)1.62
VPSGnistan
0.5Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
VPSGnistan
0.46Goals conceded (2nd half)0.65
VPSGnistan
0.96Average goals (2nd half)1.54
VPSGnistan
65%Clean sheet after half-time50%
VPSGnistan
65%No goal after half-time46%
VPSGnistan

VPS - second-half results

27% W46% D27% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
33
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at halftime in 35% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Gnistan - second-half results

46% W23% D31% L
35
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

VPS - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.60
Goals scored / game0.20.0
Goals allowed / game1.20.8
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference-5-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Gnistan - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.80
Goals scored / game0.20.8
Goals allowed / game0.40.4
Average goals per game0.61.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

VPS
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
3
7
16-30
7
8
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
8
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Gnistan
ScoredConceded
8
4
0-15
5
3
16-30
4
8
31-45
8
6
46-60
8
3
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.55
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-61%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
50%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

VPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.78
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

Gnistan

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
144%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

VPSLigaGnistan
Average goals per game▼ 2.352.47▲ 2.77
Both teams scored▼ 46%48%▲ 58%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%43%• 42%
Clean sheets▼ 27%30%▼ 23%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%72%• 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 62%73%▲ 85%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per game
48%
Both teams scored
43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.40
Home goals / game
1.07
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. GnistanSubstitutionOn: Joakim LatonenOff: Artur Atarah
  2. GnistanSubstitutionOn: Otto HannulaOff: Edmund Arko-Mensah
  3. GnistanSubstitutionOn: Noah RossiOff: Ayo Obileye
  4. GnistanYellow cardNoah Rossi
  5. VPSSubstitutionOn: Razak SimpsonOff: Antti-Ville Räisänen

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from VPS's perspective: 0 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses against Gnistan. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Gnistan
1 : 1
VPS
VPS
1 : 1
Gnistan
IF Gnistan
0 : 0
Vaasan Palloseura
Vaasan Palloseura
0 : 0
IF Gnistan

FAQ

What was the result of VPS vs Gnistan?

The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:0 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Gnistan?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches VPS won 0, Gnistan won 0 and 4 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Gnistan?

VPS score 1.15 goals per game on average and Gnistan 1.54. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 46% of VPS's matches and 58% of Gnistan's.

What form are VPS and Gnistan in?

Over the last 5 games VPS have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gnistan 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Gnistan?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.