Wanderers vs Progreso: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Wanderers vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wanderers plays Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The game is scheduled for October 25, 2026. Venue: Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera.
Recent form
Wanderers has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Progreso has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, with 2.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Wanderers scores 1.24 goals per game and allows 1.38. Progreso scores 0.91 and allows 1.42. Games in this league average 2.37 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 53% of Wanderers's games and 45% of Progreso's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 42%, compared with league averages of 50% for BTTS and 44% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wanderers has the higher season xG average, 1.32 to 1.19 per game. Wanderers takes 9.7 shots per game, while Progreso takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Wanderers leads at halftime in 32% of its games and scores 0.62 goals per game after halftime. Progreso leads at halftime in 21% and scores 0.55 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wanderers's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (12 goals). For Progreso, it is minutes 76-90+ (13 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Primera División games average 2.37 goals. Both teams score in 50% of games, and 44% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 4 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Before kickoff
1X2 odds
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wanderers | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Progreso is 43% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Wanderers · 2 pts / game - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 36% better for: goals scored per game.
1.24 goals / game - Wanderers · 0.91 goals / game - Progreso
Wanderers scores in 79% of games (27 of 34 games), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 games).
Progreso scores in 61% of games (20 of 33 games), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 35% (12 of 34 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wanderers
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Wanderers · 1 pts / game - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 27%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wanderers
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Wanderers | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.62 | 2.37 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 29% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 67% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 73% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Wanderers's perspective: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses against Progreso. Games average 2.25 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
When do Wanderers and Progreso play?
Wanderers face Progreso on October 25, 2026 in Primera División at Parque Alfredo Víctor Viera. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wanderers and Progreso?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Wanderers won 1, Progreso won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wanderers vs Progreso?
Wanderers score 1.24 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.91. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Wanderers's matches and 45% of Progreso's.
What form are Wanderers and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Wanderers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Progreso 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wanderers vs Progreso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.